Qinwen Zheng and Karolina Muchova will square off in the final of the Palermo Ladies Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:30 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.615
Karolina Muchova -> 2.31

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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Karolina Muchova

This will be the 2^nd time that Qinwen Zheng and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Muchova won 1-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1^st round in Madrid back in 2022.

Qinwen Zheng

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Chinese got to the final after beating Sara Errani 6-3 6-2, Petra Martic 6-4 6-4, Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-1 and Diane Parry 7-5 6-4.

In the semifinal, Qinwen had a good straight sets win against Parry (7-5 6-4). During the match, Zheng scored 65 points vs Parry’s 53. Qinwen was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zheng recorded 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Qinwen Zheng was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of her 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Zheng broke Parry 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Qinwen hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Zheng has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (201-89). 10-4 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Zheng has an overall75-25 record in the last 8 years on clay.

Qinwen’s best result of the season was getting to the final at the Australian Open .

The Chinese has an overall 25-12 win-loss record in 2024, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Palermo

Karolina Muchova

Ranked no. 35, the Czech got to the final after beating Katarzyna Kawa 7-6(14) 5-1 ret., Noma Akugue Noha 6-7(0) 6-2 6-3, Astra Sharma 7-6(5) 7-6(6) and Irina-Camelia Begu 6-1 6-1.

In the semifinal, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Begu (6-1 6-1). During the match Muchova scored 59 points vs Begu’s 33. Karolina was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Muchova blasted 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karolina Muchova was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karolina broke Begu 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Muchova’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal Palermo.

The Czech has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Palermo

Karolina has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zheng	Muchova
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	10
Tot Games	73	89
Pts	244-174	316-260
Total Points	418	576
Winners	89	129
%Winners	36%	41%

Both Zheng and Muchova played 4 matches. At the moment, Karolina Muchova conceded 1 set while Qinwen Zheng hasn’t conceded a set so far. Zheng has played 2 set(s) less than Muchova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Zheng played 16 games less than Muchova. Zheng scored 89 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova scored 129 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zheng	Muchova
Aces	17	12
Avg per match	4.3	3
1st in	109/198	199/303
%1st in	55%	66%
1st pts	89/109	129/199
%1st pts	82%	65%
2nd pts	53/89	57/104
%2nd pts	60%	55%

Zheng made 17 aces (4.3 per match). Muchova struck 12 aces (3 per match). Zheng won 82% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zheng	Muchova
Won	15	21
Converted	15/31	21/27
% Converted	48%	78%
Conceded	7	25
Saved	4	14
% Saved	57%	56%
Times Broken	3	11

The Chinese broke her opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Qinwen conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 21 times with a 78% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Zheng
	R1 Errani	R2 Martic	1/4 Cristian	1/2 Parry	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-4 6-4	6-1 6-1	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	20	14	22	73
pts	60-41	63-53	56-27	65-53	244-174
Total points	101	116	83	118	418
Winners	23	22	16	28	89
%Winners	38%	35%	29%	43%	36%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	2	3	17
Double Faults	1	3	1	2	7
1st in	29/49	28/55	19/38	33/56	109/198
% 1st in	59%	51%	50%	59%	55%
1st pts	23/29	22/28	16/19	28/33	89/109
% 1st pts	79%	79%	84%	85%	82%
2nd pts	11/20	15/27	13/19	14/23	53/89
% 2nd pts	55%	56%	68%	61%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	3	5	3	15
Converted	4/7	3/6	5/13	3/5	15/31
Converted %	57%	50%	38%	60%	48%
Conceded	1	2	0	4	7
Saved	0/1	1/2	0/0	3/4	4
Saved %	0%	50%	–	75%	31%
Times Broken	1	1	0	1	3

Muchova
	R1 Kawa	R2 Akugue	1/4 Sharma	1/2 Begu	Total
Score	7-614 5-1 ret.	6-70 6-2 6-3	7-65 7-66	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	19	30	26	14	89
pts	69-56	101-87	87-84	59-33	316-260
Total points	125	188	171	92	576
Winners	33	39	33	24	129
%Winners	48%	39%	38%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	6	1	1	4	12
Double Faults	2	3	2	1	8
1st in	45/63	66/106	57/92	31/42	199/303
% 1st in	71%	62%	62%	74%	66%
1st pts	33/45	39/66	33/57	24/31	129/199
% 1st pts	73%	59%	58%	77%	65%
2nd pts	8/18	20/40	23/35	6/11	57/104
% 2nd pts	44%	50%	66%	55%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	8	4	5	21
Converted	4/5	8/11	4/5	5/6	21/27
Converted %	80%	73%	80%	83%	78%
Conceded	4	10	10	1	25
Saved	2/4	5/10	6/10	1/1	14
Saved %	50%	50%	60%	100%	65%
Times Broken	2	5	4	0	11

Tennis Scores in Palermo

• Yuki MochizukiMochizuki – Hong Kit WongKit Wong (4-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-1) – H2H and prediction