Qinwen Zheng and Karolina Muchova will square off in the final of the Palermo Ladies Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:30 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.615
Karolina Muchova -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 2nd time that Qinwen Zheng and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Muchova won 1-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Madrid back in 2022.
Qinwen Zheng
26 - 12win/loss
5
5
LWWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 38-8 | 3-3 | 26-3 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Chinese got to the final after beating Sara Errani 6-3 6-2, Petra Martic 6-4 6-4, Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-1 and Diane Parry 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal, Qinwen had a good straight sets win against Parry (7-5 6-4). During the match, Zheng scored 65 points vs Parry’s 53. Qinwen was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Zheng recorded 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Qinwen Zheng was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of her 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Zheng broke Parry 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Qinwen hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Zheng has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (201-89). 10-4 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Zheng has an overall75-25 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Qinwen’s best result of the season was getting to the final at the Australian Open .
The Chinese has an overall 25-12 win-loss record in 2024, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Palermo
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Czech got to the final after beating Katarzyna Kawa 7-6(14) 5-1 ret., Noma Akugue Noha 6-7(0) 6-2 6-3, Astra Sharma 7-6(5) 7-6(6) and Irina-Camelia Begu 6-1 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Begu (6-1 6-1). During the match Muchova scored 59 points vs Begu’s 33. Karolina was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Muchova blasted 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karolina Muchova was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karolina broke Begu 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Muchova’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal Palermo.
The Czech has an overall 6-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Palermo
Karolina has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 89 |
| Pts | 244-174 | 316-260 |
| Total Points | 418 | 576 |
| Winners | 89 | 129 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Zheng and Muchova played 4 matches. At the moment, Karolina Muchova conceded 1 set while Qinwen Zheng hasn’t conceded a set so far. Zheng has played 2 set(s) less than Muchova (8 vs 10). Therefore, Zheng played 16 games less than Muchova. Zheng scored 89 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova scored 129 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 109/198 | 199/303 |
| %1st in | 55% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 89/109 | 129/199 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 53/89 | 57/104 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 55% |
Zheng made 17 aces (4.3 per match). Muchova struck 12 aces (3 per match). Zheng won 82% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 21 |
| Converted | 15/31 | 21/27 |
| % Converted | 48% | 78% |
| Conceded | 7 | 25 |
| Saved | 4 | 14 |
| % Saved | 57% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 11 |
The Chinese broke her opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Qinwen conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 21 times with a 78% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | ||||||
| R1 Errani |
R2 Martic |
1/4 Cristian |
1/2 Parry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 14 | 22 | 73 | |
| pts | 60-41 | 63-53 | 56-27 | 65-53 | 244-174 | |
| Total points | 101 | 116 | 83 | 118 | 418 | |
| Winners | 23 | 22 | 16 | 28 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% | 29% | 43% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 28/55 | 19/38 | 33/56 | 109/198 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 51% | 50% | 59% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/29 | 22/28 | 16/19 | 28/33 | 89/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | 84% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 15/27 | 13/19 | 14/23 | 53/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 56% | 68% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/6 | 5/13 | 3/5 | 15/31 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 50% | 38% | 60% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | – | 75% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Muchova | ||||||
| R1 Kawa |
R2 Akugue |
1/4 Sharma |
1/2 Begu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-614 5-1 ret. | 6-70 6-2 6-3 | 7-65 7-66 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 | 26 | 14 | 89 | |
| pts | 69-56 | 101-87 | 87-84 | 59-33 | 316-260 | |
| Total points | 125 | 188 | 171 | 92 | 576 | |
| Winners | 33 | 39 | 33 | 24 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 39% | 38% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 45/63 | 66/106 | 57/92 | 31/42 | 199/303 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 62% | 62% | 74% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 39/66 | 33/57 | 24/31 | 129/199 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 59% | 58% | 77% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 20/40 | 23/35 | 6/11 | 57/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 50% | 66% | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 8/11 | 4/5 | 5/6 | 21/27 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 73% | 80% | 83% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 25 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 5/10 | 6/10 | 1/1 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 60% | 100% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWL
LWWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Palermo
- Yuki MochizukiMochizuki – Hong Kit WongKit Wong (4-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
