Duje Ajdukovic and Rafael Nadal will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Nordea Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.444
Duje Ajdukovic -> 2.78

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Prediction and head to head Duje Ajdukovic vs. Rafael Nadal

There is no head to head record between Duje Ajdukovic and Rafael Nadal since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Duje Ajdukovic

Ranked no. 130, Duje got to the semifinal after defeating Dmitry Popko 6-2 6-4, Alejandro Moro Canas 7-6(4) 6-3, Luca Van Assche 6-3 6-3, Pavel Kotov 7-6(7) 3-6 6-3 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-2 4-6 6-4.

In the quarter, Ajdukovic defeated Moura Monteiro (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match, Ajdukovic scored 87 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 77. Duje was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ajdukovic made 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Duje Ajdukovic was quite effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Ajdukovic broke Moura Monteiro 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Duje started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Ajdukovic has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (248-157). 13-8 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ajdukovic has a compiled183-104 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

Duje’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Quimper Challenger.

The Croatian has a compiled 24-20 win-loss record in 2024, 13-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bastad

Ajdukovic has never competed in this tournament before.

Rafael Nadal

Ranked no. 261, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after beating Leo Borg 6-3 6-4, Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-4, Mariano Navone 6-7(2) 7-5 7-5 and Duje Ajdukovic .

In the quarter against Navone, Rafael recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7² 7-5 7-5). During the match Nadal scored 136 points vs Navone’s 126. Rafael was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.

About the serving games, Nadal scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Rafael Nadal lost the serve 8 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Nadal put 64% of his first serves in, winning 62% (48/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (17/43) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Navone 10 times after converting 48% of his break points (10/21).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Spaniard has a compiled 10-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ajdukovic	Nadal
Match played	5	3
Tot Set	12	7
Tot Games	117	76
Pts	390-340	265-227
Total Points	730	492
Winners	171	112
%Winners	44%	42%

Ajdukovic played 5 matches while Nadal competed in 3 matches. Ajdukovic started his run from the qualifications while Nadal had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Duje Ajdukovic conceded 2 sets, while Rafael Nadal surrendered 1 set. Ajdukovic has played 5 sets more than Nadal (12 vs 7). Therefore, Ajdukovic played 41 games more than Nadal. Ajdukovic scored 171 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Nadal fired 112 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ajdukovic	Nadal
Aces	17	11
Avg per match	3.4	3.7
1st in	219/353	160/234
%1st in	62%	68%
1st pts	171/219	112/160
%1st pts	78%	70%
2nd pts	71/134	37/74
%2nd pts	53%	50%

Ajdukovic struck 17 aces (3.4 per match). Nadal struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Ajdukovic won 78% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Nadal won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ajdukovic	Nadal
Won	16	15
Converted	16/38	15/32
% Converted	42%	47%
Conceded	21	19
Saved	14	10
% Saved	67%	53%
Times Broken	7	9

The Croatian broke his opponents 16 times with a 42% conversion rate. Duje lost his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Nadal broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Nadal conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.

Ajdukovic
	Q1 Popko	Q3 Moro	R1 Van	R2 Kotov	1/4 Moura Monteiro	Total
Score	6-2 6-4	7-64 6-3	6-3 6-3	7-67 3-6 6-3	6-2 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	3	12
Tot Games	18	22	18	31	28	117
pts	70-55	76-67	61-47	96-94	87-77	390-340
Total points	125	143	108	190	164	730
Winners	35	36	20	46	34	171
%Winners	50%	47%	33%	48%	39%	44%
SERVE
Aces	3	2	3	3	6	17
Double Faults	1	1	0	4	3	9
1st in	42/56	48/73	25/47	61/97	43/80	219/353
% 1st in	75%	66%	53%	63%	54%	62%
1st pts	35/42	36/48	20/25	46/61	34/43	171/219
% 1st pts	83%	75%	80%	75%	79%	78%
2nd pts	5/14	14/25	13/22	20/36	19/37	71/134
% 2nd pts	36%	56%	59%	56%	51%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	2	5	16
Converted	3/9	2/6	4/9	2/5	5/9	16/38
Converted %	33%	33%	44%	40%	56%	42%
Conceded	1	4	1	7	8	21
Saved	1/1	3/4	0/1	5/7	5/8	14
Saved %	100%	75%	0%	71%	63%	62%
Times Broken	0	1	1	2	3	7

Nadal
	R1 Borg	R2 Norrie	1/4 Navone	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-4	6-72 7-5 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	19	20	37	76
pts	61-48	68-53	136-126	265-227
Total points	109	121	262	492
Winners	32	32	48	112
%Winners	52%	47%	35%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	1	11
Double Faults	0	0	4	4
1st in	39/53	43/60	78/121	160/234
% 1st in	74%	72%	64%	68%
1st pts	32/39	32/43	48/78	112/160
% 1st pts	82%	74%	62%	70%
2nd pts	9/14	11/17	17/43	37/74
% 2nd pts	64%	65%	40%	50%
Breaks
Won	2	3	10	15
Converted	2/4	3/7	10/21	15/32
Converted %	50%	43%	48%	47%
Conceded	0	4	15	19
Saved	0/0	3/4	7/15	10
Saved %	–	75%	47%	24%
Times Broken	0	1	8	9

Tennis Scores in Bastad

• Manuel Guinard/Gregoire JacqGuinard/Gregoire Jacq – Gonzalo Escobar/Aleksandr NedovyesovEscobar/Aleksandr Nedovyesov (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Rafael NadalNadal – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction