Egor Gerasimov and August Holmgren will face off in the semifinal of the Pozoblanco Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:30 pm on PISTA FABIAN DORADO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is August Holmgren who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, August Holmgren is the pick to win this match.
August Holmgren -> 1.74
Egor Gerasimov -> 1.99

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Prediction and head to head Egor Gerasimov vs. August Holmgren

This will be the 2^nd time that Egor Gerasimov and August Holmgren play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Holmgren (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Holmgren won 6-4 7-6(3) in the qualifications in the Matsuyama Challenger back in 2023.

Egor Gerasimov

Ranked no. 265, Egor reached the semifinal after beating Nicolas Alvarez Varona 7-5 6-7(5) 6-1, Alexander Donski 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Miguel Damas 7-5 2-6 7-6(5).

In the quarter, Egor defeated Damas (7-5 2-6 7-6⁵).During the match, Gerasimov scored less points (2) than Damas. In fact, the world no. 265 won 98 points vs Damas’s. That means that Gerasimov was more focused during the important points. Egor was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gerasimov fired 17 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Egor Gerasimov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gerasimov put 67% of his first serves in, winning 75% (49/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (12/32) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Damas 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gerasimov has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Gerasimov has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (287-214). 13-8 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gerasimov has a composed 138-94 match record in the last years on hard.

Gerasimov’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Wuxi Challenger.

Egor has a compiled 24-19 win-loss record in 2024, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pozoblanco Challenger

Egor has never competed in this tournament before.

August Holmgren

Ranked no. 320, Holmgren got to the semifinal after defeating Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-4 6-1, Stuart Parker 6-1 6-3, Dan Added 7-6(6) 7-6(3) and Egor Gerasimov .

In the quarter, August had a good straight sets win against Added (7-6⁶ 7-6³). During the match Holmgren scored 81 points vs Added’s 70. August was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Holmgren managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, August Holmgren was quite effective on serve to win 81% (39/48) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Dane broke Added once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Holmgren hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

August’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Aarhus and M25 Nottingham.

August has a composed 24-15 win-loss record in 2024, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gerasimov	Holmgren
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	9	6
Tot Games	94	59
Pts	293-265	197-135
Total Points	558	332
Winners	137	81
%Winners	47%	41%

Both Gerasimov and Holmgren played 3 matches. At the moment, Egor Gerasimov lost 3 sets while August Holmgren hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Gerasimov has played 3 sets more than Holmgren (9 vs 6). Therefore, Gerasimov played 35 games more than Holmgren. Gerasimov scored 137 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane struck 81 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gerasimov	Holmgren
Aces	34	18
Avg per match	11.3	6
1st in	177/286	101/151
%1st in	62%	67%
1st pts	137/177	81/101
%1st pts	77%	80%
2nd pts	57/109	40/50
%2nd pts	52%	80%

Gerasimov struck 34 aces (11.3 per match). Holmgren blasted 18 aces (6 per match). Gerasimov won 77% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 80% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gerasimov	Holmgren
Won	10	9
Converted	10/19	9/16
% Converted	53%	56%
Conceded	17	3
Saved	10	1
% Saved	59%	33%
Times Broken	7	2

Gerasimov broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. Holmgren broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.

Gerasimov
	R1 Alvarez	R2 Donski	1/4 Damas	Total
Score	7-5 6-75 6-1	4-6 6-3 6-4	7-5 2-6 7-65
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	32	29	33	94
pts	103-92	92-73	98-100	293-265
Total points	195	165	198	558
Winners	43	45	49	137
%Winners	42%	49%	50%	47%
SERVE
Aces	12	5	17	34
Double Faults	5	4	6	15
1st in	54/102	58/87	65/97	177/286
% 1st in	53%	67%	67%	62%
1st pts	43/54	45/58	49/65	137/177
% 1st pts	80%	78%	75%	77%
2nd pts	28/48	17/29	12/32	57/109
% 2nd pts	58%	59%	38%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	3	3	10
Converted	4/8	3/5	3/6	10/19
Converted %	50%	60%	50%	53%
Conceded	4	5	8	17
Saved	3/4	3/5	4/8	10
Saved %	75%	60%	50%	62%
Times Broken	1	2	4	7

Holmgren
	R1 Merida	R2 Parker	1/4 Added	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	6-1 6-3	7-66 7-63
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	16	26	59
pts	60-33	56-32	81-70	197-135
Total points	93	88	151	332
Winners	21	21	39	81
%Winners	35%	38%	48%	41%
SERVE
Aces	8	3	7	18
Double Faults	2	1	4	7
1st in	27/44	26/38	48/69	101/151
% 1st in	61%	68%	70%	67%
1st pts	21/27	21/26	39/48	81/101
% 1st pts	78%	81%	81%	80%
2nd pts	13/17	11/12	16/21	40/50
% 2nd pts	76%	92%	76%	80%
Breaks
Won	4	4	1	9
Converted	4/8	4/4	1/4	9/16
Converted %	50%	100%	25%	56%
Conceded	2	0	1	3
Saved	1/2	0/0	0/1	1
Saved %	50%	–	0%	17%
Times Broken	1	0	1	2

Tennis Scores in Pozoblanco Challenger

• Robin BertrandBertrand – Laurent LokoliLokoli (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – Dan AddedAdded (7-6⁶ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Alberto Barroso CamposBarroso Campos (3-6 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Miguel DamasDamas (7-5 2-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Liam Hignett/James MackinlayHignett/James Mackinlay – Thomas Fancutt/Divij SharanFancutt/Divij Sharan (6-3 2-6 10-7) – See score progression
• Dan Added/Arthur ReymondAdded/Arthur Reymond – Alberto Barroso Campos/Pedro Vives MarcosBarroso Campos/Pedro Vives Marcos (6-7⁴ 6-3 10-6) – See score progression
• Robin BertrandBertrand – Laurent LokoliLokoli (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (1-0) – H2H and prediction