Evgeny Karlovskiy and Saba Purtseladze will square off in the semifinal of the Astana Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Evgeny Karlovskiy who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Evgeny Karlovskiy is the pick to win this match.
Evgeny Karlovskiy -> 1.61
Saba Purtseladze -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Evgeny Karlovskiy vs. Saba Purtseladze

There is no head to head record between Evgeny Karlovskiy and Saba Purtseladze since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Evgeny Karlovskiy

Ranked no. 437, Karlovskiy got to the semifinal after defeating Alafia Ayeni 7-6(3) 7-6(4), Vladyslav Orlov 5-7 6-4 6-4, Antoine Ghibaudo 7-6(1) 7-6(6) and Saba Purtseladze .

In the quarter, Karlovskiy had a good straight sets win against Ghibaudo (7-6¹ 7-6⁶). During the match, Karlovskiy scored 96 points vs Ghibaudo’s 85. Evgeny was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about the service games, Karlovskiy blasted 8 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Evgeny Karlovskiy was very effective on serve to win 74% (53/72) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Evgeny broke Ghibaudo once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Karlovskiy has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (328-252). 14-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karlovskiy has a compiled 135-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Karlovskiy’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Aktobe.

The Russian has an overall 29-15 win-loss record in 2024, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Astana Challenger

Saba Purtseladze

Ranked no. 533, Purtseladze got to the semifinal after beating Dominik Palan 6-4 6-4, Amir Omarkhanov 6-3 6-4 and Lukas Pokorny 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, Purtseladze had a good straight sets win against Pokorny (6-2 6-3). During the match Purtseladze scored 56 points vs Pokorny’s 38. The Georgean was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Purtseladze blasted 9 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Saba Purtseladze was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (27/33) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Purtseladze was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Pokorny 3 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Georgean hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

The Georgean’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh.

Saba has a compiled 27-20 win-loss record in 2024, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Astana Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Karlovskiy	Purtseladze
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	84	56
Pts	288-263	196-148
Total Points	551	344
Winners	145	83
%Winners	50%	42%

Both Karlovskiy and Purtseladze played 3 matches. At the moment, Evgeny Karlovskiy surrendered 1 set while Saba Purtseladze hasn’t lost a set so far. Karlovskiy has played 1 set more than Purtseladze (7 vs 6). Therefore, Karlovskiy played 28 games more than Purtseladze. Evgeny scored 145 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Georgean fired 83 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Karlovskiy	Purtseladze
Aces	11	29
Avg per match	3.7	9.7
1st in	200/262	105/157
%1st in	76%	67%
1st pts	145/200	83/105
%1st pts	73%	79%
2nd pts	34/62	32/52
%2nd pts	55%	62%

Karlovskiy made 11 aces (3.7 per match). Purtseladze struck 29 aces (9.7 per match). Karlovskiy won 73% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Purtseladze won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Karlovskiy	Purtseladze
Won	7	10
Converted	7/29	10/18
% Converted	24%	56%
Conceded	15	11
Saved	9	9
% Saved	60%	82%
Times Broken	6	2

Evgeny broke his opponents 7 times with a 24% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Saba broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Purtseladze conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

Karlovskiy
	R1 Ayeni	R2 Orlov	1/4 Ghibaudo	Total
Score	7-63 7-64	5-7 6-4 6-4	7-61 7-66
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	26	32	26	84
pts	100-86	92-92	96-85	288-263
Total points	186	184	181	551
Winners	40	52	53	145
%Winners	40%	57%	55%	50%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	8	11
Double Faults	4	2	0	6
1st in	51/76	77/99	72/87	200/262
% 1st in	67%	78%	83%	76%
1st pts	40/51	52/77	53/72	145/200
% 1st pts	78%	68%	74%	73%
2nd pts	13/25	12/22	9/15	34/62
% 2nd pts	52%	55%	60%	55%
Breaks
Won	2	4	1	7
Converted	2/17	4/7	1/5	7/29
Converted %	12%	57%	20%	24%
Conceded	2	7	6	15
Saved	0/2	4/7	5/6	9
Saved %	0%	57%	83%	47%
Times Broken	2	3	1	6

Purtseladze
	R1 Palan	R2 Omarkhanov	1/4 Pokorny	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	19	17	56
pts	66-52	74-58	56-38	196-148
Total points	118	132	94	344
Winners	27	29	27	83
%Winners	41%	39%	48%	42%
SERVE
Aces	15	5	9	29
Double Faults	2	1	0	3
1st in	33/52	39/59	33/46	105/157
% 1st in	63%	66%	72%	67%
1st pts	27/33	29/39	27/33	83/105
% 1st pts	82%	74%	82%	79%
2nd pts	12/19	11/20	9/13	32/52
% 2nd pts	63%	55%	69%	62%
Breaks
Won	3	4	3	10
Converted	3/3	4/12	3/3	10/18
Converted %	100%	33%	100%	56%
Conceded	5	6	0	11
Saved	4/5	5/6	0/0	9
Saved %	80%	83%	–	54%
Times Broken	1	1	0	2

Tennis Scores in Astana Challenger

• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Lukas PokornyPokorny (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (7-6¹ 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Sergey FominFomin (7-6⁵ 6-7³ 7-6³) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction