Ilia Simakin and Lukas Pokorny will face off in the 2nd round of the Astana Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ilia Simakin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ilia Simakin is the pick to win this match.
Ilia Simakin -> 1.73
Lukas Pokorny -> 2.03
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Prediction and head to head Ilia Simakin vs. Lukas Pokorny
This will be the 2nd time that Ilia Simakin and Lukas Pokorny fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Simakin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Simakin won 7-6(2) 2-6 6-3 in the final in M15 Sharm ElSheikh back in 2022.
Ilia Simakin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-20 | 47-19 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-19 | 28-18 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-17 | 24-12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 475 (career-high), the Russian reached the 2nd round after defeating Siddharth Vishwakarma 3-6 7-6(5) 7-5 and Lukas Pokorny .
In the 1st round against Vishwakarma, Simakin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 7-5). During the match, Simakin scored 92 points vs Vishwakarma’s 90. Simakin was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Simakin scored 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Ilia Simakin was exceptionally effective on serve to win 79% (42/53) of his 1st serve and 69% (22/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke Vishwakarma twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Simakin has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 63% of his matches (84-49). 21-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Simakin has a composed73-40 record in the last 4 years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Aktobe,M15 Tbilisi and M15 Monastir.
The Russian has a composed 28-11 win-loss record in 2024, 21-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Lukas Pokorny
19 - 13win/loss
528
460
LLLLLWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-25 | 18-12 | 8-6 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-26 | 21-13 | 4-7 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 36-27 | 22-9 | 12-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 12-4 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 536 (career-high), the Slovakian reached the 2nd round after defeating Khumoun Sultanov 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Sultanov (6-4 6-4). During the match Pokorny scored 67 points vs Sultanov’s 60. Lukas was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Pokorny blasted 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lukas Pokorny conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Pokorny put 65% of his first serves in, winning 86% (37/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (8/23) on the 2nd serve. Pokorny broke Sultanov twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Lukas’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir.
The Slovakian has an aggregate 19-13 win-loss record in 2024, 11-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Pokorny has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Simakin | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 20 |
| Pts | 92-90 | 67-60 |
| Total Points | 182 | 127 |
| Winners | 42 | 37 |
| %Winners | 46% | 55% |
Both Simakin and Pokorny played 1 match. At the moment, Ilia Simakin surrendered 1 set while Lukas Pokorny hasn’t conceded a set so far. Simakin has played 1 set more than Pokorny (3 vs 2). Therefore, Simakin played 14 games more than Pokorny. The Russian scored 42 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Pokorny recorded 37 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Simakin | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 12 |
| 1st in | 53/85 | 43/66 |
| %1st in | 62% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 42/53 | 37/43 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 22/32 | 8/23 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 35% |
Simakin scored 6 aces . Pokorny blasted 12 aces . Simakin won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Pokorny won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 35% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Simakin | Pokorny |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 2 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/7 |
| % Converted | 40% | 29% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Ilia broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Simakin conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Pokorny broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Pokorny was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Simakin | |||
| R1 Vishwakarma |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-65 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 92-90 | 92-90 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 53/85 | 53/85 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 42/53 | 42/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Pokorny | |||
| R1 Sultanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 67-60 | 67-60 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/66 | 43/66 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 37/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/23 | 8/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 35% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLLW
LLLLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Astana Challenger
- Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Vladyslav OrlovOrlov (5-7 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Seita WatanabeWatanabe (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sergey FominFomin – Yanki ErelErel (5-4 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Sergey FominFomin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigoriy LomakinLomakin – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
