Yanki Erel and Sergey Fomin will face off in the 2^nd round of the Astana Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yanki Erel who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yanki Erel is the pick to win this match.
Yanki Erel -> 1.41
Sergey Fomin -> 2.76

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Prediction and head to head Yanki Erel vs. Sergey Fomin

There is no head to head record between Yanki Erel and Sergey Fomin since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Yanki Erel

Ranked no. 448, Erel reached the 2^nd round after defeating Orel Kimhi 6-3 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Yanki had a good straight sets win against Kimhi (6-3 6-2). During the match, Erel scored 66 points vs Kimhi’s 47. Erel was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Erel blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yanki Erel conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 69% of his first serves in, win 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the 2nd serve. The Turk broke Kimhi 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Erel has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (166-111). 13-10 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Erel has an overall105-51 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Turk’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Doha.

Yanki has an overall 21-17 win-loss record in 2024, 13-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Astana Challenger

Sergey Fomin

Ranked no. 582, Fomin got to the 2^nd round after defeating Takeru Yuzuki 7-6(4) 6-1 and Yanki Erel .

In the 1^st round, Sergey had a good straight sets win against Yuzuki (7-6⁴ 6-1). During the match Fomin scored 72 points vs Yuzuki’s 56. The Uzbek was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Fomin made 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Sergey Fomin was pretty efficient on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Uzbek broke Yuzuki twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Sergey’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Shymkent and Kamenogorsk.

Fomin has an aggregate 24-13 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Astana Challenger

The Uzbek has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Erel	Fomin
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	20
Pts	66-47	72-56
Total Points	113	128
Winners	28	33
%Winners	42%	46%

Both Erel and Fomin played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Erel and Fomin have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Erel played 3 games less than Fomin. The Turk scored 28 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Uzbek bagged 33 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Erel	Fomin
Aces	4	4
Avg per match	4	4
1st in	40/58	41/71
%1st in	69%	58%
1st pts	28/40	33/41
%1st pts	70%	80%
2nd pts	13/18	18/30
%2nd pts	72%	60%

Erel fired 4 aces . Fomin struck 4 aces . Erel won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Fomin won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Erel	Fomin
Won	3	2
Converted	3/4	2/3
% Converted	75%	67%
Conceded	0	2
Saved	0	2
% Saved	0%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Erel broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Erel extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Fomin broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Fomin was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Erel
	R1 Kimhi	Total
Score	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	66-47	66-47
Total points	113	113
Winners	28	28
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	40/58	40/58
% 1st in	69%	69%
1st pts	28/40	28/40
% 1st pts	70%	70%
2nd pts	13/18	13/18
% 2nd pts	72%	72%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/4	3/4
Converted %	75%	75%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Fomin
	R1 Yuzuki	Total
Score	7-64 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	72-56	72-56
Total points	128	128
Winners	33	33
%Winners	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	41/71	41/71
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	33/41	33/41
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	18/30	18/30
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/3	2/3
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Astana Challenger

• Ilia SimakinSimakin – Siddharth VishwakarmaVishwakarma (3-6 7-6⁵ 7-5) – See score progression
• Grigoriy LomakinLomakin – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Amir OmarkhanovOmarkhanov – Maxim ZhukovZhukov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy – Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Egor AgafonovAgafonov – Saveliy IvanovIvanov (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – Mirza BasicBasic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Seita WatanabeWatanabe – Filip PeliwoPeliwo (6-7³ 6-4 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Sergey FominFomin – Takeru YuzukiYuzuki (7-6⁴ 6-1) – See score progression
• Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (6-1 7-6⁶) – See score progression
• Yanki ErelErel – Orel KimhiKimhi (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo – Yshai OlielOliel (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Alafia AyeniAyeni (7-6³ 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (7-5 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – Dominik PalanPalan (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Vladyslav OrlovOrlov – Daniel CukiermanCukierman (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (6-1 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Egor AgafonovAgafonov – Saveliy IvanovIvanov (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Grigoriy LomakinLomakin – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Amir OmarkhanovOmarkhanov – Maxim ZhukovZhukov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Ilia SimakinSimakin – Siddharth VishwakarmaVishwakarma (3-6 7-6(5) 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy – Vladyslav OrlovOrlov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandre BakshiBakshi – Seita WatanabeWatanabe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Grigoriy LomakinLomakin – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sergey FominFomin – Yanki ErelErel (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Saba PurtseladzePurtseladze – (0-0) – H2H and prediction