Andrea Pellegrino and Timofey Skatov will square off in the qualifications of the Nordea Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Timofey Skatov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Timofey Skatov is the pick to win this match.
Timofey Skatov -> 1.87
Andrea Pellegrino -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Andrea Pellegrino vs. Timofey Skatov
This will be the 3rd time that Andrea Pellegrino and Timofey Skatov play each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Skatov won 6-3 6-3 in the qualifications in at the Wimbledon back in June 2024.
Andrea Pellegrino
14 - 18win/loss
153
136
LWLLWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-19 | 0-1 | 14-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 14-6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 158, Andrea got to the qualifications after beating Martin Krumich 4-6 7-5 6-1.
In the qualifications against Krumich, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-1). During the match, Pellegrino scored 92 points vs Krumich’s 77. Andrea was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pellegrino made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 80% of his first serves in, winning 59% (44/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 84% (16/19) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Krumich 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Pellegrino has good match record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (259-238). 14-16 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Pellegrino has an overall 217-174 match record in the last years on clay.
Pellegrino has an overall 14-18 win-loss record in 2024, 14-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Andrea has never competed in this tournament before.
Timofey Skatov
28 - 16win/loss
223
123
WWLWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-16 | 1-4 | 26-11 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 6-4 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-32 | 4-3 | 30-27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 0-2 | 33-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 37-14 | 3-1 | 34-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 230, Timofey reached the qualifications after defeating Matteo Gigante 6-1 6-0 and Andrea Pellegrino .
In the qualifications, Timofey had a good straight sets win against Gigante (6-1 6-0). During the match Skatov scored 59 points vs Gigante’s 29. Timofey was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Skatov bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Timofey Skatov was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (21/27) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Skatov broke Gigante 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
His best result of the year was winning the title the Augsburg Challenger where he defeated Elmer Moller in the final 3-6 7-5 6-3.
The Kazakhstani has an overall 28-16 win-loss record in 2024, 25-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bastad
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pellegrino | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 13 |
| Pts | 92-77 | 59-29 |
| Total Points | 169 | 88 |
| Winners | 44 | 21 |
| %Winners | 48% | 36% |
Both Pellegrino and Skatov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Andrea Pellegrino conceded 1 set while Timofey Skatov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Pellegrino has played 1 set more than Skatov (3 vs 2). Therefore, Pellegrino played 16 games more than Skatov. Pellegrino scored 44 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Skatov blasted 21 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pellegrino | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 74/93 | 27/39 |
| %1st in | 80% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 44/74 | 21/27 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 16/19 | 7/12 |
| %2nd pts | 84% | 58% |
Pellegrino bagged 6 aces . Skatov bagged 3 aces . Pellegrino won 59% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 84% of the points. On the other side, Skatov won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pellegrino | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 6/13 |
| % Converted | 45% | 46% |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Timofey broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Skatov conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pellegrino | |||
| Q1 Krumich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 92-77 | 92-77 | |
| Total points | 169 | 169 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 74/93 | 74/93 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 44/74 | 44/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/19 | 16/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 84% | 84% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Skatov | |||
| Q1 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 59-29 | 59-29 | |
| Total points | 88 | 88 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/39 | 27/39 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 21/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWLLLW
WWLWLWWWWL 
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