Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz will face off in the final of Wimbledon for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.64
Novak Djokovic -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This will be the 6th time that Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but Alcaraz has a winning record of 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 6-3 6-2 in the semifinal in Nitto atp finals back in 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz – Nitto atp finals 18-November-2023
Novak Djokovic
23 - 6win/loss
7
1
LWWWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Djokovic reached the final after beating Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-2 6-2, Jacob Fearnley 6-3 6-4 5-7 7-5, Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3), Holger Rune 6-3 6-4 6-2, Alex De Minaur w/o and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Serbian had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 7-62 6-4). During the match, Djokovic scored 116 points vs Musetti’s 98. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic recorded 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 67% of his first serves in, winning 75% (52/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Musetti 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a good record in the last 10 years having won 86% of his matches (506-79). 5-0 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a composed 60-4 match record in the last years on grass.
Novak’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal at the Australian Open ,Carlo, Geneva and in Wimbledon .
The Serbian has a compiled 23-6 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Carlos Alcaraz
32 - 6win/loss
3
1
LWLLWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 6-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the final after defeating Mark Lajal 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2, Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(5) 6-2 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2, Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5, Tommy Paul 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2, Daniil Medvedev 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 6-4 and Novak Djokovic .
In the semifinal against Medvedev, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 6-3 6-4 6-4). During the match Alcaraz scored 127 points vs Medvedev’s 117. Alcaraz was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Alcaraz made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (47/64) of his 1st serve and 61% (30/49) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Carlos broke Medvedev 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2.
Alcaraz has an aggregate 32-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 17 | 23 |
| Tot Games | 168 | 231 |
| Pts | 570-449 | 751-652 |
| Total Points | 1019 | 1403 |
| Winners | 260 | 320 |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% |
Djokovic played 5 matches while Alcaraz competed in 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic lost 2 sets, while Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 5 sets. Djokovic has played 6 set(s) less than Alcaraz (17 vs 23). Therefore, Djokovic played 63 games less than Alcaraz. Djokovic scored 260 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos struck 320 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 54 | 58 |
| Avg per match | 10.8 | 9.7 |
| 1st in | 319/477 | 443/693 |
| %1st in | 67% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 260/319 | 320/443 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 93/158 | 143/250 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 57% |
Djokovic scored 54 aces (10.8 per match). Alcaraz blasted 58 aces (9.7 per match). Djokovic won 82% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 36 |
| Converted | 20/57 | 36/79 |
| % Converted | 35% | 46% |
| Conceded | 14 | 43 |
| Saved | 9 | 24 |
| % Saved | 64% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 19 |
The Serbian broke his opponents 20 times with a 35% conversion rate. Djokovic lost his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Carlos broke his opponents 36 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 19 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||||
| R1 Kopriva |
R2 Fearnley |
R3 Popyrin |
R4 Rune |
1/4 De Minaur |
1/2 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 5-7 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-63 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | w/o | 6-4 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – | 3 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 43 | 42 | 27 | – | 33 | 168 | |
| pts | 98-56 | 130-115 | 135-111 | 91-69 | – | 116-98 | 570-449 | |
| Total points | 154 | 245 | 246 | 160 | – | 214 | 1019 | |
| Winners | 35 | 66 | 69 | 38 | – | 52 | 260 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 51% | 51% | 42% | – | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 10 | 14 | 19 | 5 | – | 6 | 54 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | – | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 39/58 | 82/123 | 78/113 | 51/80 | – | 69/103 | 319/477 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 69% | 64% | – | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 35/39 | 66/82 | 69/78 | 38/51 | – | 52/69 | 260/319 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 80% | 88% | 75% | – | 75% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 23/41 | 21/35 | 21/29 | – | 15/34 | 93/158 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 56% | 60% | 72% | – | 44% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | – | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 4/7 | 2/8 | 4/14 | – | 4/13 | 20/57 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 25% | 29% | – | 31% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | – | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 2/2 | – | 2/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 50% | 100% | – | 50% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | – | 2 | 5 | |
| Alcaraz | ||||||||
| R1 Lajal |
R2 Vukic |
R3 Tiafoe |
R4 Humbert |
1/4 Paul |
1/2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-5 6-2 | 7-65 6-2 6-2 | 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-62 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5 | 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 | 6-71 6-3 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 29 | 51 | 38 | 38 | 42 | 231 | |
| pts | 108-83 | 95-66 | 161-153 | 121-117 | 139-116 | 127-117 | 751-652 | |
| Total points | 191 | 161 | 314 | 238 | 255 | 244 | 1403 | |
| Winners | 47 | 40 | 75 | 63 | 48 | 47 | 320 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 47% | 52% | 35% | 37% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 11 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 58 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 56/89 | 49/74 | 106/163 | 95/135 | 73/119 | 64/113 | 443/693 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 66% | 65% | 70% | 61% | 57% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 47/56 | 40/49 | 75/106 | 63/95 | 48/73 | 47/64 | 320/443 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 71% | 66% | 66% | 73% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 14/25 | 35/57 | 17/40 | 29/46 | 30/49 | 143/250 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 56% | 61% | 43% | 63% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 36 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/11 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 8/27 | 6/15 | 36/79 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 63% | 75% | 30% | 40% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 43 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/3 | 7/10 | 8/13 | 6/10 | 0/3 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 70% | 62% | 60% | 0% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | |
Head 2 Head
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