Sho Shimabukuro and Eliot Spizzirri will play each other in the semifinal of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.85
Eliot Spizzirri -> 1.87

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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Eliot Spizzirri

There is no head to head record between Sho Shimabukuro and Eliot Spizzirri since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Sho Shimabukuro

Ranked no. 251, Shimabukuro got to the semifinal after defeating Illya Marchenko 7-5 6-1, Nicolas Mejia 6-2 6-1 and Tristan Schoolkate 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Schoolkate (6-2 6-4). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 70 points vs Schoolkate’s 57. Shimabukuro was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shimabukuro struck 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Schoolkate 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shimabukuro hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Shimabukuro has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (224-135). 6-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shimabukuro has a composed163-93 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

The Japanese has a compiled 13-17 win-loss record in 2024, 6-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger

Eliot Spizzirri

Ranked no. 525 (career-high), the American reached the semifinal after beating Keegan Rice 6-3 7-5, Jeff Wolf 7-6(1) 6-3, Hugo Grenier 6-3 6-4 and Sho Shimabukuro .

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Grenier (6-3 6-4). During the match Spizzirri scored 77 points vs Grenier’s 62. Eliot was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Spizzirri recorded 5 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Eliot Spizzirri was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (27/38) of his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Grenier 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Spizzirri hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Spizzirri’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Wichita,M25 Tulsa and M25 Laval.

The American has a composed 17-2 win-loss record in 2024, 17-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shimabukuro	Spizzirri
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	52	62
Pts	200-148	209-167
Total Points	348	376
Winners	69	83
%Winners	35%	40%

Both Shimabukuro and Spizzirri played 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shimabukuro and Spizzirri have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Shimabukuro played 10 games less than Spizzirri. Shimabukuro scored 69 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 83 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shimabukuro	Spizzirri
Aces	19	14
Avg per match	6.3	4.7
1st in	90/160	110/195
%1st in	56%	56%
1st pts	69/90	83/110
%1st pts	77%	75%
2nd pts	40/70	50/85
%2nd pts	57%	59%

Shimabukuro recorded 19 aces (6.3 per match). Spizzirri bagged 14 aces (4.7 per match). Shimabukuro won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Spizzirri won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shimabukuro	Spizzirri
Won	12	10
Converted	12/22	10/17
% Converted	55%	59%
Conceded	8	10
Saved	7	6
% Saved	88%	60%
Times Broken	1	4

Shimabukuro broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Japanese dropped his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Eliot broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Shimabukuro
	R1 Marchenko	R2 Mejia	1/4 Schoolkate	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	6-2 6-1	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	15	18	52
pts	69-47	61-44	70-57	200-148
Total points	116	105	127	348
Winners	25	21	23	69
%Winners	36%	34%	33%	35%
SERVE
Aces	9	4	6	19
Double Faults	3	3	3	9
1st in	30/61	30/45	30/54	90/160
% 1st in	49%	67%	56%	56%
1st pts	25/30	21/30	23/30	69/90
% 1st pts	83%	70%	77%	77%
2nd pts	16/31	9/15	15/24	40/70
% 2nd pts	52%	60%	63%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	5	3	12
Converted	4/4	5/11	3/7	12/22
Converted %	100%	45%	43%	55%
Conceded	3	4	1	8
Saved	2/3	4/4	1/1	7
Saved %	67%	100%	100%	89%
Times Broken	1	0	0	1

Spizzirri
	R1 Rice	R2 Wolf	1/4 Grenier	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	7-61 6-3	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	22	19	62
pts	62-42	70-63	77-62	209-167
Total points	104	133	139	376
Winners	25	31	27	83
%Winners	40%	44%	35%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	5	14
Double Faults	5	1	7	13
1st in	27/48	45/73	38/74	110/195
% 1st in	56%	62%	51%	56%
1st pts	25/27	31/45	27/38	83/110
% 1st pts	93%	69%	71%	75%
2nd pts	11/21	18/28	21/36	50/85
% 2nd pts	52%	64%	58%	59%
Breaks
Won	5	2	3	10
Converted	5/6	2/5	3/6	10/17
Converted %	83%	40%	50%	59%
Conceded	2	3	5	10
Saved	0/2	2/3	4/5	6
Saved %	0%	67%	80%	49%
Times Broken	2	1	1	4

Tennis Scores in Winnipeg Challenger

• Yuta Shimizu/Kaichi UchidaShimizu/Kaichi Uchida – Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar/Taha BaadiCarlos Manuel Aguilar/Taha Baadi (4-6 6-4 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Benjamin BonziBonzi – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (0-0) – H2H and prediction