Tristan Schoolkate and Sho Shimabukuro will play each other in the quarter of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Schoolkate who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tristan Schoolkate is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Schoolkate -> 1.81
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Tristan Schoolkate vs. Sho Shimabukuro

This will be the 2nd time that Tristan Schoolkate and Sho Shimabukuro square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Schoolkate (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Schoolkate won 5-7 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.

Tristan Schoolkate

Tristan Schoolkate

27 - 19win/loss

Hard
22-13
I Hard
0-0
Clay
0-2
Grass
5-4
Rank
193
High
176
LWWLWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-24 27-17 0-2 0-0 6-5 0-0
2023 44-30 30-23 4-4 2-2 8-1 0-0
2022 48-29 24-15 17-11 0-0 7-3 0-0
2021 24-20 8-9 3-5 11-5 0-0 2-1
2020 1-4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 176 (career-high), Tristan reached the quarter after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-2 7-6(5) and Antoine Bellier 4-6 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Bellier, Schoolkate recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Schoolkate scored 95 points vs Bellier’s 85. Schoolkate was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Schoolkate bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tristan Schoolkate was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tristan broke Bellier 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tristan has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Schoolkate has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (153-106). 22-12 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Schoolkate has a compiled94-67 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Guangzhou Challenger where he overcame Adam Walton in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

Tristan has a compiled 27-18 win-loss record in 2024, 22-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger

The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.

Winnipeg Challenger
Schoolkate's Record

Sho Shimabukuro

Sho Shimabukuro

13 - 17win/loss

Hard
6-7
I Hard
1-4
Clay
1-3
Grass
5-3
Rank
239
High
135
LLLWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 16-21 9-11 1-3 1-4 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 31-20 28-18 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2020 4-5 4-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 251, Shimabukuro got to the quarter after defeating Illya Marchenko 7-5 6-1, Nicolas Mejia 6-2 6-1 and Tristan Schoolkate .

In the 2nd round, Sho had a good straight sets win against Mejia (6-2 6-1). During the match Shimabukuro scored 61 points vs Mejia’s 44. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimabukuro managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (21/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Mejia 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

The Japanese has a composed 12-17 win-loss record in 2024, 5-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Winnipeg Challenger
Shimabukuro's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Schoolkate
S.Shimabukuro
3h:42
3h:42
Time on court​
2h:52
2h:52
!
2h:04
2h:04
Last match​
1h:22
1h:22
2
2
Match played
2
2
49
49
Games Played​
34
34
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
160
160
Total points​
130
130
80
80
Avg point​
65
65
71
71
Winners
46
46
35.5
35.5
Avg Winners​
23
23
44%
44%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
13
13
7
7
Avg Aces
6.5
6.5
6
6
Double Faults
6
6
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
71/91
71/91
1st won total​
46/60
46/60
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
35/58
35/58
2nd won total​
25/46
25/46
60%
60%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
5/15
5/15
BP won
9/15
9/15
2.5/7.5
2.5/7.5
Avg BP won
4.5/7.5
4.5/7.5
33%
33%
Won
!
60%
60%
3
3
Conceded
7
7
1.5
1.5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
1
1
Broken
1
1
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
2
2
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Schoolkate Shimabukuro
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 49 34
Pts 160-141 130-91
Total Points 301 221
Winners 71 46
%Winners 44% 35%

Both Schoolkate and Shimabukuro played 2 matches. At the moment, Tristan Schoolkate conceded 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Schoolkate has played 1 set more than Shimabukuro (5 vs 4). Therefore, Schoolkate played 15 games more than Shimabukuro. Schoolkate scored 71 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 46 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Schoolkate Shimabukuro
Aces 14 13
Avg per match 7 6.5
1st in 91/149 60/106
%1st in 61% 57%
1st pts 71/91 46/60
%1st pts 78% 77%
2nd pts 35/58 25/46
%2nd pts 60% 54%

Schoolkate struck 14 aces (7 per match). Shimabukuro fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Schoolkate won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Schoolkate Shimabukuro
Won 5 9
Converted 5/15 9/15
% Converted 33% 60%
Conceded 3 7
Saved 2 6
% Saved 67% 86%
Times Broken 1 1

Tristan broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Schoolkate
R1
Kent
R2
Bellier
Total
Score 6-2 7-65 4-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 21 28 49
pts 65-56 95-85 160-141
Total points 121 180 301
Winners 31 40 71
%Winners 48% 42% 44%
SERVE
Aces 6 8 14
Double Faults 4 2 6
1st in 37/58 54/91 91/149
% 1st in 64% 59% 61%
1st pts 31/37 40/54 71/91
% 1st pts 84% 74% 78%
2nd pts 14/21 21/37 35/58
% 2nd pts 67% 57% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/6 3/9 5/15
Converted % 33% 33% 33%
Conceded 0 3 3
Saved 0/0 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 34%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Shimabukuro
R1
Marchenko
R2
Mejia
Total
Score 7-5 6-1 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 15 34
pts 69-47 61-44 130-91
Total points 116 105 221
Winners 25 21 46
%Winners 36% 34% 35%
SERVE
Aces 9 4 13
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 30/61 30/45 60/106
% 1st in 49% 67% 57%
1st pts 25/30 21/30 46/60
% 1st pts 83% 70% 77%
2nd pts 16/31 9/15 25/46
% 2nd pts 52% 60% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/4 5/11 9/15
Converted % 100% 45% 60%
Conceded 3 4 7
Saved 2/3 4/4 6
Saved % 67% 100% 84%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Tennis Scores in Winnipeg Challenger

  • Liam Draxl/Cleeve HarperDraxl/Cleeve HarperHans Hach Verdugo/Vasil KirkovHach Verdugo/Vasil Kirkov (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

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