Tristan Schoolkate and Sho Shimabukuro will play each other in the quarter of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Schoolkate who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tristan Schoolkate is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Schoolkate -> 1.81
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Tristan Schoolkate vs. Sho Shimabukuro

This will be the 2^nd time that Tristan Schoolkate and Sho Shimabukuro square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Schoolkate (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Schoolkate won 5-7 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.

Tristan Schoolkate

Ranked no. 176 (career-high), Tristan reached the quarter after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-2 7-6(5) and Antoine Bellier 4-6 6-3 6-3.

In the 2^nd round against Bellier, Schoolkate recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Schoolkate scored 95 points vs Bellier’s 85. Schoolkate was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Schoolkate bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tristan Schoolkate was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tristan broke Bellier 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tristan has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Schoolkate has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (153-106). 22-12 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Schoolkate has a compiled94-67 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Guangzhou Challenger where he overcame Adam Walton in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.

Tristan has a compiled 27-18 win-loss record in 2024, 22-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger

The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.

Sho Shimabukuro

Ranked no. 251, Shimabukuro got to the quarter after defeating Illya Marchenko 7-5 6-1, Nicolas Mejia 6-2 6-1 and Tristan Schoolkate .

In the 2^nd round, Sho had a good straight sets win against Mejia (6-2 6-1). During the match Shimabukuro scored 61 points vs Mejia’s 44. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimabukuro managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (21/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Mejia 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

The Japanese has a composed 12-17 win-loss record in 2024, 5-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Schoolkate	Shimabukuro
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	49	34
Pts	160-141	130-91
Total Points	301	221
Winners	71	46
%Winners	44%	35%

Both Schoolkate and Shimabukuro played 2 matches. At the moment, Tristan Schoolkate conceded 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Schoolkate has played 1 set more than Shimabukuro (5 vs 4). Therefore, Schoolkate played 15 games more than Shimabukuro. Schoolkate scored 71 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 46 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Schoolkate	Shimabukuro
Aces	14	13
Avg per match	7	6.5
1st in	91/149	60/106
%1st in	61%	57%
1st pts	71/91	46/60
%1st pts	78%	77%
2nd pts	35/58	25/46
%2nd pts	60%	54%

Schoolkate struck 14 aces (7 per match). Shimabukuro fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Schoolkate won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Schoolkate	Shimabukuro
Won	5	9
Converted	5/15	9/15
% Converted	33%	60%
Conceded	3	7
Saved	2	6
% Saved	67%	86%
Times Broken	1	1

Tristan broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Schoolkate
	R1 Kent	R2 Bellier	Total
Score	6-2 7-65	4-6 6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	21	28	49
pts	65-56	95-85	160-141
Total points	121	180	301
Winners	31	40	71
%Winners	48%	42%	44%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	14
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	37/58	54/91	91/149
% 1st in	64%	59%	61%
1st pts	31/37	40/54	71/91
% 1st pts	84%	74%	78%
2nd pts	14/21	21/37	35/58
% 2nd pts	67%	57%	60%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/6	3/9	5/15
Converted %	33%	33%	33%
Conceded	0	3	3
Saved	0/0	2/3	2
Saved %	–	67%	34%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Shimabukuro
	R1 Marchenko	R2 Mejia	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	15	34
pts	69-47	61-44	130-91
Total points	116	105	221
Winners	25	21	46
%Winners	36%	34%	35%
SERVE
Aces	9	4	13
Double Faults	3	3	6
1st in	30/61	30/45	60/106
% 1st in	49%	67%	57%
1st pts	25/30	21/30	46/60
% 1st pts	83%	70%	77%
2nd pts	16/31	9/15	25/46
% 2nd pts	52%	60%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/4	5/11	9/15
Converted %	100%	45%	60%
Conceded	3	4	7
Saved	2/3	4/4	6
Saved %	67%	100%	84%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Tennis Scores in Winnipeg Challenger

• Liam Draxl/Cleeve HarperDraxl/Cleeve Harper – Hans Hach Verdugo/Vasil KirkovHach Verdugo/Vasil Kirkov (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction