Tristan Schoolkate and Sho Shimabukuro will play each other in the quarter of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Schoolkate who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tristan Schoolkate is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Schoolkate -> 1.81
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Tristan Schoolkate vs. Sho Shimabukuro
This will be the 2nd time that Tristan Schoolkate and Sho Shimabukuro square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Schoolkate (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Schoolkate won 5-7 6-4 6-3 in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Tristan Schoolkate
27 - 19win/loss
171
167
LLLWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-33 | 38-24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-30 | 30-23 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-29 | 24-15 | 17-11 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 8-9 | 3-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2020 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 176 (career-high), Tristan reached the quarter after defeating James Kent Trotter 6-2 7-6(5) and Antoine Bellier 4-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Bellier, Schoolkate recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Schoolkate scored 95 points vs Bellier’s 85. Schoolkate was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Schoolkate bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tristan Schoolkate was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (40/54) of his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tristan broke Bellier 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tristan has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Schoolkate has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 59% of his matches (153-106). 22-12 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Schoolkate has a compiled94-67 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Guangzhou Challenger where he overcame Adam Walton in the final 6-3 3-6 6-3.
Tristan has a compiled 27-18 win-loss record in 2024, 22-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Sho Shimabukuro
13 - 17win/loss
193
135
LLWWLWLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-27 | 20-16 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 251, Shimabukuro got to the quarter after defeating Illya Marchenko 7-5 6-1, Nicolas Mejia 6-2 6-1 and Tristan Schoolkate .
In the 2nd round, Sho had a good straight sets win against Mejia (6-2 6-1). During the match Shimabukuro scored 61 points vs Mejia’s 44. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimabukuro managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (21/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Mejia 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Japanese has a composed 12-17 win-loss record in 2024, 5-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Schoolkate | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 34 |
| Pts | 160-141 | 130-91 |
| Total Points | 301 | 221 |
| Winners | 71 | 46 |
| %Winners | 44% | 35% |
Both Schoolkate and Shimabukuro played 2 matches. At the moment, Tristan Schoolkate conceded 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Schoolkate has played 1 set more than Shimabukuro (5 vs 4). Therefore, Schoolkate played 15 games more than Shimabukuro. Schoolkate scored 71 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese struck 46 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Schoolkate | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 91/149 | 60/106 |
| %1st in | 61% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 71/91 | 46/60 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 35/58 | 25/46 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 54% |
Schoolkate struck 14 aces (7 per match). Shimabukuro fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Schoolkate won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Schoolkate | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| % Converted | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 6 |
| % Saved | 67% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Tristan broke his opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Shimabukuro broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Schoolkate | ||||
| R1 Kent |
R2 Bellier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 28 | 49 | |
| pts | 65-56 | 95-85 | 160-141 | |
| Total points | 121 | 180 | 301 | |
| Winners | 31 | 40 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 37/58 | 54/91 | 91/149 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 40/54 | 71/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 21/37 | 35/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 57% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/9 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shimabukuro | ||||
| R1 Marchenko |
R2 Mejia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 34 | |
| pts | 69-47 | 61-44 | 130-91 | |
| Total points | 116 | 105 | 221 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 30/61 | 30/45 | 60/106 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 67% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/30 | 21/30 | 46/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 70% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 9/15 | 25/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 60% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 5/11 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 45% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLWWL
LLWWLWLWLL Tennis Scores in Winnipeg Challenger
- Liam Draxl/Cleeve HarperDraxl/Cleeve Harper – Hans Hach Verdugo/Vasil KirkovHach Verdugo/Vasil Kirkov (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yuta ShimizuShimizu – Benjamin BonziBonzi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Brandon HoltHolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
