Henrique Rocha and Francesco Maestrelli will play each other in the quarter of the Trieste Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT GIORGI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Henrique Rocha who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Henrique Rocha is the pick to win this match.
Henrique Rocha -> 1.84
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Francesco Maestrelli

There is no head to head record between Henrique Rocha and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Henrique Rocha

Ranked no. 187, Rocha got to the quarter after defeating Andrea Guerrieri 7-5 3-6 6-3, Alessandro Pecci w/o and Francesco Maestrelli .

In the 2^nd round, Henrique defeated Pecci (w/o). During the match, Rocha and Pecci scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 187 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Portuguese was not very aggressive to strike just winners.

Talking about the service games, Rocha couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Henrique Rocha conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.

Rocha has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 59% of his matches (107-74). 13-9 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rocha has an overall41-37 match record in the last 5 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Nikoloz Basilashvili in the final 3-6 7-6(0) 7-5.

Henrique has an aggregate 21-17 win-loss record in 2024, 13-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Trieste Challenger

Henrique has never competed in this tournament before.

Francesco Maestrelli

Ranked no. 263, Maestrelli got to the quarter after beating Andrea Pellegrino 3-6 7-5 ret. and Dusan Obradovic 6-7(4) 6-1 6-0.

In the 2^nd round against Obradovic, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁴ 6-1 6-0). During the match Maestrelli scored 96 points vs Obradovic’s 73. Maestrelli was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Maestrelli recorded 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 61% of his first serves in, winning 76% (41/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Maestrelli broke Obradovic 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Tenerife 2 Challenger and the Szekesfehervar Challenger.

Maestrelli has an aggregate 21-21 win-loss record in 2024, 16-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rocha	Maestrelli
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	6
Tot Games	30	47
Pts	90-92	165-148
Total Points	182	313
Winners	30	67
%Winners	33%	41%

Rocha played 1 match while Maestrelli competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Henrique Rocha conceded 1 set, while Francesco Maestrelli surrendered 2 sets. Rocha has played 3 set(s) less than Maestrelli (3 vs 6). Therefore, Rocha played 17 games less than Maestrelli. Rocha scored 30 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli managed to score 67 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rocha	Maestrelli
Aces	5	11
Avg per match	5	5.5
1st in	42/92	90/162
%1st in	46%	56%
1st pts	30/42	67/90
%1st pts	71%	74%
2nd pts	28/50	29/72
%2nd pts	56%	40%

Rocha fired 5 aces . Maestrelli managed to score 11 aces (5.5 per match). Rocha won 71% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 40% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rocha	Maestrelli
Won	3	11
Converted	3/9	11/20
% Converted	33%	55%
Conceded	7	14
Saved	5	8
% Saved	71%	57%
Times Broken	2	6

The Portuguese broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Henrique lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Rocha
	R1 Guerrieri	R2 Pecci	Total
Score	7-5 3-6 6-3	w/o
Tot Set	3	–	3
Tot Games	30	–	30
pts	90-92	–	90-92
Total points	182	–	182
Winners	30	–	30
%Winners	33%	–	33%
SERVE
Aces	5	–	5
Double Faults	7	–	7
1st in	42/92	–	42/92
% 1st in	46%	–	46%
1st pts	30/42	–	30/42
% 1st pts	71%	–	71%
2nd pts	28/50	–	28/50
% 2nd pts	56%	–	56%
Breaks
Won	3	–	3
Converted	3/9	–	3/9
Converted %	33%	–	33%
Conceded	7	–	7
Saved	5/7	–	5
Saved %	71%	–	36%
Times Broken	2	–	2

Maestrelli
	R1 Pellegrino	R2 Obradovic	Total
Score	3-6 7-5 ret.	6-74 6-1 6-0
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	21	26	47
pts	69-75	96-73	165-148
Total points	144	169	313
Winners	26	41	67
%Winners	38%	43%	41%
SERVE
Aces	4	7	11
Double Faults	6	7	13
1st in	36/73	54/89	90/162
% 1st in	49%	61%	56%
1st pts	26/36	41/54	67/90
% 1st pts	72%	76%	74%
2nd pts	12/37	17/35	29/72
% 2nd pts	32%	49%	40%
Breaks
Won	5	6	11
Converted	5/11	6/9	11/20
Converted %	45%	67%	55%
Conceded	9	5	14
Saved	4/9	4/5	8
Saved %	44%	80%	62%
Times Broken	5	1	6

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