Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev will clash against each other in the semifinal of Wimbledon for the 7^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.363
Daniil Medvedev -> 3.24

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 7^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on grass.

The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 7-6(5) 6-1 in the final in Indian wells back in March 2024.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev – Indian wells 17-March-2024

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after beating Mark Lajal 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2, Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(5) 6-2 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2, Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5 and Tommy Paul 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter against Paul, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 139 points vs Paul’s 116. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (48/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (29/46) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Paul 8 times after converting 30% of his break points (8/27).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alcaraz has surrendered 4 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (264-69). 6-1 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a composed22-3 record in the last 7 years on grass.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2.

Carlos has a compiled 31-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, Daniil reached the semifinal after defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-4 6-2, Alexandre Muller 6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 6-3 4-6 7-6(3), Grigor Dimitrov 5-3 ret., Jannik Sinner 6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 and Carlos Alcaraz .

In the quarter, The Russian had a tough win against Sinner to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-7⁷ 6-4 7-6⁴ 2-6 6-3).During the match Medvedev scored less points (4) than Sinner. In fact, the world no. 3 won 160 points vs Sinner’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 91 winners.

Talking about serving, Medvedev blasted 15 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 76% (91/119) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (25/55) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Sinner 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

contrapared.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniil has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

Medvedev has a composed 33-9 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Medvedev
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	19	18
Tot Games	189	175
Pts	624-535	572-505
Total Points	1159	1077
Winners	273	272
%Winners	44%	48%

Both Alcaraz and Medvedev played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 4 sets, while Daniil Medvedev surrendered 4 sets. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Medvedev (19 vs 18). Therefore, Alcaraz played 14 games more than Medvedev. Alcaraz scored 273 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 272 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Medvedev
Aces	52	64
Avg per match	10.4	12.8
1st in	379/580	356/530
%1st in	65%	67%
1st pts	273/379	272/356
%1st pts	72%	76%
2nd pts	113/201	97/174
%2nd pts	56%	56%

Alcaraz made 52 aces (10.4 per match). Medvedev scored 64 aces (12.8 per match). Alcaraz won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Medvedev
Won	30	18
Converted	30/64	18/41
% Converted	47%	44%
Conceded	40	22
Saved	24	14
% Saved	60%	64%
Times Broken	16	8

The Spaniard broke his opponents 30 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alcaraz dropped his serve 16 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Daniil broke his opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Lajal	R2 Vukic	R3 Tiafoe	R4 Humbert	1/4 Paul	Total
Score	7-63 7-5 6-2	7-65 6-2 6-2	5-7 6-2 4-6 7-62 6-2	6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5	5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	5	4	4	19
Tot Games	33	29	51	38	38	189
pts	108-83	95-66	161-153	121-117	139-116	624-535
Total points	191	161	314	238	255	1159
Winners	47	40	75	63	48	273
%Winners	44%	42%	47%	52%	35%	44%
SERVE
Aces	4	11	16	14	7	52
Double Faults	4	2	5	6	2	19
1st in	56/89	49/74	106/163	95/135	73/119	379/580
% 1st in	63%	66%	65%	70%	61%	65%
1st pts	47/56	40/49	75/106	63/95	48/73	273/379
% 1st pts	84%	82%	71%	66%	66%	72%
2nd pts	18/33	14/25	35/57	17/40	29/46	113/201
% 2nd pts	55%	56%	61%	43%	63%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	6	5	6	8	30
Converted	5/10	6/11	5/8	6/8	8/27	30/64
Converted %	50%	55%	63%	75%	30%	47%
Conceded	4	3	10	13	10	40
Saved	2/4	1/3	7/10	8/13	6/10	24
Saved %	50%	33%	70%	62%	60%	55%
Times Broken	2	2	3	5	4	16

Medvedev
	R1 Kovacevic	R2 Muller	R3 Struff	R4 Dimitrov	1/4 Sinner	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 6-2	6-73 7-64 6-4 7-5	6-1 6-3 4-6 7-63	5-3 ret.	6-77 6-4 7-64 2-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	4	4	1	5	17
Tot Games	27	48	39	8	53	175
pts	94-71	165-145	125-105	28-20	160-164	572-505
Total points	165	310	230	48	324	1077
Winners	42	71	59	9	91	272
%Winners	45%	43%	47%	32%	57%	48%
SERVE
Aces	16	14	13	6	15	64
Double Faults	4	5	5	1	11	26
1st in	53/81	95/148	75/104	14/23	119/174	356/530
% 1st in	65%	64%	72%	61%	68%	67%
1st pts	42/53	71/95	59/75	9/14	91/119	272/356
% 1st pts	79%	75%	79%	64%	76%	76%
2nd pts	17/28	32/53	17/29	6/9	25/55	97/174
% 2nd pts	61%	60%	59%	67%	45%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	2	3	18
Converted	4/8	4/12	5/11	2/3	3/7	18/41
Converted %	50%	33%	45%	67%	43%	44%
Conceded	3	7	4	2	6	22
Saved	3/3	5/7	2/4	1/2	3/6	14
Saved %	100%	71%	50%	50%	50%	64%
Times Broken	0	2	2	1	3	8

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

• Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (6-4 7-6¹) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

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• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-5) – H2H and prediction