Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev will clash against each other in the semifinal of Wimbledon for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.363
Daniil Medvedev -> 3.24
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 7th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 7-6(5) 6-1 in the final in Indian wells back in March 2024.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev – Indian wells 17-March-2024
Carlos Alcaraz
31 - 6win/loss
3
1
WLLWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53-12 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 6-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard reached the semifinal after beating Mark Lajal 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2, Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(5) 6-2 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2, Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5 and Tommy Paul 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter against Paul, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 139 points vs Paul’s 116. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz bagged 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (48/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (29/46) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Paul 8 times after converting 30% of his break points (8/27).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz has surrendered 4 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (264-69). 6-1 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has a composed22-3 record in the last 7 years on grass.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2.
Carlos has a compiled 31-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Daniil Medvedev
33 - 9win/loss
4
1
WLLLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-20 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Daniil reached the semifinal after defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 6-4 6-2, Alexandre Muller 6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-4 7-5, Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 6-3 4-6 7-6(3), Grigor Dimitrov 5-3 ret., Jannik Sinner 6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 and Carlos Alcaraz .
In the quarter, The Russian had a tough win against Sinner to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-77 6-4 7-64 2-6 6-3).During the match Medvedev scored less points (4) than Sinner. In fact, the world no. 3 won 160 points vs Sinner’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 91 winners.
Talking about serving, Medvedev blasted 15 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 76% (91/119) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (25/55) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Sinner 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
contrapared.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Russian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Medvedev has a composed 33-9 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 19 | 18 |
| Tot Games | 189 | 175 |
| Pts | 624-535 | 572-505 |
| Total Points | 1159 | 1077 |
| Winners | 273 | 272 |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% |
Both Alcaraz and Medvedev played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 4 sets, while Daniil Medvedev surrendered 4 sets. Alcaraz has played 1 set more than Medvedev (19 vs 18). Therefore, Alcaraz played 14 games more than Medvedev. Alcaraz scored 273 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 272 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 52 | 64 |
| Avg per match | 10.4 | 12.8 |
| 1st in | 379/580 | 356/530 |
| %1st in | 65% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 273/379 | 272/356 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 113/201 | 97/174 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 56% |
Alcaraz made 52 aces (10.4 per match). Medvedev scored 64 aces (12.8 per match). Alcaraz won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 30 | 18 |
| Converted | 30/64 | 18/41 |
| % Converted | 47% | 44% |
| Conceded | 40 | 22 |
| Saved | 24 | 14 |
| % Saved | 60% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 16 | 8 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 30 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alcaraz dropped his serve 16 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Daniil broke his opponents 18 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||||
| R1 Lajal |
R2 Vukic |
R3 Tiafoe |
R4 Humbert |
1/4 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-5 6-2 | 7-65 6-2 6-2 | 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-62 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5 | 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 29 | 51 | 38 | 38 | 189 | |
| pts | 108-83 | 95-66 | 161-153 | 121-117 | 139-116 | 624-535 | |
| Total points | 191 | 161 | 314 | 238 | 255 | 1159 | |
| Winners | 47 | 40 | 75 | 63 | 48 | 273 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 47% | 52% | 35% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 4 | 11 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 52 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 56/89 | 49/74 | 106/163 | 95/135 | 73/119 | 379/580 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 66% | 65% | 70% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 47/56 | 40/49 | 75/106 | 63/95 | 48/73 | 273/379 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 71% | 66% | 66% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/33 | 14/25 | 35/57 | 17/40 | 29/46 | 113/201 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 56% | 61% | 43% | 63% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 30 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 6/11 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 8/27 | 30/64 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 63% | 75% | 30% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/3 | 7/10 | 8/13 | 6/10 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 70% | 62% | 60% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Medvedev | |||||||
| R1 Kovacevic |
R2 Muller |
R3 Struff |
R4 Dimitrov |
1/4 Sinner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 6-73 7-64 6-4 7-5 | 6-1 6-3 4-6 7-63 | 5-3 ret. | 6-77 6-4 7-64 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 48 | 39 | 8 | 53 | 175 | |
| pts | 94-71 | 165-145 | 125-105 | 28-20 | 160-164 | 572-505 | |
| Total points | 165 | 310 | 230 | 48 | 324 | 1077 | |
| Winners | 42 | 71 | 59 | 9 | 91 | 272 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 47% | 32% | 57% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 16 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 64 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 53/81 | 95/148 | 75/104 | 14/23 | 119/174 | 356/530 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 64% | 72% | 61% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 42/53 | 71/95 | 59/75 | 9/14 | 91/119 | 272/356 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 75% | 79% | 64% | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 32/53 | 17/29 | 6/9 | 25/55 | 97/174 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 60% | 59% | 67% | 45% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/12 | 5/11 | 2/3 | 3/7 | 18/41 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 45% | 67% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 5/7 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3/6 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWLWWWWW
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