Nicolas Mejia and Aidan Mayo will square off in the qualifications of the Winnipeg Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aidan Mayo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aidan Mayo is the pick to win this match.
Aidan Mayo -> 1.85
Nicolas Mejia -> 1.89
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Mejia vs. Aidan Mayo
This will be the 2nd time that Nicolas Mejia and Aidan Mayo play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mayo (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Mayo won 6-4 3-6 6-4 in the quarter in the Granby Challenger back in 2022.
Nicolas Mejia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-23 | 14-16 | 11-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-33 | 18-21 | 23-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-33 | 6-13 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-35 | 13-12 | 15-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-28 | 16-10 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 264, Mejia got to the qualifications after defeating Ryuki Matsuda 6-3 6-4 and Aidan Mayo .
In the qualifications, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Matsuda (6-3 6-4). During the match, Mejia scored 69 points vs Matsuda’s 49. Nicolas was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mejia managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Nicolas Mejia was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (26/29) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nicolas broke Matsuda twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Mejia has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 55% of his matches (194-161). 11-9 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Mejia has an overall76-62 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title the San Luis Potosi Challenger where he beat Matias Soto in the final 6-1 5-7 6-2.
Mejia has an aggregate 31-15 win-loss record in 2024, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Aidan Mayo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-22 | 16-12 | 0-4 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-32 | 16-18 | 4-4 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-28 | 24-15 | 2-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-25 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-8 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 294, Aidan reached the qualifications after beating Cleeve Harper 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the qualifications, Aidan had a good straight sets win against Harper (7-65 6-3). During the match Mayo scored 83 points vs Harper’s 77. Aidan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Mayo blasted 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Aidan Mayo was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mayo broke Harper twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Mayo has a compiled 8-16 win-loss record in 2024, 4-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Winnipeg Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mejia | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 |
| Pts | 69-49 | 83-77 |
| Total Points | 118 | 160 |
| Winners | 26 | 32 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Mejia and Mayo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mejia and Mayo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mejia played 3 games less than Mayo. Mejia scored 26 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Aidan scored 32 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mejia | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 9 |
| 1st in | 29/52 | 45/86 |
| %1st in | 56% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 32/45 |
| %1st pts | 90% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 21/41 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 51% |
Mejia struck 6 aces . Mayo blasted 9 aces . Mejia won 90% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Mayo won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mejia | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 2 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/6 |
| % Converted | 29% | 33% |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Nicolas broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Colombian extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Aidan broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Mayo conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mejia | |||
| Q1 Matsuda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 69-49 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/52 | 29/52 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/29 | 26/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/23 | 16/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mayo | |||
| Q1 Harper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 83-77 | 83-77 | |
| Total points | 160 | 160 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 45/86 | 45/86 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 32/45 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/41 | 21/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLLWWL
LLLWWLWWWL 
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