Novak Djokovic and Holger Rune will face off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 6:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.3
Holger Rune -> 3.54
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 6th time that Novak Djokovic and Holger Rune clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 7-6(4) 6-7(1) 6-3 in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Holger Rune – Nitto atp finals 12-November-2023
Novak Djokovic
21 - 6win/loss
4
1
WWLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-8 | 11-4 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Serbian got to the 4th round after defeating Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-2 6-2, Jacob Fearnley 6-3 6-4 5-7 7-5 and Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3).
In the 3rd round against Popyrin, Djokovic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4 7-63). During the match, Djokovic scored 135 points vs Popyrin’s 111. Djokovic was pretty aggressive to blast 69 winners.
Talking about the service games, Djokovic struck 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (69/78) of his 1st serve and 60% (21/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Djokovic broke Popyrin twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 86% of his matches (504-79). 3-0 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has an aggregate 58-4 match record in the last years on grass.
Novak’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open ,Carlo and Geneva.
The Serbian has a compiled 21-6 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Holger Rune
25 - 13win/loss
14
4
LWWWLLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-20 | 19-10 | 11-6 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Rune got to the 4th round after beating Soon-Woo Kwon 6-1 6-4 6-4, Thiago Seyboth Wild 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2, Quentin Halys 1-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(4) 6-1 and Novak Djokovic .
In the 3rd round, Holger had a tough win against Halys to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (1-6 6-74 6-4 7-64 6-1). During the match Rune scored 149 points vs Halys’s 146. The Dane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 70 winners.
About the serving games, Rune blasted 16 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was exceptionally effective on serve to win 74% (70/94) of his 1st serve and 66% (35/53) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Dane broke Halys 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Dane’s best result of the current season was reaching the final Brisbane.
The Dane has a composed 25-13 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 108 | 111 |
| Pts | 363-282 | 354-301 |
| Total Points | 645 | 655 |
| Winners | 170 | 159 |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% |
Both Djokovic and Rune played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic dropped 2 sets, while Holger Rune lost 3 sets. Djokovic has played 1 set(s) less than Rune (11 vs 12). Therefore, Djokovic played 3 games less than Rune. Novak scored 170 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Holger struck 159 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 43 | 48 |
| Avg per match | 14.3 | 16 |
| 1st in | 199/294 | 196/310 |
| %1st in | 68% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 170/199 | 159/196 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 57/95 | 72/114 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 63% |
Djokovic struck 43 aces (14.3 per match). Rune managed to score 48 aces (16 per match). Djokovic won 85% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/30 | 12/35 |
| % Converted | 40% | 34% |
| Conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Saved | 5 | 10 |
| % Saved | 63% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Novak broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. Novak surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Dane broke his opponents 12 times with a 34% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | |||||
| R1 Kopriva |
R2 Fearnley |
R3 Popyrin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 5-7 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 43 | 42 | 108 | |
| pts | 98-56 | 130-115 | 135-111 | 363-282 | |
| Total points | 154 | 245 | 246 | 645 | |
| Winners | 35 | 66 | 69 | 170 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 51% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 14 | 19 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 39/58 | 82/123 | 78/113 | 199/294 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 35/39 | 66/82 | 69/78 | 170/199 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 80% | 88% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 23/41 | 21/35 | 57/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 56% | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 4/7 | 2/8 | 12/30 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 25% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/6 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 50% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Rune | |||||
| R1 Kwon |
R2 Seyboth |
R3 Halys |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 1-6 6-74 6-4 7-64 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 34 | 50 | 111 | |
| pts | 93-61 | 112-94 | 149-146 | 354-301 | |
| Total points | 154 | 206 | 295 | 655 | |
| Winners | 40 | 49 | 70 | 159 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | 16 | 48 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/68 | 60/95 | 94/147 | 196/310 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/42 | 49/60 | 70/94 | 159/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 82% | 74% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/26 | 21/35 | 35/53 | 72/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 60% | 66% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 5/13 | 3/9 | 12/35 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 38% | 33% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/7 | 4/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 86% | 67% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWWWWW
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- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
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