Timofey Skatov and Gabriel Debru will play each other in the final of the Troyes Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT AMPLITUDE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Timofey Skatov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Timofey Skatov is the pick to win this match.
Timofey Skatov -> 1.59
Gabriel Debru -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Timofey Skatov vs. Gabriel Debru

There is no head to head record between Timofey Skatov and Gabriel Debru since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Timofey Skatov

Ranked no. 230, Timofey reached the final after defeating Mika Brunold 6-1 6-7(5) 6-3, Mathys Erhard 6-4 6-3, Jonas Forejtek 6-3 6-3, Lorenzo Giustino 7-6(5) 6-4 and Gabriel Debru .

In the semifinal, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Giustino (7-6⁵ 6-4). During the match, Skatov scored 76 points vs Giustino’s 70. Timofey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Skatov fired 2 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Timofey Skatov lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Skatov put 54% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (12/32) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Giustino 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Skatov has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Skatov has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 55% of his matches (187-150). 23-9 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Skatov has an overall163-116 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Augsburg Challenger where he defeated Elmer Moller in the final 3-6 7-5 6-3.

Timofey has an aggregate 26-14 win-loss record in 2024, 23-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Troyes Challenger

Gabriel Debru

Ranked no. 400, Gabriel reached the final after defeating Calvin Hemery 7-5 1-0 ret., Sebastian Fanselow 6-2 6-3, Martin Landaluce 5-7 6-2 7-6(5) and Lilian Marmousez 2-6 6-2 6-1.

In the semifinal against Marmousez, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-1). During the match Debru scored 82 points vs Marmousez’s 72. Debru was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Debru blasted 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Gabriel Debru lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Debru put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (35/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (17/36) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Marmousez 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Debru has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Debru’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Troyes Challenger.

Debru has an overall 13-15 win-loss record in 2024, 13-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Skatov	Debru
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	11
Tot Games	89	86
Pts	319-261	318-276
Total Points	580	594
Winners	116	120
%Winners	36%	38%

Both Skatov and Debru played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Timofey Skatov surrendered 1 set, while Gabriel Debru lost 2 sets. Skatov has played 2 set(s) less than Debru (9 vs 11). However, it’s interesting to notice that Skatov played 3 games more than Debru. Skatov scored 116 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The French player scored 120 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Skatov	Debru
Aces	11	21
Avg per match	2.8	5.3
1st in	147/278	178/299
%1st in	53%	60%
1st pts	116/147	120/178
%1st pts	79%	67%
2nd pts	60/131	67/121
%2nd pts	46%	55%

Skatov managed to score 11 aces (2.8 per match). Debru managed to score 21 aces (5.3 per match). Skatov won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Debru won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Skatov	Debru
Won	18	15
Converted	18/34	15/39
% Converted	53%	38%
Conceded	21	21
Saved	12	15
% Saved	57%	71%
Times Broken	9	6

The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 18 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 15 times with a 38% conversion rate. Debru conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Skatov
	R1 Brunold	R2 Erhard	1/4 Forejtek	1/2 Giustino	Total
Score	6-1 6-75 6-3	6-4 6-3	6-3 6-3	7-65 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	29	19	18	23	89
pts	103-84	68-53	72-54	76-70	319-261
Total points	187	121	126	146	580
Winners	36	28	28	24	116
%Winners	35%	41%	39%	32%	36%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	1	2	11
Double Faults	7	6	3	7	23
1st in	43/91	35/63	32/55	37/69	147/278
% 1st in	47%	56%	58%	54%	53%
1st pts	36/43	28/35	28/32	24/37	116/147
% 1st pts	84%	80%	88%	65%	79%
2nd pts	27/48	10/28	11/23	12/32	60/131
% 2nd pts	56%	36%	48%	38%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	5	3	6	18
Converted	4/8	5/9	3/9	6/8	18/34
Converted %	50%	56%	33%	75%	53%
Conceded	4	8	2	7	21
Saved	3/4	5/8	2/2	2/7	12
Saved %	75%	63%	100%	29%	67%
Times Broken	1	3	0	5	9

Debru
	R1 Hemery	R2 Fanselow	1/4 Landaluce	1/2 Marmousez	Total
Score	7-5 1-0 ret.	6-2 6-3	5-7 6-2 7-65	2-6 6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	13	17	33	23	86
pts	55-43	67-51	114-110	82-72	318-276
Total points	98	118	224	154	594
Winners	20	22	43	35	120
%Winners	36%	33%	38%	43%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	5	12	3	21
Double Faults	1	1	0	4	6
1st in	31/45	33/57	63/110	51/87	178/299
% 1st in	69%	58%	57%	59%	60%
1st pts	20/31	22/33	43/63	35/51	120/178
% 1st pts	65%	67%	68%	69%	67%
2nd pts	9/14	14/24	27/47	17/36	67/121
% 2nd pts	64%	58%	57%	47%	55%
Breaks
Won	3	5	3	4	15
Converted	3/10	5/11	3/11	4/7	15/39
Converted %	30%	45%	27%	57%	38%
Conceded	5	1	7	8	21
Saved	4/5	0/1	5/7	6/8	15
Saved %	80%	0%	71%	75%	57%
Times Broken	1	1	2	2	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Timofey SkatovSkatov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction