Jelena Ostapenko and Bernarda Pera will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Court 12. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.24
Bernarda Pera -> 4.1
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Bernarda Pera
This will be the 3rd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Bernarda Pera square off. The head to head is 1-1 for Ostapenko and Pera (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ostapenko won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Jelena Ostapenko vs Bernarda Pera – U.S. Open 01-September-2023
Jelena Ostapenko
28 - 13win/loss
14
5
WWWWLWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-13 | 13-6 | 8-5 | 4-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Jelena reached the 3rd round after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-1 6-2 and Daria Snigur 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Snigur (6-3 6-0). During the match, Ostapenko scored 53 points vs Snigur’s 33. Jelena was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko blasted 8 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko was extremely effective on serve to win 88% (22/25) of her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Latvian broke Snigur 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Latvian hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 61% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (310-203). 3-2 on grass in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Ostapenko has an overall 51-23 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Linz where she defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova in the final 6-2 6-3.
The Latvian has an overall 28-13 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Bernarda Pera
27 - 16win/loss
97
27
LWWLWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-17 | 12-10 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-23 | 9-12 | 10-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 10-9 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-24 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-13 | 9-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, the American reached the 3rd round after beating Anastasia Potapova 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(6), Caroline Garcia 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Jelena Ostapenko .
In the 2nd round against Garcia, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Pera scored less points (2) than Garcia. In fact, the world no. 14 won 84 points vs Garcia’s. That means that Pera was more focused during the important points. The American was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Pera bagged 13 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Bernarda Pera was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (37/46) of her 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Garcia twice after converting 33% of her break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pera has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points she played.
Bernarda’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Gaiba.
Bernarda has a composed 27-16 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Pera |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 64 |
| Pts | 122-78 | 218-216 |
| Total Points | 200 | 434 |
| Winners | 48 | 91 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Both Ostapenko and Pera played 2 matches. At the moment, Bernarda Pera lost 2 sets while Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ostapenko has played 2 set(s) less than Pera (4 vs 6). Therefore, Ostapenko played 34 games less than Pera. The Latvian scored 48 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Bernarda recorded 91 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Pera |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 9 |
| 1st in | 58/104 | 121/225 |
| %1st in | 56% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 48/58 | 91/121 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 24/46 | 53/104 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 51% |
Ostapenko fired 19 aces (9.5 per match). Pera struck 18 aces (9 per match). Ostapenko won 83% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Pera won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Pera |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 6 |
| Converted | 8/13 | 6/19 |
| % Converted | 62% | 32% |
| Conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Saved | 4 | 14 |
| % Saved | 100% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Ostapenko broke her opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Ostapenko extremely effective on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points. Pera broke her opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. Pera conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Tomljanovic |
R2 Snigur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | 30 | |
| pts | 69-45 | 53-33 | 122-78 | |
| Total points | 114 | 86 | 200 | |
| Winners | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 8 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 33/60 | 25/44 | 58/104 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 57% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 22/25 | 48/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 88% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 10/19 | 24/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/5 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Pera | ||||
| R1 Potapova |
R2 Garcia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-4 7-66 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 28 | 64 | |
| pts | 134-130 | 84-86 | 218-216 | |
| Total points | 264 | 170 | 434 | |
| Winners | 54 | 37 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 13 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 15 | 8 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 75/139 | 46/86 | 121/225 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 53% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 54/75 | 37/46 | 91/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 80% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 31/64 | 22/40 | 53/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 55% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 2/6 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 33% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 11/14 | 3/4 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 75% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLLWL
LWWLWWWWLL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (2-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysKeys – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lulu SunSun – Lin ZhuZhu (7-64 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (7-66 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cori GauffCori – Sonay KartalSonay (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bernarda PeraPera – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Donna VekicVekic (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Madison KeysKeys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
