Andrea Collarini and Federico Arnaboldi will square off in the semifinal of the Modena Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrea Collarini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Andrea Collarini is the pick to win this match.
Andrea Collarini -> 1.58
Federico Arnaboldi -> 2.25

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Prediction and head to head Andrea Collarini vs. Federico Arnaboldi

There is no head to head record between Andrea Collarini and Federico Arnaboldi since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Andrea Collarini

Ranked no. 292, Andrea got to the semifinal after beating Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 7-5, Gonzalo Bueno 7-5 6-3 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 4-6 7-5.

In the quarter, The Argentine defeated Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 4-6 7-5). During the match, Collarini scored 102 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 94. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, Collarini fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrea Collarini was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (48/66) of his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Collarini broke Pablo Patino-Samudio twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Andrea has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Collarini has good match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (324-254). 26-11 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Collarini has an aggregate 317-227 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger where he beat Hernan Casanova in the final 6-4 7-6(3) and the Santa Fe Challenger where he defeated Facundo Mena in the final 6-2 6-3.

Collarini has an aggregate 26-12 win-loss record in 2024, 26-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Modena Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Federico Arnaboldi

Ranked no. 459, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Federico Gaio 7-5 3-6 6-2, Titouan Droguet 6-2 6-7(5) 6-3, Oriol Roca Batalla 2-6 6-1 6-2 and Andrea Collarini .

In the quarter against Roca Batalla, Federico recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Arnaboldi scored 73 points vs Roca Batalla’s 65. Federico was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaboldi made 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 66% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Arnaboldi broke Roca Batalla 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Arnaboldi’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Opatija.

Arnaboldi has an aggregate 28-14 win-loss record in 2024, 28-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Collarini	Arnaboldi
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	9
Tot Games	74	82
Pts	246-210	286-247
Total Points	456	533
Winners	115	101
%Winners	47%	35%

Both Collarini and Arnaboldi played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrea Collarini lost 1 set, while Federico Arnaboldi conceded 3 sets. Collarini has played 2 set(s) less than Arnaboldi (7 vs 9). Therefore, Collarini played 8 games less than Arnaboldi. The Argentine scored 115 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaboldi managed to score 101 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Collarini	Arnaboldi
Aces	6	12
Avg per match	2	4
1st in	176/242	136/264
%1st in	73%	52%
1st pts	115/176	101/136
%1st pts	65%	74%
2nd pts	41/66	69/128
%2nd pts	62%	54%

Collarini recorded 6 aces (2 per match). Arnaboldi struck 12 aces (4 per match). Collarini won 65% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Collarini	Arnaboldi
Won	12	15
Converted	12/25	15/32
% Converted	48%	47%
Conceded	22	23
Saved	16	15
% Saved	73%	65%
Times Broken	6	8

The Argentine broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Collarini surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Federico broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Collarini
	R1 Agustin	R2 Bueno	1/4 Pablo Patino-Samudio	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	7-5 6-3	6-4 4-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	21	21	32	74
pts	63-48	81-68	102-94	246-210
Total points	111	149	196	456
Winners	31	36	48	115
%Winners	49%	44%	47%	47%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	3	6
Double Faults	2	1	2	5
1st in	44/56	66/92	66/94	176/242
% 1st in	79%	72%	70%	73%
1st pts	31/44	36/66	48/66	115/176
% 1st pts	70%	55%	73%	65%
2nd pts	8/12	15/26	18/28	41/66
% 2nd pts	67%	58%	64%	62%
Breaks
Won	4	6	2	12
Converted	4/6	6/8	2/11	12/25
Converted %	67%	75%	18%	48%
Conceded	2	16	4	22
Saved	0/2	13/16	3/4	16
Saved %	0%	81%	75%	52%
Times Broken	2	3	1	6

Arnaboldi
	R1 Gaio	R2 Droguet	1/4 Roca Batalla	Total
Score	7-5 3-6 6-2	6-2 6-75 6-3	2-6 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	29	30	23	82
pts	103-91	110-91	73-65	286-247
Total points	194	201	138	533
Winners	28	40	33	101
%Winners	27%	36%	45%	35%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	6	12
Double Faults	8	4	5	17
1st in	40/91	49/102	47/71	136/264
% 1st in	44%	48%	66%	52%
1st pts	28/40	40/49	33/47	101/136
% 1st pts	70%	82%	70%	74%
2nd pts	29/51	28/53	12/24	69/128
% 2nd pts	57%	53%	50%	54%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	15
Converted	5/12	5/14	5/6	15/32
Converted %	42%	36%	83%	47%
Conceded	10	7	6	23
Saved	6/10	5/7	4/6	15
Saved %	60%	71%	67%	66%
Times Broken	4	2	2	8

Tennis Scores in Modena Challenger

• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Marcello SerafiniSerafini (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (2-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (7-5 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Andre Begemann/Patrik Niklas-SalminenBegemann/Patrik Niklas-Salminen – Ivan Sabanov/Matej SabanovSabanov/Matej Sabanov (w/o) – See score progression
• Andrea CollariniCollarini – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Andrea CollariniCollarini (0-0) – H2H and prediction