Lorenzo Giustino and Evgeny Karlovskiy will clash against each other in the quarter of the Troyes Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on COURT AMPLITUDE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Giustino who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Giustino is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Giustino -> 1.4
Evgeny Karlovskiy -> 2.75
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Giustino vs. Evgeny Karlovskiy
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Giustino and Evgeny Karlovskiy play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Giustino (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Giustino won 7-6(4) 6-2 in the 1st round in the Prague 2 Challenger back in 2021.
Lorenzo Giustino
30 - 19win/loss
272
127
WLWWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-31 | 3-4 | 46-22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 14-16 | 10-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-37 | 3-5 | 19-26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-39 | 3-8 | 14-26 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-19 | 6-7 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 343, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 6-2 6-1, Khumoun Sultanov 6-2 6-2 and Evgeny Karlovskiy .
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Sultanov (6-2 6-2). During the match, Giustino scored 69 points vs Sultanov’s 49. Giustino was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Giustino fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Giustino lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Giustino put 64% of his first serves in, winning 63% (22/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Sultanov 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Giustino has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (345-317). 25-10 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Giustino has a compiled 264-208 record in the last years on clay.
Giustino’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Badalona,M25 Mataro and Bresse.
Giustino has an overall 29-19 win-loss record in 2024, 25-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Troyes Challenger
Evgeny Karlovskiy
26 - 15win/loss
421
211
LLWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-24 | 20-14 | 10-6 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-29 | 6-9 | 3-11 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-30 | 6-6 | 15-10 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 26-27 | 12-5 | 3-8 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-20 | 6-5 | 0-5 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 471, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Charlie Camus 6-2 6-2, Alex Barrena 7-5 6-3, Maxence Beauge 7-5 6-4 and Hazem Naow 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Evgeny had a good straight sets win against Naow (6-1 6-3). During the match Karlovskiy scored 65 points vs Naow’s 45. Evgeny was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Karlovskiy recorded 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Evgeny Karlovskiy was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (29/39) of his 1st serve and 67% (4/6) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karlovskiy broke Naow 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Evgeny started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Aktobe.
Karlovskiy has a composed 26-14 win-loss record in 2024, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Troyes Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Giustino | Karlovskiy |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 75 |
| Pts | 129-91 | 262-194 |
| Total Points | 220 | 456 |
| Winners | 50 | 128 |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% |
Giustino played 2 matches while Karlovskiy competed in 4 matches. Karlovskiy started his run from the qualifications while Giustino had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Giustino has played 4 set(s) less than Karlovskiy (4 vs 8). Therefore, Giustino played 44 games less than Karlovskiy. The Italian scored 50 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Evgeny made 128 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Giustino | Karlovskiy |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st in | 71/108 | 173/223 |
| %1st in | 66% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 50/71 | 128/173 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 25/50 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 50% |
Giustino made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Karlovskiy struck 7 aces (1.8 per match). Giustino won 70% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Karlovskiy won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Giustino | Karlovskiy |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 16 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 16/31 |
| % Converted | 41% | 52% |
| Conceded | 8 | 18 |
| Saved | 7 | 14 |
| % Saved | 88% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Giustino broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Giustino | ||||
| R1 Bittoun |
R2 Sultanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 31 | |
| pts | 60-42 | 69-49 | 129-91 | |
| Total points | 102 | 118 | 220 | |
| Winners | 28 | 22 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 32% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 35/55 | 71/108 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 22/35 | 50/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 63% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 12/20 | 19/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 60% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/14 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 36% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Karlovskiy | ||||||
| Q1 Camus |
Q3 Barrena |
R1 Beauge |
R2 Naow |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 75 | |
| pts | 58-32 | 64-52 | 75-65 | 65-45 | 262-194 | |
| Total points | 90 | 116 | 140 | 110 | 456 | |
| Winners | 24 | 34 | 41 | 29 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 53% | 55% | 45% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 28/38 | 48/69 | 58/71 | 39/45 | 173/223 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 70% | 82% | 87% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 34/48 | 41/58 | 29/39 | 128/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 71% | 71% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 10/21 | 3/13 | 4/6 | 25/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 48% | 23% | 67% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/4 | 4/8 | 4/12 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/7 | 6/8 | 3/3 | 14 | |
| Saved % | – | 71% | 75% | 100% | 123% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLLWWWW
LLWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Troyes Challenger
- Neil Oberleitner/Jakub PaulOberleitner/Jakub Paul – Gabriel Roveri Sidney/Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosRoveri Sidney/Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos (1-6 6-3 13-11) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Jonas ForejtekForejtek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – Lilian MarmousezMarmousez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
