H2H, prediction of Madison Keys vs Marta Kostyuk in Wimbledon with odds, preview, pick | 5th July 2024

PREVIEW. London. Keys and Kostyuk will fight against each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Friday the 5th of July

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Marta Kostyuk

Madison Keys and Marta Kostyuk will play each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on Court 12. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.333
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.32

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Marta Kostyuk face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.

The last time that they played, Keys won 6-4 6-1 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys
Madison Keys

19 - 7win/loss

Hard
3-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
13-4
Grass
3-1
Rank
13
High
7
LWWWLWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 20-8 3-2 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 13, Keys reached the 3rd round after defeating Martina Trevisan 6-4 7-6(4) and Yafan Wang 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-2 6-2). During the match, Keys scored 71 points vs Wang’s 50. Keys was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Keys fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Madison Keys conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 76% of her first serves in, win 88% (30/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (4/11) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Wang 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Keys hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (253-136). 3-1 on grass in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has an overall 34-11 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Strasbourg where she beat Danielle Rose Collins in the final 6-1 6-2.

Madison has an overall 19-7 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Keys
Wimbledon
Keys's Record

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk

22 - 12win/loss

Hard
15-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-4
Grass
2-2
Rank
19
High
16
LWWLLLWLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-13 15-6 5-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2020 27-12 16-6 7-3 4-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 19, Marta got to the 3rd round after beating Rebecca Sramkova 6-3 6-2, Daria Saville 4-6 7-6(2) 6-4 and Madison Keys .

In the 2nd round against Gavrilova, The Ukrainian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-62 6-4). During the match Kostyuk scored 122 points vs Gavrilova’s 118. Kostyuk was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Kostyuk bagged 4 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 15 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 8 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 63% of her first serves in, winning 68% (52/77) of the points behind her 1st serve and 26% (12/46) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Gavrilova 8 times after converting 38% of her break points (8/21).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Ukrainian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in San Diego and Stuttgart.

Kostyuk has an overall 22-12 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

Kostyuk
Wimbledon
Kostyuk's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Keys
M.Kostyuk
3h:02
3h:02
Time on court​
4h:21
4h:21
1h:17
1h:17
Last match​
!
3h:10
3h:10
2
2
Match played
2
2
39
39
Games Played​
50
50
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
152
152
Total points​
191
191
76
76
Avg point​
95.5
95.5
64
64
Winners
76
76
32
32
Avg Winners​
38
38
42%
42%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
8
8
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
4
4
5
5
Double Faults
15
15
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
!
7.5
7.5
64/87
64/87
1st won total​
76/109
76/109
!
74%
74%
1st won %
70%
70%
18/32
18/32
2nd won total​
26/65
26/65
56%
56%
2nd won %
40%
40%
-- Break Points --
6/21
6/21
BP won
11/33
11/33
3/10.5
3/10.5
Avg BP won
5.5/16.5
5.5/16.5
!
29%
29%
Won
33%
33%
4
4
Conceded
17
17
2
2
Avg Conceded
8.5
8.5
1
1
Broken
8
8
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
4
4
3
3
Saved
9
9
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Kostyuk
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 39 50
Pts 152-124 191-165
Total Points 276 356
Winners 64 76
%Winners 42% 40%

Both Keys and Kostyuk played 2 matches. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk dropped 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t conceded a set so far. Keys has played 1 set(s) less than Kostyuk (4 vs 5). Therefore, Keys played 11 games less than Kostyuk. Madison scored 64 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk scored 76 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Kostyuk
Aces 11 8
Avg per match 5.5 4
1st in 87/119 109/174
%1st in 73% 63%
1st pts 64/87 76/109
%1st pts 74% 70%
2nd pts 18/32 26/65
%2nd pts 56% 40%

Keys struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Kostyuk fired 8 aces (4 per match). Keys won 74% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Kostyuk
Won 6 11
Converted 6/21 11/33
% Converted 29% 33%
Conceded 4 17
Saved 3 9
% Saved 75% 53%
Times Broken 1 8

Keys broke her opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American lost her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R1
Trevisan		 R2
Wang		 Total
Score 6-4 7-64 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 23 16 39
pts 81-74 71-50 152-124
Total points 155 121 276
Winners 34 30 64
%Winners 42% 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 11
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 53/74 34/45 87/119
% 1st in 72% 76% 73%
1st pts 34/53 30/34 64/87
% 1st pts 64% 88% 74%
2nd pts 14/21 4/11 18/32
% 2nd pts 67% 36% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/7 4/14 6/21
Converted % 29% 29% 29%
Conceded 4 0 4
Saved 3/4 0/0 3
Saved % 75% – 38%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Kostyuk
R1
Sramkova		 R2
Gavrilova		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 4-6 7-62 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 33 50
pts 69-47 122-118 191-165
Total points 116 240 356
Winners 24 52 76
%Winners 35% 43% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 4 8
Double Faults 0 15 15
1st in 32/51 77/123 109/174
% 1st in 63% 63% 63%
1st pts 24/32 52/77 76/109
% 1st pts 75% 68% 70%
2nd pts 14/19 12/46 26/65
% 2nd pts 74% 26% 40%
Breaks
Won 3 8 11
Converted 3/12 8/21 11/33
Converted % 25% 38% 33%
Conceded 1 16 17
Saved 1/1 8/16 9
Saved % 100% 50% 75%
Times Broken 0 8 8

Head 2 Head

Madison Keys
  • 0Slam
  • 9Main
  • 2ITF
  • 1Minor
Marta Kostyuk
  • 0Slam
  • 1Main
  • 3ITF
  • 0Minor

Madison
Keys

2:0

Marta
Kostyuk

Rank

13

High

7

2Grass0

Rank

19

High

16

Win Loss
Keys
LWWWLWLWWW
Kostyuk
LWWLLLWLLL
2024 2023 2022
20 - 8
22 - 13
3-2
Hard
15-6
13-4
Clay
5-4
4-2
Grass
2-3

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Keys Madison Keys
More Stats
Click here
Kostyuk
Marta Kostyuk