Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on Court 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.69
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
This will be the 5th time that Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa Gibert face off. The head to head is 2-2 for Kasatkina and Badosa (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Badosa won 6-1 6-1 in the 1st round in Stuttgart back in 2023.
Highlights Paula Badosa Gibert vs Daria Kasatkina – Stuttgart 18-April-2023
Daria Kasatkina
28 - 13win/loss
12
8
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-14 | 12-8 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Kasatkina got to the 3rd round after beating Shuai Zhang 6-3 6-0, Yuriko Miyazaki 6-0 6-0 and Paula Badosa Gibert .
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Miyazaki (6-0 6-0). During the match, Kasatkina scored 53 points vs Miyazaki’s 19. Darya was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina recorded 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Daria Kasatkina was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (17/20) of her 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Darya broke Miyazaki 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 65% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (345-197). 8-1 on grass in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has an aggregate 35-17 match record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Eastbourne where she beat Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4.
Darya has a compiled 28-13 win-loss record in 2024, 8-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Paula Badosa Gibert
15 - 12win/loss
93
2
WWWLWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-12 | 5-6 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-9 | 7-6 | 6-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 93, Badosa reached the 3rd round after defeating Karolina Muchova 6-3 6-2 and Brenda Fruhvirtova 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Paula had a good straight sets win against Fruhvirtova (6-4 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 64 points vs Fruhvirtova’s 46. Badosa was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Badosa blasted 7 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 61% of her first serves in, winning 74% (26/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (7/22) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Fruhvirtova 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Paula has an overall 15-12 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 35 |
| Pts | 119-64 | 134-97 |
| Total Points | 183 | 231 |
| Winners | 37 | 54 |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% |
Both Kasatkina and Badosa played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kasatkina and Badosa have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Kasatkina played 8 games less than Badosa. Kasatkina scored 37 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa bagged 54 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 49/91 | 73/132 |
| %1st in | 54% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 54/73 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 26/42 | 29/59 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 49% |
Kasatkina bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Badosa scored 9 aces (4.5 per match). Kasatkina won 76% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/17 | 9/11 |
| % Converted | 65% | 82% |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 |
| Saved | 2 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Darya broke her opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 9 times with a 82% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Zhang |
R2 Miyazaki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 12 | 27 | |
| pts | 66-45 | 53-19 | 119-64 | |
| Total points | 111 | 72 | 183 | |
| Winners | 20 | 17 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 32% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 29/58 | 20/33 | 49/91 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 61% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 20/29 | 17/20 | 37/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 85% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 9/13 | 26/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 69% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/10 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 60% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Badosa | ||||
| R1 Muchova |
R2 Fruhvirtova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 70-51 | 64-46 | 134-97 | |
| Total points | 121 | 110 | 231 | |
| Winners | 28 | 26 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 38/75 | 35/57 | 73/132 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 61% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 26/35 | 54/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 7/22 | 29/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 32% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 6/7 | 9/11 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 86% | 82% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 4/7 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWLW
WWWLWWLWWL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-4 6-77 6-1) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Katie VolynetsVolynets (7-66 7-65) – See score progression
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Cristina BucsaBucsa (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Katie BoulterBoulter (4-6 6-1 7-68) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Daria SavilleSaville (4-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Yafan WangWang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Daria SnigurSnigur (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (3-6 6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Arantxa RusRus (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Anca Alexia TodoniAlexia Todoni (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Greetje MinnenMinnen (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Elise MertensMertens (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Erika AndreevaAndreeva (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Lulu SunSun – Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Sonay KartalKartal – Clara BurelBurel (6-3 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander VasilenkoVasilenko – Manuel GuinardGuinard (5-7 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lukas RosolRosol – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Pascal BrunnerBrunner – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Marko MiladinovicMiladinovic – Rafael MatosMatos (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tadeas ParoulekParoulek – Tomas JirousekJirousek (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Patrik RiklRikl (2-6 6-3 4-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Peter TorebkoTorebko – Sven LahLah (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Petra MarticMartic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Bernarda PeraPera – Caroline GarciaGarcia (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Daria SnigurSnigur (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Katie VolynetsVolynets (7-6(6) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Cristina BucsaBucsa (7-6(1) 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Katie BoulterBoulter (4-6 6-1 7-6(8)) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-4 6-7(7) 6-1) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Yuriko MiyazakiMiyazaki (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Daria SavilleSaville (4-6 7-6(2) 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Yafan WangWang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Petra MarticMartic (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Bernarda PeraPera (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Harriet DartDart – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lulu SunSun – Lin ZhuZhu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Donna VekicVekic (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Madison KeysKeys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
