Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe will face off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.068
Frances Tiafoe -> 8.6

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 3rd time that Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Alcaraz and Tiafoe (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-7(6) 6-3 6-1 6-7(5) 6-3 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe – U.S. Open 09-September-2022

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

28 - 6win/loss

Hard
13-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
12-3
Grass
3-1
Rank
3
High
1
WLWLLWLWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 3, Carlos reached the 3rd round after beating Mark Lajal 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2, Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(5) 6-2 6-2 and Frances Tiafoe .

In the 2nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Vukic (7-65 6-2 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 95 points vs Vukic’s 66. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was pretty efficient on serve to win 82% (40/49) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Spaniard broke Vukic 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (261-69). 3-1 on grass in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an aggregate19-3 record in the last 7 years on grass.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2.

Alcaraz has a compiled 28-6 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Alcaraz's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

15 - 15win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
1-1
Clay
5-6
Grass
3-2
Rank
18
High
10
LLWLWLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
2020 19-15 7-9 6-3 6-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 29, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-7(5) 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3 and Borna Coric 7-6(5) 6-1 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Francis had a good straight sets win against Coric (7-65 6-1 6-3). During the match Tiafoe scored 99 points vs Coric’s 77. Francis was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

About the serving games, Tiafoe managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 61% of his first serves in, winning 87% (45/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Coric 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tiafoe has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Houston.

The American has a composed 15-15 win-loss record in 2024, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See his history.

Wimbledon
Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
F.Tiafoe
4h:11
4h:11
Time on court​
5h:09
5h:09
1h:48
1h:48
Last match​
2h:00
2h:00
2
2
Match played
2
2
62
62
Games Played​
75
75
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
203
203
Total points​
244
244
101.5
101.5
Avg point​
122
122
87
87
Winners
111
111
43.5
43.5
Avg Winners​
55.5
55.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
22
22
7.5
7.5
Avg Aces
!
11
11
6
6
Double Faults
6
6
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
87/105
87/105
1st won total​
111/135
111/135
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
32/58
32/58
2nd won total​
41/87
41/87
55%
55%
2nd won %
47%
47%
-- Break Points --
11/21
11/21
BP won
12/21
12/21
5.5/10.5
5.5/10.5
Avg BP won
6/10.5
6/10.5
!
52%
52%
Won
!
57%
57%
7
7
Conceded
12
12
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
4
4
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
3
3
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Tiafoe
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 62 75
Pts 203-149 244-206
Total Points 352 450
Winners 87 111
%Winners 43% 45%

Both Alcaraz and Tiafoe played 2 matches. At the moment, Frances Tiafoe conceded 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Tiafoe (6 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 13 games less than Tiafoe. The Spaniard scored 87 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Francis struck 111 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Tiafoe
Aces 15 22
Avg per match 7.5 11
1st in 105/163 135/222
%1st in 64% 61%
1st pts 87/105 111/135
%1st pts 83% 82%
2nd pts 32/58 41/87
%2nd pts 55% 47%

Alcaraz struck 15 aces (7.5 per match). Tiafoe struck 22 aces (11 per match). Alcaraz won 83% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Tiafoe
Won 11 12
Converted 11/21 12/21
% Converted 52% 57%
Conceded 7 12
Saved 3 7
% Saved 43% 58%
Times Broken 4 5

Alcaraz broke his opponents 11 times with a 52% conversion rate. Carlos dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Lajal		 R2
Vukic		 Total
Score 7-63 7-5 6-2 7-65 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 33 29 62
pts 108-83 95-66 203-149
Total points 191 161 352
Winners 47 40 87
%Winners 44% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 4 11 15
Double Faults 4 2 6
1st in 56/89 49/74 105/163
% 1st in 63% 66% 64%
1st pts 47/56 40/49 87/105
% 1st pts 84% 82% 83%
2nd pts 18/33 14/25 32/58
% 2nd pts 55% 56% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 6 11
Converted 5/10 6/11 11/21
Converted % 50% 55% 52%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 2/4 1/3 3
Saved % 50% 33% 42%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Tiafoe
R1
Arnaldi		 R2
Coric		 Total
Score 6-75 2-6 6-1 6-3 6-3 7-65 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 5 3 8
Tot Games 46 29 75
pts 145-129 99-77 244-206
Total points 274 176 450
Winners 66 45 111
%Winners 46% 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 12 10 22
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 83/137 52/85 135/222
% 1st in 61% 61% 61%
1st pts 66/83 45/52 111/135
% 1st pts 80% 87% 82%
2nd pts 25/54 16/33 41/87
% 2nd pts 46% 48% 47%
Breaks
Won 7 5 12
Converted 7/11 5/10 12/21
Converted % 64% 50% 57%
Conceded 8 4 12
Saved 4/8 3/4 7
Saved % 50% 75% 63%
Times Broken 4 1 5

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw

Alcaraz
More Stats
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Tiafoe

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