Jasmine Paolini and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the semifinal of the Rothesay International for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.9
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.909

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Daria Kasatkina

This will be the 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Daria Kasatkina play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in Palermo back in 2023.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

24 - 11win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
10-4
Grass
2-0
Rank
4
High
4
WLWLLWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Paolini reached the semifinal after defeating Elise Mertens 5-2 ret. and Katie Boulter 6-1 7-60.

In the quarter, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Boulter (6-1 7-60). During the match, Paolini scored 79 points vs Boulter’s 60. Jasmine was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paolini blasted 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 67% of her first serves in, winning 78% (35/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Boulter 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Paolini has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (309-236). 2-0 on grass in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Paolini has a compiled 8-13 match record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Paolini has an overall 24-11 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Eastbourne

Eastbourne
Paolini's Record

Daria Kasatkina

Daria Kasatkina

24 - 13win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-4
Grass
4-1
Rank
9
High
8
LLWWWWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 40-23 24-16 8-4 0-1 8-2 0-0
2023 39-25 19-15 12-6 2-1 6-3 0-0
2022 41-22 24-14 12-5 1-1 4-2 0-0
2021 38-19 19-10 5-5 7-1 7-3 0-0
2020 18-14 7-8 5-3 6-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 14, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Xinyu Wang 6-4 6-2, Yue Yuan 3-6 6-4 6-0 and Emma Raducanu 6-2 6-2.

In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Raducanu (6-2 6-2). During the match Kasatkina scored 65 points vs Raducanu’s 46. Darya was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 73% of her first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Raducanu 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Darya’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Adelaide, Abu Dhabi and Charleston.

The Russian has a compiled 24-13 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Eastbourne

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2023. See her history.

Eastbourne
Kasatkina's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
D.Kasatkina
2h:08
2h:08
Time on court​
!
4h:37
4h:37
1h:35
1h:35
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
27
27
Games Played​
59
59
4
4
Set played​​
7
7
106
106
Total points​
220
220
53
53
Avg point​
73.3
73.3
49
49
Winners
82
82
24.5
24.5
Avg Winners​
27.3
27.3
46%
46%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
6
6
2
2
Avg Aces
2
2
5
5
Double Faults
19
19
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
!
6.3
6.3
49/64
49/64
1st won total​
82/121
82/121
!
77%
77%
1st won %
68%
68%
14/27
14/27
2nd won total​
28/74
28/74
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
38%
38%
-- Break Points --
4/11
4/11
BP won
20/34
20/34
2/5.5
2/5.5
Avg BP won
6.7/11.3
6.7/11.3
36%
36%
Won
!
59%
59%
2
2
Conceded
20
20
1
1
Avg Conceded
6.7
6.7
1
1
Broken
10
10
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
3.3
3.3
1
1
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Kasatkina
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 7
Tot Games 27 59
Pts 106-79 220-167
Total Points 185 387
Winners 49 82
%Winners 46% 37%

Paolini played 2 matches while Kasatkina competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina surrendered 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t conceded a set so far. Paolini has played 3 set(s) less than Kasatkina (4 vs 7). Therefore, Paolini played 32 games less than Kasatkina. The Italian scored 49 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Kasatkina recorded 82 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Kasatkina
Aces 4 6
Avg per match 2 2
1st in 64/91 121/195
%1st in 70% 62%
1st pts 49/64 82/121
%1st pts 77% 68%
2nd pts 14/27 28/74
%2nd pts 52% 38%

Paolini scored 4 aces (2 per match). Kasatkina fired 6 aces (2 per match). Paolini won 77% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Kasatkina
Won 4 20
Converted 4/11 20/34
% Converted 36% 59%
Conceded 2 20
Saved 1 10
% Saved 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 10

The Italian broke her opponents 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Jasmine lost her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 20 times with a 59% conversion rate. Darya conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R2
Mertens		 1/4
Boulter		 Total
Score 5-2 ret. 6-1 7-60
Tot Set 1 2 3
Tot Games 7 20 27
pts 27-19 79-60 106-79
Total points 46 139 185
Winners 14 35 49
%Winners 52% 44% 46%
SERVE
Aces 0 4 4
Double Faults 0 5 5
1st in 19/24 45/67 64/91
% 1st in 79% 67% 70%
1st pts 14/19 35/45 49/64
% 1st pts 74% 78% 77%
2nd pts 3/5 11/22 14/27
% 2nd pts 60% 50% 52%
Breaks
Won 1 3 4
Converted 1/3 3/8 4/11
Converted % 33% 38% 36%
Conceded 0 2 2
Saved 0/0 1/2 1
Saved % – 50% 25%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Kasatkina
R1
Wang		 R2
Yuan		 1/4
Raducanu		 Total
Score 6-4 6-2 3-6 6-4 6-0 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 18 25 16 59
pts 68-57 87-64 65-46 220-167
Total points 125 151 111 387
Winners 26 30 26 82
%Winners 38% 34% 40% 37%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 1 6
Double Faults 8 6 5 19
1st in 40/71 44/73 37/51 121/195
% 1st in 56% 60% 73% 62%
1st pts 26/40 30/44 26/37 82/121
% 1st pts 65% 68% 70% 68%
2nd pts 10/31 13/29 5/14 28/74
% 2nd pts 32% 45% 36% 38%
Breaks
Won 7 7 6 20
Converted 7/10 7/11 6/13 20/34
Converted % 70% 64% 46% 59%
Conceded 11 5 4 20
Saved 7/11 1/5 2/4 10
Saved % 64% 20% 50% 67%
Times Broken 4 4 2 10

Tennis Scores in Eastbourne

Upcoming matches in the draw

Paolini
More Stats
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Kasatkina

Click for FULL STATS