Jasmine Paolini and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the semifinal of the Rothesay International for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.9
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 6th time that Jasmine Paolini and Daria Kasatkina play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in Palermo back in 2023.
Jasmine Paolini
24 - 11win/loss
4
4
LLWLWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-20 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 1-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Paolini reached the semifinal after defeating Elise Mertens 5-2 ret. and Katie Boulter 6-1 7-60.
In the quarter, Paolini had a good straight sets win against Boulter (6-1 7-60). During the match, Paolini scored 79 points vs Boulter’s 60. Jasmine was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini blasted 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 67% of her first serves in, winning 78% (35/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Boulter 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Paolini has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (309-236). 2-0 on grass in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Paolini has a compiled 8-13 match record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Dubai where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Paolini has an overall 24-11 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Daria Kasatkina
24 - 13win/loss
9
8
LLWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Xinyu Wang 6-4 6-2, Yue Yuan 3-6 6-4 6-0 and Emma Raducanu 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Raducanu (6-2 6-2). During the match Kasatkina scored 65 points vs Raducanu’s 46. Darya was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 73% of her first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Raducanu 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Darya’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Adelaide, Abu Dhabi and Charleston.
The Russian has a compiled 24-13 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 59 |
| Pts | 106-79 | 220-167 |
| Total Points | 185 | 387 |
| Winners | 49 | 82 |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% |
Paolini played 2 matches while Kasatkina competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina surrendered 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t conceded a set so far. Paolini has played 3 set(s) less than Kasatkina (4 vs 7). Therefore, Paolini played 32 games less than Kasatkina. The Italian scored 49 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Kasatkina recorded 82 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 64/91 | 121/195 |
| %1st in | 70% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 49/64 | 82/121 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 28/74 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 38% |
Paolini scored 4 aces (2 per match). Kasatkina fired 6 aces (2 per match). Paolini won 77% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 38% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 20 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 20/34 |
| % Converted | 36% | 59% |
| Conceded | 2 | 20 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 10 |
The Italian broke her opponents 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Jasmine lost her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 20 times with a 59% conversion rate. Darya conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | ||||
| R2 Mertens |
1/4 Boulter |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-2 ret. | 6-1 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 7 | 20 | 27 | |
| pts | 27-19 | 79-60 | 106-79 | |
| Total points | 46 | 139 | 185 | |
| Winners | 14 | 35 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 19/24 | 45/67 | 64/91 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 67% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 14/19 | 35/45 | 49/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/5 | 11/22 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 50% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 3/8 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Yuan |
1/4 Raducanu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 6-0 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 | 16 | 59 | |
| pts | 68-57 | 87-64 | 65-46 | 220-167 | |
| Total points | 125 | 151 | 111 | 387 | |
| Winners | 26 | 30 | 26 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 40/71 | 44/73 | 37/51 | 121/195 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 60% | 73% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/40 | 30/44 | 26/37 | 82/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 68% | 70% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/31 | 13/29 | 5/14 | 28/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 45% | 36% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 7/11 | 6/13 | 20/34 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 64% | 46% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 5 | 4 | 20 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 1/5 | 2/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 20% | 50% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLWLW
LLWWWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Eastbourne
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Agustin VelottiVelotti (7-66 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Germain GigounonGigounon (7-66 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Madison KeysKeys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (3-2) – H2H and prediction
