Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter will square off in the quarter of the Rothesay International for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Katie Boulter who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Katie Boulter is the pick to win this match.
Katie Boulter -> 1.533
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Katie Boulter
This will be the 4th time that Jasmine Paolini and Katie Boulter play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Boulter (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Boulter won 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in Linz back in January 2024.
Jasmine Paolini
24 - 11win/loss
7
7
WLWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-12 | 12-6 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7 (career-high), Paolini got to the quarter after defeating Elise Mertens 5-2 ret..
In the 2nd round against Mertens, Jasmine had a free pass after Mertens retired on a 5-2 . scoreline.
Paolini has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (308-236). 1-0 on grass in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a composed 7-13 match record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Dubai where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Jasmine has an aggregate 23-11 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Katie Boulter
23 - 12win/loss
29
27
WLWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 12-4 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 22-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10-4 | 4-0 |
| 2022 | 29-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 16-7 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-15 | 12-9 | 5-1 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-8 | 10-6 | 1-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, the Brit got to the quarter after beating Petra Martic 6-1 7-68 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Katie had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-4 7-5). During the match Boulter scored 96 points vs Ostapenko’s 87. Katie was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Boulter bagged 11 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Katie Boulter lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Boulter put 72% of her first serves in, winning 67% (41/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 29% (7/24) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Ostapenko 5 times after converting 28% of her break points (5/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Katie hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in San Diego where she overcame Marta Kostyuk in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Nottingham where she overcame Karolina Pliskova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
The Brit has a compiled 23-11 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 7 | 42 |
| Pts | 27-19 | 168-144 |
| Total Points | 46 | 312 |
| Winners | 14 | 73 |
| %Winners | 52% | 43% |
Paolini played 1 match while Boulter competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Paolini has played 2 set(s) less than Boulter (2 vs 4). Therefore, Paolini played 35 games less than Boulter. The Italian scored 14 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, Katie fired 73 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 8 |
| 1st in | 19/24 | 108/156 |
| %1st in | 79% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 14/19 | 73/108 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 3/5 | 19/48 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 40% |
Paolini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Boulter bagged 16 aces (8 per match). Paolini won 74% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Boulter won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 9 |
| Converted | 1/3 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 33% | 41% |
| Conceded | 0 | 17 |
| Saved | 0 | 12 |
| % Saved | 0% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
The Italian broke her opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Paolini very solid her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Boulter broke her opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. Boulter conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R2 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 1 | |
| Tot Games | 7 | 7 | |
| pts | 27-19 | 27-19 | |
| Total points | 46 | 46 | |
| Winners | 14 | 14 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 19/24 | 19/24 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 14/19 | 14/19 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 1/3 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Boulter | ||||
| R1 Martic |
R2 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-68 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 | 42 | |
| pts | 72-57 | 96-87 | 168-144 | |
| Total points | 129 | 183 | 312 | |
| Winners | 32 | 41 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 11 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 47/71 | 61/85 | 108/156 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/47 | 41/61 | 73/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 67% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 7/24 | 19/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 29% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 5/18 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 28% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 8/11 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 73% | 140% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWWWW
WLWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Eastbourne
- Cristina Bucsa/Makoto NinomiyaBucsa/Makoto Ninomiya – Asia Muhammad/Aldila SutjiadiMuhammad/Aldila Sutjiadi (6-2 6-73 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Hanyu Guo/Xinyu JiangGuo/Xinyu Jiang (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Agustin VelottiVelotti – Jelle SelsSels (6-2 6-76 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Germain GigounonGigounon – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Pascal MeisMeis (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (3-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Harriet DartDart – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
