Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova will square off in the quarter of the Rothesay International for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.444
Karolina Muchova -> 2.78
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Keys won 6-4 7-6(5) in the 1st round in Beijing back in 2019.
Madison Keys
17 - 6win/loss
13
7
WLWLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Keys reached the quarter after beating Anhelina Kalinina 7-65 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (7-65 6-1). During the match, Keys scored 77 points vs Kalinina’s 62. Keys was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys blasted 9 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 78% of her first serves in, winning 72% (44/61) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Kalinina 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Keys has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (251-135). 1-0 on grass in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has an aggregate 32-10 match record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Strasbourg where she beat Danielle Rose Collins in the final 6-1 6-2.
The American has an overall 17-6 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Czech reached the quarter after beating Elina Avanesyan 3-1 ret. and Magda Linette 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Karolina had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-4 6-1). During the match Muchova scored 84 points vs Linette’s 67. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Muchova made 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Karolina Muchova was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (29/39) of her 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Czech broke Linette 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Karolina has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Eastbourne
Karolina has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 |
| Pts | 77-62 | 100-78 |
| Total Points | 139 | 178 |
| Winners | 44 | 37 |
| %Winners | 57% | 37% |
Keys played 1 match while Muchova competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Keys has played 2 set(s) less than Muchova (2 vs 4). Therefore, Keys played 1 game less than Muchova. The American scored 44 winners (57% of the total points). On the other side, Karolina made 37 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 4 |
| 1st in | 61/78 | 51/82 |
| %1st in | 78% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 44/61 | 37/51 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 16/31 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 52% |
Keys struck 9 aces . Muchova recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Keys won 72% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/15 |
| % Converted | 60% | 33% |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 91% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Keys broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve once and she saved 91% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Muchova was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.
| Keys | |||
| R2 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 77-62 | 77-62 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 57% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 61/78 | 61/78 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 44/61 | 44/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 8/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 10/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 91% | 91% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Muchova | ||||
| R1 Avanesyan |
R2 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-1 ret. | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 4 | 17 | 21 | |
| pts | 16-11 | 84-67 | 100-78 | |
| Total points | 27 | 151 | 178 | |
| Winners | 8 | 29 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 12/12 | 39/70 | 51/82 | |
| % 1st in | 100% | 56% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 8/12 | 29/39 | 37/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 74% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | 16/31 | 16/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 4/13 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 31% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWWWWW
LWW Tennis Scores in Eastbourne
- Cristina Bucsa/Makoto NinomiyaBucsa/Makoto Ninomiya – Asia Muhammad/Aldila SutjiadiMuhammad/Aldila Sutjiadi (6-2 6-73 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe – Hanyu Guo/Xinyu JiangGuo/Xinyu Jiang (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Agustin VelottiVelotti – Jelle SelsSels (6-2 6-76 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Germain GigounonGigounon – Gijs BrouwerBrouwer (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Pascal MeisMeis (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zizou BergsBergs – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (3-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Harriet DartDart – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
