Sebastian Ofner and Alex Michelsen will face off in the quarter of the Mallorca Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.75
Sebastian Ofner -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Ofner vs. Alex Michelsen
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Ofner and Alex Michelsen square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Michelsen (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Michelsen won 7-6(4) 7-5 in the 2nd round in Winston salem back in 2023.
Sebastian Ofner
16 - 19win/loss
54
37
WWLLLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-19 | 6-7 | 7-10 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 60-31 | 12-10 | 37-13 | 7-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-18 | 4-4 | 21-12 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-24 | 4-6 | 4-8 | 7-6 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 54, the Austrian got to the quarter after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 3-6 6-4 7-64 and Luciano Darderi 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-3 7-5). During the match, Ofner scored 69 points vs Darderi’s 55. Ofner was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ofner recorded 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Sebastian Ofner was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ofner broke Darderi 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Austrian has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Ofner has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 57% of his matches (313-232). 2-2 on grass in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ofner has an aggregate24-16 win-loss record in the last 9 years on grass.
Sebastian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Hong Kong.
Ofner has a compiled 16-19 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Mallorca
The Austrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Michelsen
20 - 20win/loss
62
60
WWLWWLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-20 | 11-7 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, Alex got to the quarter after beating Nuno Borges 6-3 7-64 and Adrian Mannarino 7-65 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (7-65 6-4). During the match Michelsen scored 78 points vs Mannarino’s 71. Michelsen was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Michelsen scored 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex Michelsen lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 69% of his first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Michelsen broke Mannarino 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michelsen hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Michelsen has an aggregate 20-20 win-loss record in 2024, 4-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Mallorca
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ofner | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 45 |
| Pts | 163-151 | 150-133 |
| Total Points | 314 | 283 |
| Winners | 68 | 83 |
| %Winners | 42% | 55% |
Both Ofner and Michelsen played 2 matches. At the moment, Sebastian Ofner lost 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ofner has played 1 set more than Michelsen (5 vs 4). Therefore, Ofner played 8 games more than Michelsen. Ofner scored 68 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Michelsen blasted 83 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ofner | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 29 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 14.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 83/157 | 106/140 |
| %1st in | 53% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 68/83 | 83/106 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 39/74 | 17/34 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 50% |
Ofner scored 29 aces (14.5 per match). Michelsen scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Ofner won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ofner | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/11 | 4/14 |
| % Converted | 55% | 29% |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Saved | 9 | 4 |
| % Saved | 69% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Sebastian broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Sebastian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Alex broke his opponents 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ofner | ||||
| R1 Munar Clar |
R2 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-64 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 21 | 53 | |
| pts | 94-96 | 69-55 | 163-151 | |
| Total points | 190 | 124 | 314 | |
| Winners | 40 | 28 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 14 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 50/90 | 33/67 | 83/157 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 49% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 40/50 | 28/33 | 68/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 20/34 | 39/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 59% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/6 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Michelsen | ||||
| R1 Borges |
R2 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-64 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 45 | |
| pts | 72-62 | 78-71 | 150-133 | |
| Total points | 134 | 149 | 283 | |
| Winners | 46 | 37 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 64% | 47% | 55% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 56/68 | 50/72 | 106/140 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | 69% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 46/56 | 37/50 | 83/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 11/22 | 17/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 3/7 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 43% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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