Juan Pablo Varillas and Elmer Moller will square off in the 2^nd round of the Milan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:30 am on COURT 10. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.5
Elmer Moller -> 2.47

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Elmer Moller

There is no head to head record between Juan Pablo Varillas and Elmer Moller since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Juan Pablo Varillas

Ranked no. 162, Juan got to the 2^nd round after beating Gabriel Debru 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Juan defeated Debru (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 114 points vs Debru’s 101. Pablo Patino-Samudio was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Juan Pablo Varillas lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pablo Patino-Samudio put 58% of his first serves in, winning 75% (39/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (16/38) on the 2nd serve. Juan broke Debru 5 times after converting 20% of his break points (5/25).

Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (372-246). 14-13 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pablo Patino-Samudio has an overall 342-204 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Santiago Challenger where he beat Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-3 6-2.

The Peruvian has a compiled 14-17 win-loss record in 2024, 14-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Milan Challenger

Juan has never competed in this tournament before.

Elmer Moller

Ranked no. 281, Elmer got to the 2^nd round after beating Tristan Lamasine 7-6⁴ 7-6³.

In the 1^st round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Lamasine (7-6⁴ 7-6³). During the match Moller scored 95 points vs Lamasine’s 90. Elmer was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Moller bagged 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Elmer Moller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moller put 59% of his first serves in, winning 65% (36/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (22/39) on the 2nd serve. Moller broke Lamasine 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Elmer’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Augsburg Challenger and M25 Aarhus.

Moller has a composed 34-12 win-loss record in 2024, 27-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pablo Patino-Samudio	Moller
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	29	26
Pts	114-101	95-90
Total Points	215	185
Winners	39	36
%Winners	34%	38%

Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Moller played 1 match. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas dropped 1 set while Elmer Moller hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 1 set more than Moller (3 vs 2). Therefore, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 3 games more than Moller. Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 39 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Moller fired 36 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pablo Patino-Samudio	Moller
Aces	5	3
Avg per match	5	3
1st in	52/90	55/94
%1st in	58%	59%
1st pts	39/52	36/55
%1st pts	75%	65%
2nd pts	16/38	22/39
%2nd pts	42%	56%

Pablo Patino-Samudio managed to score 5 aces . Moller blasted 3 aces . Pablo Patino-Samudio won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Moller won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pablo Patino-Samudio	Moller
Won	5	3
Converted	5/25	3/11
% Converted	20%	27%
Conceded	9	7
Saved	5	4
% Saved	56%	57%
Times Broken	4	3

Pablo Patino-Samudio broke his opponent 5 times with a 20% conversion rate. The Peruvian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Elmer broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Dane conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Pablo Patino-Samudio
	R1 Debru	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	29	29
pts	114-101	114-101
Total points	215	215
Winners	39	39
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	52/90	52/90
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	39/52	39/52
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	16/38	16/38
% 2nd pts	42%	42%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/25	5/25
Converted %	20%	20%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	5/9	5
Saved %	56%	56%
Times Broken	4	4

Moller
	R1 Lamasine	Total
Score	7-64 7-63
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	26	26
pts	95-90	95-90
Total points	185	185
Winners	36	36
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	55/94	55/94
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	36/55	36/55
% 1st pts	65%	65%
2nd pts	22/39	22/39
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/11	3/11
Converted %	27%	27%
Conceded	7	7
Saved	4/7	4
Saved %	57%	57%
Times Broken	3	3

Tennis Scores in Milan Challenger

• Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Gabriel DebruDebru (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Samuel Vincent RuggeriVincent Ruggeri – Michael VrbenskyVrbensky (6-7³ 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski (6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano (6-3 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Carlos TabernerTaberner (7-5 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Gianluca MagerMager – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (6-1 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Ivan GakhovGakhov – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Federico GaioGaio – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (6-3 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Federico CinaCina (6-2 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Vilius GaubasGaubas – Yaroslav DeminDemin (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
• Elmer MollerMoller – Tristan LamasineLamasine (7-6⁴ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Gonzalo BuenoBueno (4-6 6-0 7-6³) – See score progression
• Giovanni FonioFonio – Mathias BourgueBourgue (6-2 3-6 7-6⁸) – See score progression
• Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle – Ignacio BuseBuse (6-4 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-2 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Federico GaioGaio – Ivan GakhovGakhov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Gianluca MagerMager – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle – Giovanni FonioFonio (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-1) – H2H and prediction