Vilius Gaubas and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will square off in the 2nd round of the Milan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:30 am on COURT 13. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.48
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 2.53

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Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona

There is no head to head record between Vilius Gaubas and Nicolas Alvarez Varona since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Vilius Gaubas

Vilius Gaubas

30 - 17win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
1-1
Clay
24-13
Rank
186
High
179
LWLWLLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 48-35 7-4 40-28 1-3 0-0 0-0
2023 59-26 3-3 55-21 1-2 0-0 0-0
2022 19-17 4-4 15-12 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 3-6 1-2 2-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 272 (career-high), the Lithuanian got to the 2nd round after defeating Yaroslav Demin 6-1 6-0.

In the 1st round, Gaubas had a good straight sets win against Demin (6-1 6-0). During the match, Gaubas scored 50 points vs Demin’s 16. The Lithuanian was pretty aggressive to blast 16 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gaubas recorded 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Vilius Gaubas was very efficient on serve to win 84% (16/19) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vilius broke Demin 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Gaubas has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 63% of his matches (110-65). 23-12 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaubas has a compiled95-49 record in the last 4 years on clay.

Gaubas’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Antalya,M25 Faro and the Rome Challenger.

Gaubas has a compiled 29-16 win-loss record in 2024, 23-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Milan Challenger

Gaubas has never competed in this tournament before.

Milan Challenger
Gaubas's Record

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

7 - 12win/loss

Clay
7-10
Rank
359
High
219
LWWWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-26 4-3 36-19 3-4 0-0 0-0
2023 9-9 3-2 6-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 24-34 3-7 13-19 8-8 0-0 0-0
2021 40-26 11-8 29-17 0-1 0-0 0-0
2020 28-9 21-6 7-3 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 860, Alvarez got to the 2nd round after beating Maks Kasnikowski 6-4 7-65.

In the 1st round, Alvarez had a good straight sets win against Kasnikowski (6-4 7-65). During the match Alvarez scored 75 points vs Kasnikowski’s 68. The Spaniard was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Alvarez fired 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona lost the serve 5 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Alvarez put 61% of his first serves in, winning 72% (33/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (9/30) on the 2nd serve. Nicolas broke Kasnikowski 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Alvarez has a composed 7-11 win-loss record in 2024, 7-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Milan Challenger
Alvarez's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

V.Gaubas
N.Alvarez Varona
0h:57
0h:57
Time on court​
!
1h:56
1h:56
!
0h:57
0h:57
Last match​
1h:56
1h:56
1
1
Match played
1
1
13
13
Games Played​
23
23
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
50
50
Total points​
75
75
50
50
Avg point​
75
75
16
16
Winners
33
33
16
16
Avg Winners​
33
33
32%
32%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
4
4
2
2
Avg Aces
4
4
1
1
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
5
5
16/19
16/19
1st won total​
33/46
33/46
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
12/16
12/16
2nd won total​
9/30
9/30
!
75%
75%
2nd won %
!
30%
30%
-- Break Points --
5/7
5/7
BP won
6/10
6/10
5/7
5/7
Avg BP won
6/10
6/10
!
71%
71%
Won
!
60%
60%
0
0
Conceded
8
8
0
0
Avg Conceded
8
8
0
0
Broken
5
5
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
5
5
0
0
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gaubas Alvarez
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 13 23
Pts 50-16 75-68
Total Points 66 143
Winners 16 33
%Winners 32% 44%

Both Gaubas and Alvarez played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gaubas and Alvarez have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gaubas played 10 games less than Alvarez. Gaubas scored 16 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas bagged 33 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gaubas Alvarez
Aces 2 4
Avg per match 2 4
1st in 19/35 46/76
%1st in 54% 61%
1st pts 16/19 33/46
%1st pts 84% 72%
2nd pts 12/16 9/30
%2nd pts 75% 30%

Gaubas fired 2 aces . Alvarez struck 4 aces . Gaubas won 84% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 30% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gaubas Alvarez
Won 5 6
Converted 5/7 6/10
% Converted 71% 60%
Conceded 0 8
Saved 0 3
% Saved 0% 38%
Times Broken 0 5

Vilius broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Vilius had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Alvarez broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaubas
R1
Demin
Total
Score 6-1 6-0
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 13 13
pts 50-16 50-16
Total points 66 66
Winners 16 16
%Winners 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 19/35 19/35
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 16/19 16/19
% 1st pts 84% 84%
2nd pts 12/16 12/16
% 2nd pts 75% 75%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/7 5/7
Converted % 71% 71%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Alvarez
R1
Kasnikowski
Total
Score 6-4 7-65
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 75-68 75-68
Total points 143 143
Winners 33 33
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 46/76 46/76
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 33/46 33/46
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 9/30 9/30
% 2nd pts 30% 30%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/10 6/10
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 3/8 3
Saved % 38% 38%
Times Broken 5 5

Tennis Scores in Milan Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw