Alvaro Guillen Meza and Valerio Aboian will face off in the quarter of the Ibague Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on CAMPO 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alvaro Guillen Meza who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alvaro Guillen Meza is the pick to win this match.
Alvaro Guillen Meza -> 1.44
Valerio Aboian -> 2.61
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Prediction and head to head Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Valerio Aboian
This will be the 3rd time that Alvaro Guillen Meza and Valerio Aboian face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Guillen Meza (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Guillen Meza won 7-5 6-4 in the 1st round in the Santos Challenger back in May 2024.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-32 | 1-3 | 36-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 0-1 | 51-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 1-2 | 32-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 259 (career-high), Alvaro got to the quarter after beating Juan Sebastian Osorio 6-1 6-0 and Noah Schachter 6-0 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Guillen Meza had a good straight sets win against Schachter (6-0 6-2). During the match, Guillen Meza scored 51 points vs Schachter’s 23. Guillen Meza was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Guillen Meza scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Alvaro Guillen Meza was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (4/6) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Guillen Meza broke Schachter 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alvaro hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 70% of the points he played.
Guillen Meza has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (115-79). 20-17 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Guillen Meza has an aggregate112-73 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Guillen Meza’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger.
The Ecuadorian has an aggregate 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 20-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Ibague Challenger
Guillen Meza has never competed in this tournament before.
Valerio Aboian
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-35 | 0-2 | 37-33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 406, the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Juan Alejandro Hernandez 6-4 6-2 and Renzo Olivo 7-67 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Olivo (7-67 6-1). During the match Aboian scored 76 points vs Olivo’s 62. Aboian was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Aboian scored 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Valerio Aboian was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (25/33) of his 1st serve and 54% (21/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Valerio broke Olivo 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Aboian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger.
Aboian has a composed 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 20-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Guillen Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 38 |
| Pts | 104-45 | 141-112 |
| Total Points | 149 | 253 |
| Winners | 38 | 47 |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% |
Both Guillen Meza and Aboian played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Guillen Meza and Aboian have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Guillen Meza played 11 games less than Aboian. The Ecuadorian scored 38 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Aboian managed to score 47 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Guillen Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 5 |
| 1st in | 47/67 | 60/134 |
| %1st in | 70% | 45% |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 47/60 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 37/74 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 50% |
Guillen Meza fired 2 aces (1 per match). Aboian struck 10 aces (5 per match). Guillen Meza won 81% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Aboian won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Guillen Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/14 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 79% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 13 |
| Saved | 0 | 9 |
| % Saved | 0% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Guillen Meza broke his opponents 11 times with a 79% conversion rate. Alvaro very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Argentine broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Valerio conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Guillen Meza | ||||
| R1 Sebastian Osorio |
R2 Schachter |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 14 | 27 | |
| pts | 53-22 | 51-23 | 104-45 | |
| Total points | 75 | 74 | 149 | |
| Winners | 14 | 24 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 47% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 17/31 | 30/36 | 47/67 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 83% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 14/17 | 24/30 | 38/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 4/6 | 14/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 67% | 70% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/6 | 11/14 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 83% | 79% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aboian | ||||
| R1 Alejandro |
R2 Olivo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-67 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 65-50 | 76-62 | 141-112 | |
| Total points | 115 | 138 | 253 | |
| Winners | 22 | 25 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 27/62 | 33/72 | 60/134 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 46% | 45% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 25/33 | 47/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/35 | 21/39 | 37/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 54% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/10 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 5/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 71% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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