Tommy Paul and Lorenzo Musetti will face off in the final of the cinch Championships for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.64
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Musetti

There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Lorenzo Musetti since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 13, Tommy reached the final after beating Sebastian Baez 6-4 6-4, Alejandro Tabilo 6-3 6-4, Jack Draper 6-3 5-7 6-4 and Sebastian Korda 6-4 7-6².

In the semifinal, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Korda (6-4 7-6²). During the match, Paul scored 74 points vs Korda’s 65. Tommy was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paul blasted 5 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 68% of his first serves in, winning 62% (31/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the 2nd serve. Paul broke Korda 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (376-215). 5-1 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has an aggregate 27-15 record in the last years on grass.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3.

Paul has an overall 26-10 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in London

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 30, Lorenzo reached the final after defeating Alex De Minaur 1-6 6-4 6-2

, Brandon Nakashima 6-4 4-6 6-4, Billy Harris 6-3 7-5 and Jordan Thompson 6-3 3-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Italian defeated Thompson (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match Musetti scored 93 points vs Thompson’s 83. Musetti was exceptionally aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was quite effective on serve to win 75% (45/60) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Thompson 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Musetti has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Lorenzo’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Cagliari Challenger and the Turin Challenger.

The Italian has a compiled 24-18 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in London

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Musetti
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	11
Tot Games	93	103
Pts	320-268	355-318
Total Points	588	673
Winners	143	169
%Winners	45%	48%

Both Paul and Musetti played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul dropped 1 set, while Lorenzo Musetti lost 3 sets. Paul has played 2 set(s) less than Musetti (9 vs 11). Therefore, Paul played 10 games less than Musetti. Tommy scored 143 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Musetti scored 169 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Musetti
Aces	27	19
Avg per match	6.8	4.8
1st in	193/296	224/358
%1st in	65%	63%
1st pts	143/193	169/224
%1st pts	74%	75%
2nd pts	60/103	66/134
%2nd pts	58%	49%

Paul recorded 27 aces (6.8 per match). Musetti blasted 19 aces (4.8 per match). Paul won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Musetti
Won	11	12
Converted	11/30	12/25
% Converted	37%	48%
Conceded	17	32
Saved	12	24
% Saved	71%	75%
Times Broken	5	8

Paul broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Tommy conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Paul
	R1 Baez	R2 Tabilo	1/4 Draper	1/2 Korda	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-3 5-7 6-4	6-4 7-62
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	20	19	31	23	93
pts	88-69	68-48	90-86	74-65	320-268
Total points	157	116	176	139	588
Winners	38	31	43	31	143
%Winners	43%	46%	48%	42%	45%
SERVE
Aces	5	10	7	5	27
Double Faults	2	1	3	0	6
1st in	50/75	36/53	57/95	50/73	193/296
% 1st in	67%	68%	60%	68%	65%
1st pts	38/50	31/36	43/57	31/50	143/193
% 1st pts	76%	86%	75%	62%	74%
2nd pts	12/25	13/17	20/38	15/23	60/103
% 2nd pts	48%	76%	53%	65%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	2	3	3	11
Converted	3/10	2/10	3/4	3/6	11/30
Converted %	30%	20%	75%	50%	37%
Conceded	8	2	4	3	17
Saved	7/8	2/2	2/4	1/3	12
Saved %	88%	100%	50%	33%	68%
Times Broken	1	0	2	2	5

Musetti
	R1 De Minaur	R2 Nakashima	1/4 Harris	1/2 Thompson	Total
Score	1-6 6-4 6-2	6-4 4-6 6-4	6-3 7-5	6-3 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	2	3	11
Tot Games	25	30	21	27	103
pts	81-86	105-94	76-55	93-83	355-318
Total points	167	199	131	176	673
Winners	44	52	28	45	169
%Winners	54%	50%	37%	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	7	6	4	2	19
Double Faults	3	3	2	2	10
1st in	61/102	70/106	33/63	60/87	224/358
% 1st in	60%	66%	52%	69%	63%
1st pts	44/61	52/70	28/33	45/60	169/224
% 1st pts	72%	74%	85%	75%	75%
2nd pts	13/41	17/36	22/30	14/27	66/134
% 2nd pts	32%	47%	73%	52%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	3	2	3	12
Converted	4/4	3/6	2/4	3/11	12/25
Converted %	100%	50%	50%	27%	48%
Conceded	12	12	2	6	32
Saved	8/12	10/12	2/2	4/6	24
Saved %	67%	83%	100%	67%	79%
Times Broken	4	2	0	2	8

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Tommy PaulPaul – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction