Lorenzo Musetti and Jordan Thompson will clash against each other in the semifinal of the cinch Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jordan Thompson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jordan Thompson is the pick to win this match.
Jordan Thompson -> 1.85
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.96
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jordan Thompson
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Jordan Thompson fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Musetti won 6-4 6-1 in the 2nd round in Adelaide back in January 2024.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Jordan Thompson – Adelaide 10-January-2024
Lorenzo Musetti
23 - 18win/loss
25
15
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-19 | 6-7 | 10-8 | 1-2 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Musetti reached the semifinal after defeating Alex De Minaur 1-6 6-4 6-2, Brandon Nakashima 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Billy Harris 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Harris (6-3 7-5). During the match, Musetti scored 76 points vs Harris’s 55. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Musetti was quite effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 73% (22/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Harris twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Musetti has lost 2 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (197-149). 6-1 on grass in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed12-8 record in the last 7 years on grass.
The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Cagliari Challenger and the Turin Challenger.
Musetti has a compiled 23-18 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Jordan Thompson
19 - 14win/loss
39
32
LWWWLLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-15 | 11-7 | 3-5 | 2-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-28 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 7-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 18-14 | 2-6 | 8-1 | 12-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-25 | 10-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 2-2 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, the Australian got to the semifinal after beating Holger Rune 4-6 7-64 6-3, Andy Murray 4-1 ret. and Taylor Fritz 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Fritz (6-4 6-3). During the match Thompson scored 63 points vs Fritz’s 53. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Thompson bagged 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jordan Thompson conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 67% of his first serves in, win 78% (31/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Fritz 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jordan has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Los Cabos where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Thompson has an aggregate 19-14 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 56 |
| Pts | 262-235 | 174-142 |
| Total Points | 497 | 316 |
| Winners | 124 | 81 |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% |
Both Musetti and Thompson played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti dropped 2 sets, while Jordan Thompson surrendered 1 set. Musetti has played 1 set more than Thompson (8 vs 7). Therefore, Musetti played 20 games more than Thompson. Lorenzo scored 124 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Thompson bagged 81 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 5.7 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 164/271 | 99/153 |
| %1st in | 61% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 124/164 | 81/99 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 52/107 | 33/54 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 61% |
Musetti made 17 aces (5.7 per match). Thompson blasted 19 aces (6.3 per match). Musetti won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Thompson won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/14 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 64% | 40% |
| Conceded | 26 | 1 |
| Saved | 20 | 0 |
| % Saved | 77% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Jordan broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Jordan conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||||
| R1 De Minaur |
R2 Nakashima |
1/4 Harris |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 30 | 21 | 76 | |
| pts | 81-86 | 105-94 | 76-55 | 262-235 | |
| Total points | 167 | 199 | 131 | 497 | |
| Winners | 44 | 52 | 28 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 50% | 37% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 61/102 | 70/106 | 33/63 | 164/271 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 66% | 52% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 44/61 | 52/70 | 28/33 | 124/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 74% | 85% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/41 | 17/36 | 22/30 | 52/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 47% | 73% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 50% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 10/12 | 2/2 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 83% | 100% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Thompson | |||||
| R1 Rune |
R2 Murray |
1/4 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-64 6-3 | 4-1 ret. | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 5 | 19 | 56 | |
| pts | 93-81 | 18-8 | 63-53 | 174-142 | |
| Total points | 174 | 26 | 116 | 316 | |
| Winners | 45 | 5 | 31 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 28% | 49% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 2 | 9 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/83 | 5/10 | 40/60 | 99/153 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 50% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 45/54 | 5/5 | 31/40 | 81/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 100% | 78% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 3/5 | 10/20 | 33/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 60% | 50% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 2/2 | 3/10 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 100% | 30% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWL
LWWWLLLLLW Tennis Scores in London
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-75 6-3 13-11) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
