
Aryna Sabalenka and Anna Kalinskaya will play each other in the quarter of the Berlin Ladies Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:30 am on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.19
Anna Kalinskaya -> 4.75
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Anna Kalinskaya clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-3 4-1 ret. in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2022.
Aryna Sabalenka
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 12-3 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Aryna got to the quarter after beating Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-1 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 56 points vs Kasatkina’s 38. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka struck 3 aces and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (19/26) of her 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sabalenka broke Kasatkina 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (348-162). 1-0 on grass in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed34-18 record in the last 9 years on grass.
Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Aryna has a compiled 30-8 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Berlin
Anna Kalinskaya
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 3-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 38-19 | 28-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24 (career-high), the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Nao Hibino 2-6 6-4 6-2 and Marketa Vondrousova 5-5 ret..
In the 2nd round against Vondrousova, the Russian had a free pass after Vondrousova retired on a 5-5 . scoreline.
Kalinskaya’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Dubai.
Anna has an aggregate 23-11 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Berlin
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Kalinskaya |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
Tot Games | 17 | 36 |
Pts | 56-38 | 113-112 |
Total Points | 94 | 225 |
Winners | 19 | 49 |
%Winners | 34% | 43% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Kalinskaya competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Anna Kalinskaya dropped 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 3 set(s) less than Kalinskaya (2 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 19 games less than Kalinskaya. The Belarussian scored 19 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Anna blasted 49 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Kalinskaya |
---|---|---|
Aces | 3 | 1 |
Avg per match | 3 | 0.5 |
1st in | 26/48 | 77/121 |
%1st in | 54% | 64% |
1st pts | 19/26 | 49/77 |
%1st pts | 73% | 64% |
2nd pts | 15/22 | 25/44 |
%2nd pts | 68% | 57% |
Sabalenka fired 3 aces . Kalinskaya recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Sabalenka won 73% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Kalinskaya |
---|---|---|
Won | 4 | 5 |
Converted | 4/5 | 5/8 |
% Converted | 80% | 63% |
Conceded | 2 | 11 |
Saved | 1 | 7 |
% Saved | 50% | 64% |
Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Aryna broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Sabalenka conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Kalinskaya broke her opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Kalinskaya conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | |||
R2 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
pts | 56-38 | 56-38 | |
Total points | 94 | 94 | |
Winners | 19 | 19 | |
%Winners | 34% | 34% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 3 | 3 | |
Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
1st in | 26/48 | 26/48 | |
% 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
1st pts | 19/26 | 19/26 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
% 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Kalinskaya | ||||
R1 Hibino |
R2 Vondrousova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | 5-5 ret. | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 26 | 10 | 36 | |
pts | 77-78 | 36-34 | 113-112 | |
Total points | 155 | 70 | 225 | |
Winners | 30 | 19 | 49 | |
%Winners | 39% | 53% | 43% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
1st in | 47/79 | 30/42 | 77/121 | |
% 1st in | 59% | 71% | 64% | |
1st pts | 30/47 | 19/30 | 49/77 | |
% 1st pts | 64% | 63% | 64% | |
2nd pts | 19/32 | 6/12 | 25/44 | |
% 2nd pts | 59% | 50% | 57% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Converted | 4/7 | 1/1 | 5/8 | |
Converted % | 57% | 100% | 63% | |
Conceded | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
Saved | 2/5 | 5/6 | 7 | |
Saved % | 40% | 83% | 123% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Head 2 Head



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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Jessica PegulaPegula – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-3) – H2H and prediction