Luciano Darderi and Sumit Nagal will play each other in the final of the Perugia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luciano Darderi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luciano Darderi is the pick to win this match.
Luciano Darderi -> 1.44
Sumit Nagal -> 2.66

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Prediction and head to head Luciano Darderi vs. Sumit Nagal

There is no head to head record between Luciano Darderi and Sumit Nagal since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 41, the Italian reached the final after defeating Federico Cina 6-3 6-0, Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 6-3, Fabio Fognini 6-1 6-2 and Daniel Altmaier 7-6⁴ 6-3.

In the semifinal, Luciano had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (7-6⁴ 6-3). During the match, Darderi scored 72 points vs Altmaier’s 66. Darderi was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Darderi recorded 6 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Luciano Darderi was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 51% (19/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Darderi broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Darderi hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Darderi has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (172-99). 30-12 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Darderi has a composed148-84 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Cordoba where he defeated Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-1 6-4.

Luciano has a composed 30-14 win-loss record in 2024, 30-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Perugia Challenger

Sumit Nagal

Ranked no. 77 (career-high), Nagal reached the final after defeating Nerman Fatic 7-6¹ 6-2, Alessandro Giannessi 0-6 7-5 7-6⁵, Maks Kasnikowski 6-4 7-5 and Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-6² 1-6 6-2.

In the semifinal, Sumit defeated Zapata Miralles (7-6² 1-6 6-2). During the match Nagal scored 93 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 89. Nagal was extremely aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about serving, Nagal scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sumit Nagal lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 80% of his first serves in, winning 62% (48/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (7/20) on the 2nd serve. Sumit broke Zapata Miralles 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nagal has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Chennai Challenger where he overcame Luca Nardi in the final 6-1 6-4 and the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Alexander Ritschard in the final 6-1 6-7(5) 6-3.

The Indian has a composed 28-13 win-loss record in 2024, 13-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Perugia Challenger

Nagal has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Darderi	Nagal
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	10
Tot Games	70	102
Pts	247-174	347-317
Total Points	421	664
Winners	91	164
%Winners	37%	47%

Both Darderi and Nagal played 4 matches. At the moment, Sumit Nagal surrendered 2 sets while Luciano Darderi hasn’t dropped a set so far. Darderi has played 2 set(s) less than Nagal (8 vs 10). Therefore, Darderi played 32 games less than Nagal. Luciano scored 91 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nagal made 164 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Darderi	Nagal
Aces	24	3
Avg per match	6	0.8
1st in	116/213	252/325
%1st in	54%	78%
1st pts	91/116	164/252
%1st pts	78%	65%
2nd pts	59/97	39/73
%2nd pts	61%	53%

Darderi made 24 aces (6 per match). Nagal fired 3 aces (0.8 per match). Darderi won 78% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Nagal won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Darderi	Nagal
Won	15	14
Converted	15/27	14/30
% Converted	56%	47%
Conceded	10	29
Saved	7	17
% Saved	70%	59%
Times Broken	3	12

Luciano broke his opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Nagal broke his opponents 14 times with a 47% conversion rate. Sumit conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.

Darderi
	R1 Cina	R2 Pellegrino	1/4 Fognini	1/2 Altmaier	Total
Score	6-3 6-0	6-3 6-3	6-1 6-2	7-64 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	15	18	15	22	70
pts	60-35	63-47	52-26	72-66	247-174
Total points	95	110	78	138	421
Winners	23	20	18	30	91
%Winners	38%	32%	35%	42%	37%
SERVE
Aces	7	7	4	6	24
Double Faults	0	0	1	0	1
1st in	28/45	25/48	22/42	41/78	116/213
% 1st in	62%	52%	52%	53%	54%
1st pts	23/28	20/25	18/22	30/41	91/116
% 1st pts	82%	80%	82%	73%	78%
2nd pts	12/17	16/23	12/20	19/37	59/97
% 2nd pts	71%	70%	60%	51%	61%
Breaks
Won	4	3	5	3	15
Converted	4/7	3/5	5/8	3/7	15/27
Converted %	57%	60%	63%	43%	56%
Conceded	2	0	3	5	10
Saved	2/2	0/0	2/3	3/5	7
Saved %	100%	–	67%	60%	57%
Times Broken	0	0	1	2	3

Nagal
	R1 Fatic	R2 Giannessi	1/4 Kasnikowski	1/2 Zapata Miralles	Total
Score	7-61 6-2	0-6 7-5 7-65	6-4 7-5	7-62 1-6 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	21	31	22	28	102
pts	82-59	98-109	74-60	93-89	347-317
Total points	141	207	134	182	664
Winners	35	47	34	48	164
%Winners	43%	48%	46%	52%	47%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1	1	3
Double Faults	0	2	1	2	5
1st in	46/57	80/103	48/67	78/98	252/325
% 1st in	81%	78%	72%	80%	78%
1st pts	35/46	47/80	34/48	48/78	164/252
% 1st pts	76%	59%	71%	62%	65%
2nd pts	8/11	11/23	13/19	7/20	39/73
% 2nd pts	73%	48%	68%	35%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	5	14
Converted	3/9	3/5	3/8	5/8	14/30
Converted %	33%	60%	38%	63%	47%
Conceded	1	11	6	11	29
Saved	0/1	6/11	5/6	6/11	17
Saved %	0%	55%	83%	55%	48%
Times Broken	1	5	1	5	12

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