Mattia Bellucci and Jacob Fearnley will play each other in the semifinal of the Nottingham 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.51
Jacob Fearnley -> 2.41
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Jacob Fearnley
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Jacob Fearnley since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
17 - 19win/loss
100
100
LLWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-32 | 31-17 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 160, Bellucci reached the semifinal after beating Gabriel Diallo 6-4 4-6 7-5, Emilio Nava 6-4 6-4 and Jack Pinnington Jones 6-4 7-60.
In the quarter, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Pinnington Jones (6-4 7-60). During the match, Bellucci scored 77 points vs Pinnington Jones’s 62. Bellucci was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bellucci struck 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mattia Bellucci was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mattia broke Pinnington Jones twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mattia has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (201-119). 3-1 on grass in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has an overall8-5 record in the last 7 years on grass.
Mattia has a compiled 17-18 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nottingham 2 Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Jacob Fearnley
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 525, Jacob reached the semifinal after defeating Clement Chidekh 2-6 6-3 7-64, Mark Lajal 6-2 6-4, Bu Yunchaokete 6-2 7-5, Paul Jubb 6-1 6-714 6-3 and Juncheng Shang 7-5 7-5.
In the quarter, Jacob had a good straight sets win against Shang (7-5 7-5). During the match Fearnley scored 83 points vs Shang’s 66. The Brit was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Fearnley scored 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Jacob Fearnley lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Fearnley put 64% of his first serves in, winning 84% (42/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Shang 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jacob started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Brit’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Esch/Alzette.
Fearnley has a compiled 13-0 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 121 |
| Pts | 238-210 | 423-346 |
| Total Points | 448 | 769 |
| Winners | 92 | 185 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Bellucci played 3 matches while Fearnley competed in 5 matches. Fearnley started his run from the qualifications while Bellucci had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Mattia Bellucci surrendered 1 set, while Jacob Fearnley conceded 2 sets. Bellucci has played 5 set(s) less than Fearnley (7 vs 12). Therefore, Bellucci played 46 games less than Fearnley. The Italian scored 92 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit bagged 185 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 34 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 6.8 |
| 1st in | 117/210 | 246/375 |
| %1st in | 56% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 92/117 | 185/246 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 61/93 | 69/129 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 53% |
Bellucci blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Fearnley blasted 34 aces (6.8 per match). Bellucci won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 19 |
| Converted | 7/23 | 19/47 |
| % Converted | 30% | 40% |
| Conceded | 6 | 20 |
| Saved | 3 | 11 |
| % Saved | 50% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 9 |
The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. Bellucci surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Fearnley broke his opponents 19 times with a 40% conversion rate. Fearnley conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | |||||
| R1 Diallo |
R2 Nava |
1/4 Pinnington |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 | 23 | 75 | |
| pts | 103-94 | 58-54 | 77-62 | 238-210 | |
| Total points | 197 | 112 | 139 | 448 | |
| Winners | 39 | 25 | 28 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 52/88 | 29/58 | 36/64 | 117/210 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 50% | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 25/29 | 28/36 | 92/117 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 86% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/36 | 17/29 | 20/28 | 61/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 59% | 71% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/13 | 2/4 | 2/6 | 7/23 | |
| Converted % | 23% | 50% | 33% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 67% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Fearnley | |||||||
| Q1 Chidekh |
Q3 Lajal |
R1 Yunchaokete |
R2 Jubb |
1/4 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 7-64 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 6-714 6-3 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 121 | |
| pts | 98-95 | 69-46 | 70-54 | 103-85 | 83-66 | 423-346 | |
| Total points | 193 | 115 | 124 | 188 | 149 | 769 | |
| Winners | 45 | 25 | 25 | 48 | 42 | 185 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 36% | 36% | 47% | 51% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 24 | |
| 1st in | 70/94 | 35/54 | 32/52 | 59/97 | 50/78 | 246/375 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 65% | 62% | 61% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 45/70 | 25/35 | 25/32 | 48/59 | 42/50 | 185/246 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 71% | 78% | 81% | 84% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 11/19 | 11/20 | 21/38 | 13/28 | 69/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 58% | 55% | 55% | 46% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 5/11 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 3/9 | 19/47 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 45% | 57% | 50% | 33% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 5/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 83% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLWWWW
LWWLWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Nottingham 2 Challenger
- Billy HarrisHarris – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (6-1 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-4 7-60) – See score progression
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Juncheng ShangShang (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Charles BroomBroom – Daniel EvansEvans (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Harold Mayot/Luke SavilleMayot/Luke Saville – Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli/Niki Kaliyanda PoonachaChoudary Bollipalli/Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha (6-1 7-62) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Billy HarrisHarris – Charles BroomBroom (3-0) – H2H and prediction
