Alexandre Muller and Hugo Gaston will clash against each other in the final of the Lyon Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT SOPRA STERIA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Gaston who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hugo Gaston is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Gaston -> 1.76
Alexandre Muller -> 1.99
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Alexandre Muller vs. Hugo Gaston
This will be the 4th time that Alexandre Muller and Hugo Gaston clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Muller (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Muller won 6-2 4-0 ret. in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in 2023.
Alexandre Muller
22 - 18win/loss
103
71
LLWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-19 | 7-8 | 14-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-33 | 20-13 | 18-12 | 7-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-31 | 6-6 | 27-20 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 6-7 | 16-15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-13 | 3-2 | 15-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, Muller got to the final after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 7-5 6-0, Alibek Kachmazov 6-0 6-2, Filip Cristian Jianu 6-2 6-2 and Raphael Collignon 1-6 6-2 6-2.
In the semifinal against Collignon, Muller recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-2). During the match, Muller scored 73 points vs Collignon’s 68. Alexandre was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muller made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexandre Muller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Muller put 59% of his first serves in, winning 71% (29/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Collignon 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandre has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Muller has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (385-256). 14-8 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Muller has a compiled 226-141 match record in the last years on clay.
The French player best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Lyon Challenger.
Alexandre has a compiled 22-17 win-loss record in 2024, 14-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lyon Challenger
Hugo Gaston
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-19 | 5-6 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 6-5 | 30-18 | 8-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 16-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-30 | 2-3 | 32-16 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 82, Hugo reached the final after beating Daniel Rincon 6-0 7-69, Clement Tabur 6-2 6-71 6-3, Nikoloz Basilashvili 4-6 6-4 6-3 and Kyrian Jacquet 7-63 6-4.
In the semifinal, Gaston had a good straight sets win against Jacquet (7-63 6-4). During the match Gaston scored 80 points vs Jacquet’s 74. Gaston was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Gaston scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Hugo Gaston lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gaston put 58% of his first serves in, winning 72% (34/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. Gaston broke Jacquet 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Hugo’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Lyon Challenger.
Gaston has a compiled 18-18 win-loss record in 2024, 9-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 101 |
| Pts | 272-195 | 359-322 |
| Total Points | 467 | 681 |
| Winners | 94 | 123 |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% |
Both Muller and Gaston played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexandre Muller conceded 1 set, while Hugo Gaston lost 2 sets. Muller has played 1 set(s) less than Gaston (9 vs 10). Therefore, Muller played 30 games less than Gaston. Alexandre scored 94 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Gaston recorded 123 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 134/238 | 187/349 |
| %1st in | 56% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 94/134 | 123/187 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 61/104 | 83/162 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 51% |
Muller struck 8 aces (2 per match). Gaston recorded 10 aces (2.5 per match). Muller won 70% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Gaston won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muller | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 22 |
| Converted | 19/38 | 22/36 |
| % Converted | 50% | 61% |
| Conceded | 29 | 35 |
| Saved | 24 | 22 |
| % Saved | 83% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 13 |
The French player broke his opponents 19 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Hugo broke his opponents 22 times with a 61% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Muller | ||||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Kachmazov |
1/4 Cristian |
1/2 Collignon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-0 | 6-0 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 1-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 71 | |
| pts | 72-50 | 62-38 | 65-39 | 73-68 | 272-195 | |
| Total points | 122 | 100 | 104 | 141 | 467 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | 23 | 29 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 34% | 35% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/64 | 29/54 | 31/51 | 41/69 | 134/238 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 54% | 61% | 59% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 21/33 | 21/29 | 23/31 | 29/41 | 94/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 72% | 74% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 15/25 | 11/20 | 14/28 | 61/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 60% | 55% | 50% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 4/11 | 19/38 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 63% | 36% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 29 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 6/6 | 2/3 | 7/10 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 100% | 67% | 70% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| Gaston | ||||||
| R1 Rincon |
R2 Tabur |
1/4 Basilashvili |
1/2 Jacquet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-69 | 6-2 6-71 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 101 | |
| pts | 70-55 | 107-97 | 102-96 | 80-74 | 359-322 | |
| Total points | 125 | 204 | 198 | 154 | 681 | |
| Winners | 24 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 30% | 32% | 43% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/59 | 56/111 | 49/98 | 47/81 | 187/349 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 24/35 | 32/56 | 33/49 | 34/47 | 123/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 57% | 67% | 72% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 34/55 | 22/49 | 14/34 | 83/162 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 62% | 45% | 41% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/11 | 7/11 | 4/7 | 22/36 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 55% | 64% | 57% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 35 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 5/8 | 8/13 | 7/10 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 63% | 62% | 70% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWLW
WWWLWWWWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hugo GastonGaston – Alexandre MullerMuller (1-2) – H2H and prediction
