Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini will fight against each other in the final of the Boss Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.64
Jack Draper -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Matteo Berrettini

There is no head to head record between Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 40, Draper got to the final after beating Sebastian Ofner 7-6⁴ 7-6⁵, Marcos Giron 6-4 3-6 6-3, Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-4 7-6¹ and Brandon Nakashima 6-3 6-3.

In the semifinal, Draper had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-3 6-3). During the match, Draper scored 66 points vs Nakashima’s 48. Draper was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Draper made 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jack Draper conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 70% of his first serves in, win 94% (31/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (5/14) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jack has dropped 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Draper has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (204-94). 4-0 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Draper has an aggregate13-11 win-loss record in the last 7 years on grass.

Jack’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Adelaide.

Jack has an aggregate 17-12 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stuttgart

Draper has never competed in this tournament before.

Matteo Berrettini

Ranked no. 95, the Italian reached the final after beating Roman Safiullin 7-6⁸ 5-7 7-5, Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-4, James Duckworth 6-4 7-5 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-0.

In the semifinal, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 6-0). During the match Berrettini scored 58 points vs Musetti’s 41. Berrettini was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Berrettini scored 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matteo Berrettini was very efficient on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Musetti 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marrakech where he defeated Roberto Carballes Baena in the final 7-5 6-2.

The Italian has a compiled 13-3 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stuttgart

Previously, he won this tournament twice in 2019 and 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Draper	Berrettini
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	9
Tot Games	107	95
Pts	357-309	308-276
Total Points	666	584
Winners	171	159
%Winners	48%	52%

Both Draper and Berrettini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jack Draper dropped 2 sets, while Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set. Draper has played 1 set more than Berrettini (10 vs 9). Therefore, Draper played 12 games more than Berrettini. Jack scored 171 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo blasted 159 winners (52%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Draper	Berrettini
Aces	61	49
Avg per match	15.3	12.3
1st in	196/305	203/292
%1st in	64%	70%
1st pts	171/196	159/203
%1st pts	87%	78%
2nd pts	56/109	53/89
%2nd pts	51%	60%

Draper managed to score 61 aces (15.3 per match). Berrettini bagged 49 aces (12.3 per match). Draper won 87% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Draper	Berrettini
Won	7	9
Converted	7/32	9/23
% Converted	22%	39%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	8	10
% Saved	73%	91%
Times Broken	3	1

Jack broke his opponents 7 times with a 22% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.

Draper
	R1 Ofner	R2 Giron	1/4 Tiafoe	1/2 Nakashima	Total
Score	7-64 7-65	6-4 3-6 6-3	5-7 6-4 7-61	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	2	10
Tot Games	26	28	35	18	107
pts	84-78	93-84	114-99	66-48	357-309
Total points	162	177	213	114	666
Winners	41	46	53	31	171
%Winners	49%	49%	46%	47%	48%
SERVE
Aces	8	9	31	13	61
Double Faults	3	4	3	4	14
1st in	46/77	55/86	62/95	33/47	196/305
% 1st in	60%	64%	65%	70%	64%
1st pts	41/46	46/55	53/62	31/33	171/196
% 1st pts	89%	84%	85%	94%	87%
2nd pts	16/31	15/31	20/33	5/14	56/109
% 2nd pts	52%	48%	61%	36%	51%
Breaks
Won	1	2	1	3	7
Converted	1/5	2/9	1/6	3/12	7/32
Converted %	20%	22%	17%	25%	22%
Conceded	4	5	2	0	11
Saved	3/4	4/5	1/2	0/0	8
Saved %	75%	80%	50%	–	51%
Times Broken	1	1	1	0	3

Berrettini
	R1 Safiullin	R2 Shapovalov	1/4 Duckworth	1/2 Musetti	Total
Score	7-68 5-7 7-5	6-4 6-4	6-4 7-5	6-4 6-0
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	37	20	22	16	95
pts	116-124	58-52	76-59	58-41	308-276
Total points	240	110	135	99	584
Winners	68	33	33	25	159
%Winners	59%	57%	43%	43%	52%
SERVE
Aces	27	3	13	6	49
Double Faults	1	1	3	1	6
1st in	95/132	39/57	37/56	32/47	203/292
% 1st in	72%	68%	66%	68%	70%
1st pts	68/95	33/39	33/37	25/32	159/203
% 1st pts	72%	85%	89%	78%	78%
2nd pts	22/37	10/18	12/19	9/15	53/89
% 2nd pts	59%	56%	63%	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	1	2	2	4	9
Converted	1/5	2/3	2/8	4/7	9/23
Converted %	20%	67%	25%	57%	39%
Conceded	6	1	0	4	11
Saved	5/6	1/1	0/0	4/4	10
Saved %	83%	100%	–	100%	71%
Times Broken	1	0	0	0	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jack DraperDraper – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction