Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Berrettini will face off in the semifinal of the Boss Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.44
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.8
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Musetti won 7-6(5) 6-2 in the final in Naples back in 2022.
Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo Berrettini – Naples 23-October-2022
Lorenzo Musetti
20 - 18win/loss
30
15
LWWWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-18 | 6-7 | 10-8 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-69 7-69, Dominik Koepfer 6-79 7-65 6-3 and Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-1 1-0 ret..
In the quarter against Bublik, the Italian had a free pass after Bublik retired on a 4-6 6-1 1-0 . scoreline.
Musetti has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (194-148). 3-0 on grass in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has an overall9-7 record in the last 7 years on grass.
The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Cagliari Challenger and the Turin Challenger.
Lorenzo has a compiled 20-17 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Matteo Berrettini
13 - 3win/loss
65
6
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-4 | 4-2 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, Berrettini reached the semifinal after defeating Roman Safiullin 7-68 5-7 7-5, Denis Shapovalov 6-4 6-4 and James Duckworth 6-4 7-5.
In the quarter, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Duckworth (6-4 7-5). During the match Berrettini scored 76 points vs Duckworth’s 59. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini fired 13 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Berrettini was very efficient on serve to win 89% (33/37) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke Duckworth twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Marrakech where he overcame Roberto Carballes Baena in the final 7-5 6-2.
Berrettini has a composed 12-3 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, he won this tournament twice in 2019 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 79 |
| Pts | 285-267 | 250-235 |
| Total Points | 552 | 485 |
| Winners | 140 | 134 |
| %Winners | 49% | 54% |
Both Musetti and Berrettini played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti surrendered 2 sets, while Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set. Musetti has played 2 sets more than Berrettini (9 vs 7). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (79). Musetti scored 140 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Berrettini scored 134 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 43 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 14.3 |
| 1st in | 182/271 | 171/245 |
| %1st in | 67% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 140/182 | 134/171 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 49/89 | 44/74 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 59% |
Musetti struck 13 aces (4.3 per match). Berrettini made 43 aces (14.3 per match). Musetti won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/16 |
| % Converted | 29% | 31% |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 78% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Musetti broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Lorenzo surrendered his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||||
| R1 Mpetshi |
R2 Koepfer |
1/4 Bublik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 7-69 | 6-79 7-65 6-3 | 4-6 6-1 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 35 | 18 | 79 | |
| pts | 101-99 | 119-114 | 65-54 | 285-267 | |
| Total points | 200 | 233 | 119 | 552 | |
| Winners | 53 | 60 | 27 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 50% | 42% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 68/93 | 79/117 | 35/61 | 182/271 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 68% | 57% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 53/68 | 60/79 | 27/35 | 140/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 76% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/25 | 20/38 | 14/26 | 49/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 53% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 0/8 | 2/6 | 3/3 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 33% | 100% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/5 | 3/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 80% | 75% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Berrettini | |||||
| R1 Safiullin |
R2 Shapovalov |
1/4 Duckworth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-68 5-7 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 20 | 22 | 79 | |
| pts | 116-124 | 58-52 | 76-59 | 250-235 | |
| Total points | 240 | 110 | 135 | 485 | |
| Winners | 68 | 33 | 33 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 59% | 57% | 43% | 54% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 27 | 3 | 13 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 95/132 | 39/57 | 37/56 | 171/245 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 68% | 66% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 68/95 | 33/39 | 33/37 | 134/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 85% | 89% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 10/18 | 12/19 | 44/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 56% | 63% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 2/3 | 2/8 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 67% | 25% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 100% | – | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWLWW
LWWWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Rafael Matos/Marcelo MeloMatos/Marcelo Melo – Constantin Frantzen/Hendrik JebensFrantzen/Hendrik Jebens (7-65 6-73 13-11) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway – Yuki Bhambri/Albano OlivettiBhambri/Albano Olivetti (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jack DraperDraper (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-0) – H2H and prediction
