Sumit Nagal and Maks Kasnikowski will play each other in the quarter of the Perugia Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sumit Nagal who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sumit Nagal is the pick to win this match.
Sumit Nagal -> 1.363
Maks Kasnikowski -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Maks Kasnikowski

There is no head to head record between Sumit Nagal and Maks Kasnikowski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Sumit Nagal

Ranked no. 77 (career-high), the Indian reached the quarter after beating Nerman Fatic 7-6¹ 6-2 and Alessandro Giannessi 0-6 7-5 7-6⁵.

In the 2^nd round against Giannessi, The Indian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 7-5 7-6⁵).During the match, Nagal scored less points (11) than Giannessi. In fact, the world no. 77 won 98 points vs Giannessi’s. That means that Nagal was more focused during the important points. The Indian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nagal scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Sumit Nagal lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 78% of his first serves in, winning 59% (47/80) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Nagal broke Giannessi 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Indian has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Nagal has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (316-202). 11-5 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Nagal has an aggregate 220-126 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Chennai Challenger where he beat Luca Nardi in the final 6-1 6-4 and the Heilbronn Challenger where he beat Alexander Ritschard in the final 6-1 6-7(5) 6-3.

Sumit has a compiled 26-13 win-loss record in 2024, 11-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Perugia Challenger

Sumit has never competed in this tournament before.

Maks Kasnikowski

Ranked no. 243 (career-high), Kasnikowski got to the quarter after beating Francesco Maestrelli 6-3 6-3 and Borna Coric 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Maks had a good straight sets win against Coric (7-5 6-4). During the match Kasnikowski scored 65 points vs Coric’s 58. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Kasnikowski recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Maks Kasnikowski was quite effective on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Maks broke Coric twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Oeiras 1 Challenger where he beat Gastao Elias in the final 7-6(1) 4-6 6-3.

Maks has a compiled 27-15 win-loss record in 2024, 15-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nagal	Kasnikowski
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	52	40
Pts	180-168	134-108
Total Points	348	242
Winners	82	57
%Winners	46%	43%

Both Nagal and Kasnikowski played 2 matches. At the moment, Sumit Nagal conceded 1 set while Maks Kasnikowski hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nagal has played 1 set more than Kasnikowski (5 vs 4). Therefore, Nagal played 12 games more than Kasnikowski. Sumit scored 82 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Kasnikowski struck 57 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nagal	Kasnikowski
Aces	1	10
Avg per match	0.5	5
1st in	126/160	65/113
%1st in	79%	58%
1st pts	82/126	57/65
%1st pts	65%	88%
2nd pts	19/34	28/48
%2nd pts	56%	58%

Nagal managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Kasnikowski also scored 10 aces (5 per match). Nagal won 65% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Kasnikowski won 88% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nagal	Kasnikowski
Won	6	5
Converted	6/14	5/11
% Converted	43%	45%
Conceded	12	3
Saved	6	3
% Saved	50%	100%
Times Broken	6	0

Sumit broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Sumit lost his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Pole broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Pole was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Nagal
	R1 Fatic	R2 Giannessi	Total
Score	7-61 6-2	0-6 7-5 7-65
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	21	31	52
pts	82-59	98-109	180-168
Total points	141	207	348
Winners	35	47	82
%Winners	43%	48%	46%
SERVE
Aces	0	1	1
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	46/57	80/103	126/160
% 1st in	81%	78%	79%
1st pts	35/46	47/80	82/126
% 1st pts	76%	59%	65%
2nd pts	8/11	11/23	19/34
% 2nd pts	73%	48%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/9	3/5	6/14
Converted %	33%	60%	43%
Conceded	1	11	12
Saved	0/1	6/11	6
Saved %	0%	55%	28%
Times Broken	1	5	6

Kasnikowski
	R1 Maestrelli	R2 Coric	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	18	22	40
pts	69-50	65-58	134-108
Total points	119	123	242
Winners	27	30	57
%Winners	39%	46%	43%
SERVE
Aces	7	3	10
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	30/52	35/61	65/113
% 1st in	58%	57%	58%
1st pts	27/30	30/35	57/65
% 1st pts	90%	86%	88%
2nd pts	12/22	16/26	28/48
% 2nd pts	55%	62%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/7	2/4	5/11
Converted %	43%	50%	45%
Conceded	1	2	3
Saved	1/1	2/2	3
Saved %	100%	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0	0

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Sumit NagalNagal – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Laslo DjereDjere (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Francesco PassaroPassaro (1-0) – H2H and prediction