Matteo Berrettini and Denis Shapovalov will square off in the 2nd round of the Boss Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.71
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.14
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Denis Shapovalov
This will be the 3rd time that Matteo Berrettini and Denis Shapovalov square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Shapovalov won 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 7-6(5) in the Rubber 2 in Davis Cup, Finals, Group F back in 2019.
Matteo Berrettini
10 - 3win/loss
44
6
LWLWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-10 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 3-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, Berrettini got to the 2nd round after beating Roman Safiullin 7-68 5-7 7-5.
In the 1st round, Matteo defeated Safiullin (7-68 5-7 7-5).During the match, Berrettini scored less points (8) than Safiullin. In fact, the world no. 95 won 116 points vs Safiullin’s. That means that Berrettini was more focused during the important points. Berrettini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 68 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini submerged his opponent with 27 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was very efficient on serve to win 72% (68/95) of his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Berrettini broke Safiullin once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 67% of his matches (304-147). 1-0 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Berrettini has an aggregate 40-9 match record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marrakech where he defeated Roberto Carballes Baena in the final 7-5 6-2.
The Italian has a composed 10-3 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Denis Shapovalov
12 - 15win/loss
102
10
LWWWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-23 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 7-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-15 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, Denis reached the 2nd round after beating Matteo Martineau 7-65 7-5.
In the 1st round, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Martineau (7-65 7-5). During the match Shapovalov scored 85 points vs Martineau’s 82. The Canadian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Shapovalov made 9 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 61% of his first serves in, winning 80% (47/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (16/37) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Martineau twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Denis has an aggregate 12-15 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 25 |
| Pts | 116-124 | 85-82 |
| Total Points | 240 | 167 |
| Winners | 68 | 47 |
| %Winners | 59% | 55% |
Both Berrettini and Shapovalov played 1 match. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t lost a set so far. Berrettini has played 1 set more than Shapovalov (3 vs 2). Therefore, Berrettini played 12 games more than Shapovalov. The Italian scored 68 winners (59% of the total points). On the other side, Denis managed to score 47 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 27 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 27 | 9 |
| 1st in | 95/132 | 59/96 |
| %1st in | 72% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 68/95 | 47/59 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 16/37 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 43% |
Berrettini made 27 aces . Shapovalov blasted 9 aces . Berrettini won 72% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Shapovalov won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 2 |
| Converted | 1/5 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 20% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 83% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponent once with a 20% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Denis broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Shapovalov conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | |||
| R1 Safiullin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-68 5-7 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 37 | |
| pts | 116-124 | 116-124 | |
| Total points | 240 | 240 | |
| Winners | 68 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 59% | 59% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 27 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 95/132 | 95/132 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 68/95 | 68/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 22/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 1/5 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Shapovalov | |||
| R1 Martineau |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 85-82 | 85-82 | |
| Total points | 167 | 167 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 59/96 | 59/96 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 47/59 | 47/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 16/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWL
LWWWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-5 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (6-79 7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander BublikBublik – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (6-1 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jack DraperJack – Marcos GironMarcos (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander BublikBublik (0-2) – H2H and prediction
