Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev will square off in the final of the French Open for the 12th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:30 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.31
Alexander Zverev -> 3.58

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alexander Zverev

This will be the 12th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev clash against each other. The head to head is 7-4 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), but Alcaraz has a winning record of 2-1 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-1 in the quarter in Indian wells back in March 2024.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev – Indian wells 14-March-2024

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

24 - 5win/loss

Hard
13-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-3
Rank
3
High
1
LWWWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-6 13-2 12-3 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Alcaraz got to the final after beating Jeff Wolf 6-1 6-2 6-1, Jesper De Jong 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2, Sebastian Korda 6-4 7-65 6-3, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-3 6-1, Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 7-63 6-4 and Jannik Sinner 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal, Carlos had a tough win against Sinner to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3).During the match, Alcaraz scored less points (2) than Sinner. In fact, the world no. 3 won 145 points vs Sinner’s. That means that Alcaraz was more focused during the important points. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 68 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz blasted 8 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 6 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 66% of his first serves in, winning 66% (68/103) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (25/54) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Sinner 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has dropped 3 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (257-68). 11-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an overall135-34 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

Carlos has an overall 24-5 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Alcaraz's Record

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

34 - 9win/loss

Hard
18-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
16-3
Rank
4
High
2
LWWWLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-11 18-6 16-4 0-0 3-1 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0
2020 28-11 12-7 3-1 13-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 4, Zverev reached the final after beating Rafael Nadal 6-3 7-65 6-3, David Goffin 7-64 6-2 6-2, Tallon Griekspoor 3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-63, Holger Rune 4-6 6-1 5-7 7-62

6-2, Alex De Minaur 6-4 7-65 6-4 and Casper Ruud 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal against Ruud, Zverev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-4 6-2). During the match Zverev scored 105 points vs Ruud’s 83. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.

About the serving games, Zverev fired 19 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alexander Zverev was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (48/56) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Zverev broke Ruud 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander has conceded 5 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he beat Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5.

The German has an overall 34-9 win-loss record in 2024, 16-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021, 2022 and 2023. See his history.

French Open
Zverev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
A.Zverev
16h:23
16h:23
Time on court​
19h:27
19h:27
!
4h:09
4h:09
Last match​
!
2h:35
2h:35
6
6
Match played
6
6
191
191
Games Played​
227
227
21
21
Set played​​
23
23
675
675
Total points​
751
751
112.5
112.5
Avg point​
125.2
125.2
287
287
Winners
352
352
47.8
47.8
Avg Winners​
58.7
58.7
43%
43%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
22
22
Aces
64
64
3.7
3.7
Avg Aces
!
10.7
10.7
13
13
Double Faults
23
23
2.2
2.2
Avg Double Faults
3.8
3.8
287/412
287/412
1st won total​
352/474
352/474
70%
70%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
99/177
99/177
2nd won total​
93/181
93/181
56%
56%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
37/80
37/80
BP won
33/87
33/87
6.2/13.3
6.2/13.3
Avg BP won
5.5/14.5
5.5/14.5
46%
46%
Won
38%
38%
39
39
Conceded
44
44
6.5
6.5
Avg Conceded
7.3
7.3
17
17
Broken
17
17
2.8
2.8
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
22
22
Saved
27
27

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Zverev
Match played 6 6
Tot Set 21 23
Tot Games 191 227
Pts 675-545 751-643
Total Points 1220 1394
Winners 287 352
%Winners 43% 47%

Both Alcaraz and Zverev played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz surrendered 3 sets, while Alexander Zverev dropped 5 sets. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Zverev (21 vs 23). Therefore, Alcaraz played 36 games less than Zverev. Carlos scored 287 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The German bagged 352 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Zverev
Aces 22 64
Avg per match 3.7 10.7
1st in 412/589 474/655
%1st in 70% 72%
1st pts 287/412 352/474
%1st pts 70% 74%
2nd pts 99/177 93/181
%2nd pts 56% 51%

Alcaraz fired 22 aces (3.7 per match). Zverev blasted 64 aces (10.7 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Zverev
Won 37 33
Converted 37/80 33/87
% Converted 46% 38%
Conceded 39 44
Saved 22 27
% Saved 56% 61%
Times Broken 17 17

Alcaraz broke his opponents 37 times with a 46% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve 17 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 33 times with a 38% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 17 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Wolf
R2
De
R3
Korda
R4
Auger-Aliassime
1/4
Tsitsipas
1/2
Sinner
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-1 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 6-4 7-65 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-1 6-3 7-63 6-4 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 4 3 3 3 5 21
Tot Games 22 35 32 25 32 45 191
pts 87-46 128-108 119-95 95-68 101-81 145-147 675-545
Total points 133 236 214 163 182 292 1220
Winners 33 50 51 40 45 68 287
%Winners 38% 39% 43% 42% 45% 47% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 2 3 1 3 8 22
Double Faults 1 2 0 2 1 7 13
1st in 47/67 78/112 70/90 53/79 61/84 103/157 412/589
% 1st in 70% 70% 78% 67% 73% 66% 70%
1st pts 33/47 50/78 51/70 40/53 45/61 68/103 287/412
% 1st pts 70% 64% 73% 75% 74% 66% 70%
2nd pts 13/20 17/34 13/20 14/26 17/23 25/54 99/177
% 2nd pts 65% 50% 65% 54% 74% 46% 56%
Breaks
Won 9 8 4 6 4 6 37
Converted 9/14 8/18 4/12 6/16 4/6 6/14 37/80
Converted % 64% 44% 33% 38% 67% 43% 46%
Conceded 7 12 3 5 2 10 39
Saved 5/7 7/12 1/3 4/5 1/2 4/10 22
Saved % 71% 58% 33% 80% 50% 40% 55%
Times Broken 2 5 2 1 1 6 17
Zverev
R1
Nadal
R2
Goffin
R3
Griekspoor
R4
Rune
1/4
De Minaur
1/2
Ruud
Total
Score 6-3 7-65 6-3 7-64 6-2 6-2 3-6 6-4 6-2 4-6 7-63 4-6 6-1 5-7 7-62 6-2 6-4 7-65 6-4 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 5 5 3 4 23
Tot Games 31 29 50 50 33 34 227
pts 112-92 103-81 164-150 163-141 104-96 105-83 751-643
Total points 204 184 314 304 200 188 1394
Winners 52 46 80 74 52 48 352
%Winners 46% 45% 49% 45% 50% 46% 47%
SERVE
Aces 8 8 11 16 2 19 64
Double Faults 3 3 5 3 5 4 23
1st in 72/93 59/82 115/153 97/136 75/109 56/82 474/655
% 1st in 77% 72% 75% 71% 69% 68% 72%
1st pts 52/72 46/59 80/115 74/97 52/75 48/56 352/474
% 1st pts 72% 78% 70% 76% 69% 86% 74%
2nd pts 10/21 15/23 21/38 17/39 16/34 14/26 93/181
% 2nd pts 48% 65% 55% 44% 47% 54% 51%
Breaks
Won 6 4 5 8 5 5 33
Converted 6/18 4/10 5/18 8/23 5/6 5/12 33/87
Converted % 33% 40% 28% 35% 83% 42% 38%
Conceded 11 2 10 10 8 3 44
Saved 9/11 2/2 6/10 4/10 5/8 1/3 27
Saved % 82% 100% 60% 40% 63% 33% 63%
Times Broken 2 0 4 6 3 2 17

Tennis Scores – French Open

  • Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate PavicSimone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Alexander ZverevZverevCarlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (7-4) – H2H and prediction