Brandon Nakashima and Leandro Riedi will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Surbiton Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.49
Leandro Riedi -> 2.46
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Leandro Riedi
This will be the 2nd time that Brandon Nakashima and Leandro Riedi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Riedi (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they squared off, Riedi won 6-2 6-4 in the semifinal in the Neuve Challenger back in January 2024.
Brandon Nakashima
38 - 15win/loss
38
35
LLLWLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 84, the American reached the semifinal after defeating Mattia Bellucci 6-74 7-5 7-64, Joao Fonseca 6-2 6-74 6-0 and Zachary Svajda 7-67 6-3.
In the quarter, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Svajda (7-67 6-3). During the match, Nakashima scored 77 points vs Svajda’s 66. Brandon was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima made 12 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Brandon Nakashima was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (43/53) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Svajda once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakashima has lost 2 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Nakashima has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (203-123). 3-0 on grass in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nakashima has an overall18-11 match record in the last 9 years on grass.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Nakashima has a composed 38-15 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Surbiton Challenger
Leandro Riedi
25 - 8win/loss
134
117
LWLLWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-15 | 2-4 | 6-4 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-22 | 14-9 | 3-4 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-17 | 18-6 | 5-5 | 21-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2021 | 17-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 151, the Swiss got to the semifinal after beating Dominic Stricker 7-5 6-3, Sho Shimabukuro 5-7 6-4 6-4 and Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter, Riedi had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-4 6-1). During the match Riedi scored 65 points vs Mochizuki’s 47. Leandro was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Riedi recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Leandro Riedi was very effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Swiss was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Mochizuki 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Swiss has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he defeated Martin Damm in the final 7-6(6) 6-2 and the Neuve Challenger where he defeated Borna Coric in the final 7-5 6-2.
Leandro has an overall 25-8 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 70 |
| Pts | 307-254 | 240-205 |
| Total Points | 561 | 445 |
| Winners | 142 | 107 |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% |
Both Nakashima and Riedi played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Brandon Nakashima lost 2 sets, while Leandro Riedi conceded 1 set. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Riedi (8 vs 7). Therefore, Nakashima played 17 games more than Riedi. Brandon scored 142 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Swiss made 107 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 38 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 12.7 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 186/268 | 141/231 |
| %1st in | 69% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 142/186 | 107/141 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 53/82 | 51/90 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 57% |
Nakashima fired 38 aces (12.7 per match). Riedi made 28 aces (9.3 per match). Nakashima won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Riedi won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/22 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 41% | 44% |
| Conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Saved | 12 | 13 |
| % Saved | 86% | 87% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Leandro broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | |||||
| R1 Bellucci |
R2 Fonseca |
1/4 Svajda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 7-5 7-64 | 6-2 6-74 6-0 | 7-67 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 27 | 22 | 87 | |
| pts | 136-126 | 94-62 | 77-66 | 307-254 | |
| Total points | 262 | 156 | 143 | 561 | |
| Winners | 63 | 36 | 43 | 142 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% | 56% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 17 | 9 | 12 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 84/124 | 49/75 | 53/69 | 186/268 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 65% | 77% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 63/84 | 36/49 | 43/53 | 142/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 73% | 81% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/40 | 17/26 | 10/16 | 53/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | 63% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 | |
| Converted | 1/9 | 7/8 | 1/5 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 11% | 88% | 20% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 2/4 | 4/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 100% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Riedi | |||||
| R1 Stricker |
R2 Shimabukuro |
1/4 Mochizuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 32 | 17 | 70 | |
| pts | 78-62 | 97-96 | 65-47 | 240-205 | |
| Total points | 140 | 193 | 112 | 445 | |
| Winners | 36 | 43 | 28 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 44% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 17 | 5 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 49/71 | 53/98 | 39/62 | 141/231 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 54% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 36/49 | 43/53 | 28/39 | 107/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 81% | 72% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 24/45 | 12/23 | 51/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 53% | 52% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/6 | 4/4 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 33% | 100% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5/6 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 75% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLLWLW
LWLLWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Surbiton Challenger
- Billy HarrisHarris – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (5-7 7-65 7-64) – See score progression
- Leandro RiediRiedi – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Yuki Bhambri/Lloyd GlasspoolBhambri/Lloyd Glasspool – Anirudh Chandrasekar/Arjun KadheChandrasekar/Arjun Kadhe (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway – Ryan Seggerman/Patrik TrhacSeggerman/Patrik Trhac (7-5 7-612) – See score progression
- Billy HarrisHarris – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Leandro RiediRiedi – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (7-6(7) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-1) – H2H and prediction
