Sumit Nagal and Luca Van Assche will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Heilbronn Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on HÖRTKORN CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Van Assche who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luca Van Assche is the pick to win this match.
Luca Van Assche -> 1.86
Sumit Nagal -> 1.86

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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Luca Van Assche

There is no head to head record between Sumit Nagal and Luca Van Assche since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Sumit Nagal

Sumit Nagal

22 - 13win/loss

Hard
15-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
7-5
Rank
98
High
68
LLLLWLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-29 15-13 16-11 1-4 0-1 0-0
2023 46-29 9-8 32-17 5-4 0-0 0-0
2022 17-18 0-1 16-17 1-0 0-0 0-0
2021 23-26 1-4 22-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 8-14 2-4 5-5 1-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 95, the Indian got to the semifinal after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-2 1-6 6-3, Javier Barranco Cosano 6-4 6-1 and Ivan Gakhov 6-1 7-64.

In the quarter, Nagal had a good straight sets win against Gakhov (6-1 7-64). During the match, Nagal scored 68 points vs Gakhov’s 50. Sumit was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nagal scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Sumit Nagal lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 84% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the 2nd serve. The Indian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Gakhov 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sumit has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Nagal has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (312-202). 7-5 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nagal has a composed 216-126 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Chennai Challenger where he defeated Luca Nardi in the final 6-1 6-4.

Nagal has a compiled 22-13 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Heilbronn Challenger

Heilbronn Challenger
Nagal's Record

Luca Van Assche

Luca Van Assche

16 - 16win/loss

Hard
10-9
I Hard
1-2
Clay
5-5
Rank
128
High
63
LWLWLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 35-38 15-15 8-10 10-11 2-2 0-0
2023 34-30 1-7 15-11 15-9 3-3 0-0
2022 55-31 0-1 40-20 15-10 0-0 0-0
2021 26-22 3-2 8-7 15-13 0-0 0-0
2020 7-4 0-0 6-2 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 103, Van reached the semifinal after beating Maxime Janvier 6-72 6-3 7-62, Geoffrey Blancaneaux 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Maks Kasnikowski 6-3 3-6 6-0.

In the quarter, The French player defeated Kasnikowski (6-3 3-6 6-0). During the match Van scored 77 points vs Kasnikowski’s 63. Luca was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Van scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Luca Van Assche was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Kasnikowski 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Luca has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Van’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Phoenix Challenger.

Van has a compiled 16-16 win-loss record in 2024, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Heilbronn Challenger
Van's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Nagal
L.Van Assche
4h:33
4h:33
Time on court​
!
7h:20
7h:20
1h:22
1h:22
Last match​
!
2h:03
2h:03
3
3
Match played
3
3
61
61
Games Played​
85
85
7
7
Set played​​
9
9
218
218
Total points​
293
293
72.7
72.7
Avg point​
97.7
97.7
87
87
Winners
104
104
29
29
Avg Winners​
34.7
34.7
40%
40%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
5
5
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
5
5
Double Faults
19
19
1.7
1.7
Avg Double Faults
!
6.3
6.3
87/127
87/127
1st won total​
104/148
104/148
69%
69%
1st won %
70%
70%
34/58
34/58
2nd won total​
54/126
54/126
59%
59%
2nd won %
43%
43%
-- Break Points --
14/28
14/28
BP won
20/39
20/39
4.7/9.3
4.7/9.3
Avg BP won
6.7/13
6.7/13
50%
50%
Won
!
51%
51%
18
18
Conceded
35
35
6
6
Avg Conceded
11.7
11.7
6
6
Broken
14
14
2
2
Avg Broken
!
4.7
4.7
12
12
Saved
21
21

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nagal Van
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 9
Tot Games 61 85
Pts 218-171 293-255
Total Points 389 548
Winners 87 104
%Winners 40% 35%

Both Nagal and Van played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sumit Nagal surrendered 1 set, while Luca Van Assche lost 3 sets. Nagal has played 2 set(s) less than Van (7 vs 9). Therefore, Nagal played 24 games less than Van. Nagal scored 87 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Luca fired 104 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nagal Van
Aces 7 5
Avg per match 2.3 1.7
1st in 127/185 148/274
%1st in 69% 54%
1st pts 87/127 104/148
%1st pts 69% 70%
2nd pts 34/58 54/126
%2nd pts 59% 43%

Nagal recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). Van made 5 aces (1.7 per match). Nagal won 69% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Van won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nagal Van
Won 14 20
Converted 14/28 20/39
% Converted 50% 51%
Conceded 18 35
Saved 12 21
% Saved 67% 60%
Times Broken 6 14

Sumit broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sumit conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Van broke his opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Nagal
R1
Basilashvili
R2
Barranco
1/4
Gakhov
Total
Score 6-2 1-6 6-3 6-4 6-1 6-1 7-64
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 24 17 20 61
pts 81-71 69-50 68-50 218-171
Total points 152 119 118 389
Winners 32 22 33 87
%Winners 40% 32% 49% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 1 7
Double Faults 3 1 1 5
1st in 52/82 28/47 47/56 127/185
% 1st in 63% 60% 84% 69%
1st pts 32/52 22/28 33/47 87/127
% 1st pts 62% 79% 70% 69%
2nd pts 17/30 11/19 6/9 34/58
% 2nd pts 57% 58% 67% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 5 4 14
Converted 5/7 5/17 4/4 14/28
Converted % 71% 29% 100% 50%
Conceded 11 4 3 18
Saved 7/11 3/4 2/3 12
Saved % 64% 75% 67% 69%
Times Broken 4 1 1 6
Van
R1
Janvier
R2
Blancaneaux
1/4
Kasnikowski
Total
Score 6-72 6-3 7-62 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-3 3-6 6-0
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 35 26 24 85
pts 115-101 101-91 77-63 293-255
Total points 216 192 140 548
Winners 35 39 30 104
%Winners 30% 39% 39% 35%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 2 5
Double Faults 8 8 3 19
1st in 56/99 54/96 38/79 148/274
% 1st in 57% 56% 48% 54%
1st pts 35/56 39/54 30/38 104/148
% 1st pts 63% 72% 79% 70%
2nd pts 18/43 15/42 21/41 54/126
% 2nd pts 42% 36% 51% 43%
Breaks
Won 9 6 5 20
Converted 9/18 6/13 5/8 20/39
Converted % 50% 46% 63% 51%
Conceded 12 16 7 35
Saved 4/12 12/16 5/7 21
Saved % 33% 75% 71% 60%
Times Broken 8 4 2 14

Tennis Scores in Heilbronn Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw