Sumit Nagal and Luca Van Assche will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Heilbronn Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on HÖRTKORN CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Van Assche who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Van Assche is the pick to win this match.
Luca Van Assche -> 1.86
Sumit Nagal -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Luca Van Assche
There is no head to head record between Sumit Nagal and Luca Van Assche since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Sumit Nagal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-23 | 15-12 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 9-8 | 32-17 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 17-18 | 0-1 | 16-17 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-26 | 1-4 | 22-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, the Indian got to the semifinal after beating Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-2 1-6 6-3, Javier Barranco Cosano 6-4 6-1 and Ivan Gakhov 6-1 7-64.
In the quarter, Nagal had a good straight sets win against Gakhov (6-1 7-64). During the match, Nagal scored 68 points vs Gakhov’s 50. Sumit was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nagal scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Sumit Nagal lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 84% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the 2nd serve. The Indian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Gakhov 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sumit has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Nagal has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (312-202). 7-5 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nagal has a composed 216-126 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Chennai Challenger where he defeated Luca Nardi in the final 6-1 6-4.
Nagal has a compiled 22-13 win-loss record in 2024, 7-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Heilbronn Challenger
Luca Van Assche
16 - 16win/loss
111
63
LLLWLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-29 | 14-14 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-30 | 1-7 | 15-11 | 15-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 55-31 | 0-1 | 40-20 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-22 | 3-2 | 8-7 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 103, Van reached the semifinal after beating Maxime Janvier 6-72 6-3 7-62, Geoffrey Blancaneaux 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Maks Kasnikowski 6-3 3-6 6-0.
In the quarter, The French player defeated Kasnikowski (6-3 3-6 6-0). During the match Van scored 77 points vs Kasnikowski’s 63. Luca was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Van scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Luca Van Assche was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Kasnikowski 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Luca has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Van’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Phoenix Challenger.
Van has a compiled 16-16 win-loss record in 2024, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nagal | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 85 |
| Pts | 218-171 | 293-255 |
| Total Points | 389 | 548 |
| Winners | 87 | 104 |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% |
Both Nagal and Van played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sumit Nagal surrendered 1 set, while Luca Van Assche lost 3 sets. Nagal has played 2 set(s) less than Van (7 vs 9). Therefore, Nagal played 24 games less than Van. Nagal scored 87 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Luca fired 104 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nagal | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 127/185 | 148/274 |
| %1st in | 69% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 87/127 | 104/148 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 34/58 | 54/126 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 43% |
Nagal recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). Van made 5 aces (1.7 per match). Nagal won 69% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Van won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nagal | Van |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 20 |
| Converted | 14/28 | 20/39 |
| % Converted | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded | 18 | 35 |
| Saved | 12 | 21 |
| % Saved | 67% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 14 |
Sumit broke his opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sumit conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Van broke his opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nagal | |||||
| R1 Basilashvili |
R2 Barranco |
1/4 Gakhov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 1-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 17 | 20 | 61 | |
| pts | 81-71 | 69-50 | 68-50 | 218-171 | |
| Total points | 152 | 119 | 118 | 389 | |
| Winners | 32 | 22 | 33 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% | 49% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 52/82 | 28/47 | 47/56 | 127/185 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 60% | 84% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/52 | 22/28 | 33/47 | 87/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 79% | 70% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 11/19 | 6/9 | 34/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 58% | 67% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/17 | 4/4 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 29% | 100% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 4 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 3/4 | 2/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 75% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Van | |||||
| R1 Janvier |
R2 Blancaneaux |
1/4 Kasnikowski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-72 6-3 7-62 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 26 | 24 | 85 | |
| pts | 115-101 | 101-91 | 77-63 | 293-255 | |
| Total points | 216 | 192 | 140 | 548 | |
| Winners | 35 | 39 | 30 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 39% | 39% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 56/99 | 54/96 | 38/79 | 148/274 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | 48% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 35/56 | 39/54 | 30/38 | 104/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 72% | 79% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/43 | 15/42 | 21/41 | 54/126 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 36% | 51% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 9 | 6 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 9/18 | 6/13 | 5/8 | 20/39 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 46% | 63% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 16 | 7 | 35 | |
| Saved | 4/12 | 12/16 | 5/7 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 75% | 71% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 8 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWLWL
LLLWLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Heilbronn Challenger
- Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski (6-3 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Constantin Frantzen/Hendrik JebensFrantzen/Hendrik Jebens – Filip Bergevi/Mick VeldheerBergevi/Mick Veldheer (3-6 7-64 10-5) – See score progression
- Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski (6-3 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Ivan GakhovGakhov (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Henri SquireSquire (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander RitschardRitschard – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (0-0) – H2H and prediction
