Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini will square off in the final of the French Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.082
Jasmine Paolini -> 8.4

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 3^rd time that Iga Swiatek and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-3 6-0 in the 1^st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2022.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini – U.S. Open 30-August-2022

Iga Swiatek

Currently world no. 1 Swiatek got to the final after beating Leolia Jeanjean 6-1 6-2, Naomi Osaka 7-6¹ 1-6 7-5, Marie Bouzkova 6-4 6-2, Anastasia Potapova 6-0 6-0, Marketa Vondrousova 6-0 6-2 and Cori Gauff 6-2 6-4.

In the semifinal, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-2 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 72 points vs Gauff’s 54. Iga was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 67% of her first serves in, winning 64% (27/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Gauff 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Iga has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (329-71). 20-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled131-17 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3.

The Pole has a compiled 44-4 win-loss record in 2024, 20-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 15, Paolini reached the final after defeating Daria Saville 6-3 6-4, Hailey Baptiste 6-4 7-6⁶, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-1 3-6 6-0, Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-1, Elena Rybakina 6-2 4-6 6-4 and Mirra Andreeva 6-3 6-1

.

In the semifinal, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Andreeva (6-3 6-1). During the match Paolini scored 63 points vs Andreeva’s 43. Paolini was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 80% of her first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Andreeva 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Dubai where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Paolini has an overall 22-10 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2020, 2021 and 2023. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Paolini
Match played	6	6
Tot Set	13	15
Tot Games	109	131
Pts	404-282	486-391
Total Points	686	877
Winners	154	187
%Winners	38%	38%

Both Swiatek and Paolini played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek dropped 1 set, while Jasmine Paolini surrendered 3 sets. Swiatek has played 2 set(s) less than Paolini (13 vs 15). Therefore, Swiatek played 22 games less than Paolini. Iga scored 154 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 187 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Paolini
Aces	6	5
Avg per match	1	0.8
1st in	211/330	305/436
%1st in	64%	70%
1st pts	154/211	187/305
%1st pts	73%	61%
2nd pts	68/119	67/131
%2nd pts	57%	51%

Swiatek fired 6 aces (1 per match). Paolini managed to score 5 aces (0.8 per match). Swiatek won 73% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Paolini
Won	28	37
Converted	28/52	37/76
% Converted	54%	49%
Conceded	17	43
Saved	9	23
% Saved	53%	53%
Times Broken	8	20

Swiatek broke her opponents 28 times with a 54% conversion rate. Swiatek conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded. Paolini broke her opponents 37 times with a 49% conversion rate. Jasmine conceded her serve 20 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R1 Jeanjean	R2 Osaka	R3 Bouzkova	R4 Potapova	1/4 Vondrousova	1/2 Gauff	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	7-61 1-6 7-5	6-4 6-2	6-0 6-0	6-0 6-2	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	2	2	13
Tot Games	15	32	18	12	14	18	109
pts	54-29	109-114	63-44	48-10	58-31	72-54	404-282
Total points	83	223	107	58	89	126	686
Winners	21	45	23	15	23	27	154
%Winners	39%	41%	37%	31%	40%	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	2	3	0	0	6
Double Faults	0	3	1	0	0	0	4
1st in	27/37	69/115	31/49	16/27	26/39	42/63	211/330
% 1st in	73%	60%	63%	59%	67%	67%	64%
1st pts	21/27	45/69	23/31	15/16	23/26	27/42	154/211
% 1st pts	78%	65%	74%	94%	88%	64%	73%
2nd pts	5/10	22/46	12/18	9/11	6/13	14/21	68/119
% 2nd pts	50%	48%	67%	82%	46%	67%	57%
Breaks
Won	6	3	4	6	5	4	28
Converted	6/6	3/15	4/7	6/8	5/9	4/7	28/52
Converted %	100%	20%	57%	75%	56%	57%	54%
Conceded	2	9	1	0	1	4	17
Saved	1/2	4/9	0/1	0/0	1/1	3/4	9
Saved %	50%	44%	0%	–	100%	75%	45%
Times Broken	1	5	1	0	0	1	8

Paolini
	R1 Gavrilova	R2 Baptiste	R3 Andreescu	R4 Avanesyan	1/4 Rybakina	1/2 Andreeva	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-4 7-66	6-1 3-6 6-0	4-6 6-0 6-1	6-2 4-6 6-4	6-3 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	3	2	15
Tot Games	19	23	22	23	28	16	131
pts	73-60	82-75	79-57	92-73	97-83	63-43	486-391
Total points	133	157	136	165	180	106	877
Winners	25	30	27	36	37	32	187
%Winners	34%	37%	34%	39%	38%	51%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	1	0	1	1	5
Double Faults	3	3	1	3	1	0	11
1st in	45/65	47/75	38/58	62/85	65/93	48/60	305/436
% 1st in	69%	63%	66%	73%	70%	80%	70%
1st pts	25/45	30/47	27/38	36/62	37/65	32/48	187/305
% 1st pts	56%	64%	71%	58%	57%	67%	61%
2nd pts	7/20	14/28	11/20	10/23	18/28	7/12	67/131
% 2nd pts	35%	50%	55%	43%	64%	58%	51%
Breaks
Won	7	5	6	8	7	4	37
Converted	7/17	5/8	6/12	8/17	7/16	4/6	37/76
Converted %	41%	63%	50%	47%	44%	67%	49%
Conceded	8	6	3	9	11	6	43
Saved	3/8	2/6	1/3	5/9	6/11	6/6	23
Saved %	38%	33%	33%	56%	55%	100%	53%
Times Broken	5	4	2	4	5	0	20

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Mate ValkuszValkusz (6-3 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction