Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will face off in the semifinal of the French Open for the 10^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.69
Jannik Sinner -> 2.22

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This will be the 10^th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz fight against each other. The head to head is 5-4 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the semifinal in Indian wells back in March 2024.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner – Indian wells 16-March-2024

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Christopher Eubanks 6-3 6-3 6-4, Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-2 6-4, Pavel Kotov 6-4 6-4 6-4, Corentin Moutet 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-1 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-4 7-6³.

In the quarter, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-2 6-4 7-6³). During the match, Sinner scored 110 points vs Dimitrov’s 85. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner made 8 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (43/53) of his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Dimitrov 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (306-115). 11-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled85-37 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he beat Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1.

Sinner has a composed 33-2 win-loss record in 2024, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after beating Jeff Wolf 6-1 6-2 6-1, Jesper De Jong 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2, Sebastian Korda 6-4 7-6⁵ 6-3, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-3 6-1 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 7-6³ 6-4.

In the quarter, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-3 7-6³

6-4). During the match Alcaraz scored 101 points vs Tsitsipas’s 81. Alcaraz was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Alcaraz bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (45/61) of his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Tsitsipas 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

Carlos has an overall 23-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Alcaraz
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	16	16
Tot Games	149	146
Pts	521-400	530-398
Total Points	921	928
Winners	217	219
%Winners	42%	41%

Both Sinner and Alcaraz played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 1 set, while Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Alcaraz have played the same amount of sets 16. However, Sinner played 3 games more than Alcaraz. The Italian scored 217 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos blasted 219 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Alcaraz
Aces	31	14
Avg per match	6.2	2.8
1st in	279/432	309/432
%1st in	65%	72%
1st pts	217/279	219/309
%1st pts	78%	71%
2nd pts	85/153	74/123
%2nd pts	56%	60%

Sinner scored 31 aces (6.2 per match). Alcaraz fired 14 aces (2.8 per match). Sinner won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Alcaraz
Won	25	31
Converted	25/54	31/66
% Converted	46%	47%
Conceded	21	29
Saved	14	18
% Saved	67%	62%
Times Broken	7	11

The Italian broke his opponents 25 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alcaraz broke his opponents 31 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Eubanks	R2 Gasquet	R3 Kotov	R4 Moutet	1/4 Dimitrov	Total
Score	6-3 6-3 6-4	6-4 6-2 6-4	6-4 6-4 6-4	2-6 6-3 6-2 6-1	6-2 6-4 7-63
Tot Set	3	3	3	4	3	16
Tot Games	28	28	30	32	31	149
pts	104-78	98-70	98-84	111-83	110-85	521-400
Total points	182	168	182	194	195	921
Winners	42	46	41	45	43	217
%Winners	40%	47%	42%	41%	39%	42%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	4	5	8	31
Double Faults	4	3	1	5	0	13
1st in	54/89	58/76	52/83	62/95	53/89	279/432
% 1st in	61%	76%	63%	65%	60%	65%
1st pts	42/54	46/58	41/52	45/62	43/53	217/279
% 1st pts	78%	79%	79%	73%	81%	78%
2nd pts	18/35	9/18	21/31	14/33	23/36	85/153
% 2nd pts	51%	50%	68%	42%	64%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	8	4	25
Converted	5/10	5/7	3/13	8/14	4/10	25/54
Converted %	50%	71%	23%	57%	40%	46%
Conceded	10	2	1	6	2	21
Saved	9/10	1/2	1/1	2/6	1/2	14
Saved %	90%	50%	100%	33%	50%	65%
Times Broken	1	1	0	4	1	7

Alcaraz
	R1 Wolf	R2 De	R3 Korda	R4 Auger-Aliassime	1/4 Tsitsipas	Total
Score	6-1 6-2 6-1	6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2	6-4 7-65 6-3	6-3 6-3 6-1	6-3 7-63 6-4
Tot Set	3	4	3	3	3	16
Tot Games	22	35	32	25	32	146
pts	87-46	128-108	119-95	95-68	101-81	530-398
Total points	133	236	214	163	182	928
Winners	33	50	51	40	45	219
%Winners	38%	39%	43%	42%	45%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	2	3	1	3	14
Double Faults	1	2	0	2	1	6
1st in	47/67	78/112	70/90	53/79	61/84	309/432
% 1st in	70%	70%	78%	67%	73%	72%
1st pts	33/47	50/78	51/70	40/53	45/61	219/309
% 1st pts	70%	64%	73%	75%	74%	71%
2nd pts	13/20	17/34	13/20	14/26	17/23	74/123
% 2nd pts	65%	50%	65%	54%	74%	60%
Breaks
Won	9	8	4	6	4	31
Converted	9/14	8/18	4/12	6/16	4/6	31/66
Converted %	64%	44%	33%	38%	67%	47%
Conceded	7	12	3	5	2	29
Saved	5/7	7/12	1/3	4/5	1/2	18
Saved %	71%	58%	33%	80%	50%	58%
Times Broken	2	5	2	1	1	11

Tennis Scores – French Open

• Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (7-5 2-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Casper RuudRuud – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jannik SinnerSinner (5-4) – H2H and prediction