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Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will face off in the semifinal of the French Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.69
Jannik Sinner -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This will be the 10th time that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz fight against each other. The head to head is 5-4 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the semifinal in Indian wells back in March 2024.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner – Indian wells 16-March-2024
Jannik Sinner
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 7-0 | 7-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Christopher Eubanks 6-3 6-3 6-4, Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-2 6-4, Pavel Kotov 6-4 6-4 6-4, Corentin Moutet 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-1 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-4 7-63.
In the quarter, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-2 6-4 7-63). During the match, Sinner scored 110 points vs Dimitrov’s 85. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner made 8 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (43/53) of his 1st serve and 64% (23/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Dimitrov 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (306-115). 11-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled85-37 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he beat Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1.
Sinner has a composed 33-2 win-loss record in 2024, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Carlos Alcaraz
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 11-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 54-15 | 22-7 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the semifinal after beating Jeff Wolf 6-1 6-2 6-1, Jesper De Jong 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2, Sebastian Korda 6-4 7-65 6-3, Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-3 6-3 6-1 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 7-63 6-4.
In the quarter, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-3 7-63 6-4). During the match Alcaraz scored 101 points vs Tsitsipas’s 81. Alcaraz was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about serving, Alcaraz bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (45/61) of his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Tsitsipas 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.
Carlos has an overall 23-5 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sinner | Alcaraz |
---|---|---|
Match played | 5 | 5 |
Tot Set | 16 | 16 |
Tot Games | 149 | 146 |
Pts | 521-400 | 530-398 |
Total Points | 921 | 928 |
Winners | 217 | 219 |
%Winners | 42% | 41% |
Both Sinner and Alcaraz played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner lost 1 set, while Carlos Alcaraz dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Alcaraz have played the same amount of sets 16. However, Sinner played 3 games more than Alcaraz. The Italian scored 217 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Carlos blasted 219 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sinner | Alcaraz |
---|---|---|
Aces | 31 | 14 |
Avg per match | 6.2 | 2.8 |
1st in | 279/432 | 309/432 |
%1st in | 65% | 72% |
1st pts | 217/279 | 219/309 |
%1st pts | 78% | 71% |
2nd pts | 85/153 | 74/123 |
%2nd pts | 56% | 60% |
Sinner scored 31 aces (6.2 per match). Alcaraz fired 14 aces (2.8 per match). Sinner won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sinner | Alcaraz |
---|---|---|
Won | 25 | 31 |
Converted | 25/54 | 31/66 |
% Converted | 46% | 47% |
Conceded | 21 | 29 |
Saved | 14 | 18 |
% Saved | 67% | 62% |
Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
The Italian broke his opponents 25 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alcaraz broke his opponents 31 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
Sinner | |||||||
R1 Eubanks |
R2 Gasquet |
R3 Kotov |
R4 Moutet |
1/4 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 6-4 7-63 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
Tot Games | 28 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 149 | |
pts | 104-78 | 98-70 | 98-84 | 111-83 | 110-85 | 521-400 | |
Total points | 182 | 168 | 182 | 194 | 195 | 921 | |
Winners | 42 | 46 | 41 | 45 | 43 | 217 | |
%Winners | 40% | 47% | 42% | 41% | 39% | 42% | |
SERVE | |||||||
Aces | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 31 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 | |
1st in | 54/89 | 58/76 | 52/83 | 62/95 | 53/89 | 279/432 | |
% 1st in | 61% | 76% | 63% | 65% | 60% | 65% | |
1st pts | 42/54 | 46/58 | 41/52 | 45/62 | 43/53 | 217/279 | |
% 1st pts | 78% | 79% | 79% | 73% | 81% | 78% | |
2nd pts | 18/35 | 9/18 | 21/31 | 14/33 | 23/36 | 85/153 | |
% 2nd pts | 51% | 50% | 68% | 42% | 64% | 56% | |
Breaks | |||||||
Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 25 | |
Converted | 5/10 | 5/7 | 3/13 | 8/14 | 4/10 | 25/54 | |
Converted % | 50% | 71% | 23% | 57% | 40% | 46% | |
Conceded | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 21 | |
Saved | 9/10 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 2/6 | 1/2 | 14 | |
Saved % | 90% | 50% | 100% | 33% | 50% | 65% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Alcaraz | |||||||
R1 Wolf |
R2 De |
R3 Korda |
R4 Auger-Aliassime |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 | 6-4 7-65 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 7-63 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 35 | 32 | 25 | 32 | 146 | |
pts | 87-46 | 128-108 | 119-95 | 95-68 | 101-81 | 530-398 | |
Total points | 133 | 236 | 214 | 163 | 182 | 928 | |
Winners | 33 | 50 | 51 | 40 | 45 | 219 | |
%Winners | 38% | 39% | 43% | 42% | 45% | 41% | |
SERVE | |||||||
Aces | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
1st in | 47/67 | 78/112 | 70/90 | 53/79 | 61/84 | 309/432 | |
% 1st in | 70% | 70% | 78% | 67% | 73% | 72% | |
1st pts | 33/47 | 50/78 | 51/70 | 40/53 | 45/61 | 219/309 | |
% 1st pts | 70% | 64% | 73% | 75% | 74% | 71% | |
2nd pts | 13/20 | 17/34 | 13/20 | 14/26 | 17/23 | 74/123 | |
% 2nd pts | 65% | 50% | 65% | 54% | 74% | 60% | |
Breaks | |||||||
Won | 9 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 31 | |
Converted | 9/14 | 8/18 | 4/12 | 6/16 | 4/6 | 31/66 | |
Converted % | 64% | 44% | 33% | 38% | 67% | 47% | |
Conceded | 7 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 29 | |
Saved | 5/7 | 7/12 | 1/3 | 4/5 | 1/2 | 18 | |
Saved % | 71% | 58% | 33% | 80% | 50% | 58% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
Head 2 Head
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Tennis Scores – French Open
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