Jasmine Paolini and Mirra Andreeva will clash against each other in the semifinal of the French Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mirra Andreeva who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mirra Andreeva is the pick to win this match.
Mirra Andreeva -> 1.59
Jasmine Paolini -> 2.42

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Mirra Andreeva

This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Mirra Andreeva fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Andreeva (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Andreeva won 7-6(2) 6-4 in the 4th round in Madrid back in April 2024.

Highlights Mirra Andreeva vs Jasmine Paolini – Madrid 29-April-2024

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

22 - 10win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
10-3
Rank
7
High
7
LWWLWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-12 12-6 10-4 0-1 2-1 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 15, the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Daria Saville 6-3 6-4, Hailey Baptiste 6-4 7-66, Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-1 3-6 6-0, Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-1 and Elena Rybakina 6-2 4-6 6-4.

In the quarter, The Italian defeated Rybakina (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 97 points vs Rybakina ‘s 83. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace in the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 70% of her first serves in, winning 57% (37/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Rybakina 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has lost 3 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points she played.

Paolini has good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (306-235). 9-3 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a compiled 160-100 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Dubai where she overcame Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Jasmine has an aggregate 21-10 win-loss record in 2024, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Paolini's Record

Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva

17 - 8win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-4
Rank
23
High
23
LLWWWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 17-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 36-9 7-4 23-4 0-0 6-1 0-0
2022 39-9 21-5 18-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 38, Andreeva reached the semifinal after beating Emina Bektas 6-2 6-3, Victoria Azarenka 6-3 3-6 7-5, Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-1, Varvara Gracheva 7-5 6-2 and Aryna Sabalenka 6-75 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter against Sabalenka, Mirra recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-4). During the match Andreeva scored 102 points vs Sabalenka’s 98. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Andreeva recorded 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Mirra Andreeva lost the serve 6 times. Furthermore, Andreeva put 49% of her first serves in, winning 57% (26/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (23/47) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Sabalenka 8 times after converting 57% of her break points (8/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Andreeva has a compiled 17-7 win-loss record in 2024, 11-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

French Open
Andreeva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Paolini
M.Andreeva
8h:45
8h:45
Time on court​
8h:42
8h:42
!
2h:03
2h:03
Last match​
!
2h:29
2h:29
5
5
Match played
5
5
115
115
Games Played​
115
115
13
13
Set played​​
12
12
423
423
Total points​
402
402
84.6
84.6
Avg point​
80.4
80.4
155
155
Winners
133
133
31
31
Avg Winners​
26.6
26.6
37%
37%
Ratio winners
33%
33%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
17
17
0.8
0.8
Avg Aces
3.4
3.4
11
11
Double Faults
17
17
2.2
2.2
Avg Double Faults
3.4
3.4
155/257
155/257
1st won total​
133/200
133/200
60%
60%
1st won %
67%
67%
60/119
60/119
2nd won total​
73/165
73/165
50%
50%
2nd won %
44%
44%
-- Break Points --
33/70
33/70
BP won
34/57
34/57
6.6/14
6.6/14
Avg BP won
6.8/11.4
6.8/11.4
47%
47%
Won
!
60%
60%
37
37
Conceded
38
38
7.4
7.4
Avg Conceded
7.6
7.6
20
20
Broken
19
19
4
4
Avg Broken
3.8
3.8
17
17
Saved
19
19

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paolini Andreeva
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 13 12
Tot Games 115 115
Pts 423-348 402-337
Total Points 771 739
Winners 155 133
%Winners 37% 33%

Both Paolini and Andreeva played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini dropped 3 sets, while Mirra Andreeva dropped 2 sets. Paolini has played 1 set more than Andreeva (13 vs 12). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (115). Paolini scored 155 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Andreeva scored 133 winners (33%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paolini Andreeva
Aces 4 17
Avg per match 0.8 3.4
1st in 257/376 200/365
%1st in 68% 55%
1st pts 155/257 133/200
%1st pts 60% 67%
2nd pts 60/119 73/165
%2nd pts 50% 44%

Paolini struck 4 aces (0.8 per match). Andreeva struck 17 aces (3.4 per match). Paolini won 60% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paolini Andreeva
Won 33 34
Converted 33/70 34/57
% Converted 47% 60%
Conceded 37 38
Saved 17 19
% Saved 46% 50%
Times Broken 20 19

Paolini broke her opponents 33 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian dropped her serve 20 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 34 times with a 60% conversion rate. Mirra conceded her serve 19 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
R1
Gavrilova
R2
Baptiste
R3
Andreescu
R4
Avanesyan
1/4
Rybakina
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-4 7-66 6-1 3-6 6-0 4-6 6-0 6-1 6-2 4-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 3 13
Tot Games 19 23 22 23 28 115
pts 73-60 82-75 79-57 92-73 97-83 423-348
Total points 133 157 136 165 180 771
Winners 25 30 27 36 37 155
%Winners 34% 37% 34% 39% 38% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 1 0 1 4
Double Faults 3 3 1 3 1 11
1st in 45/65 47/75 38/58 62/85 65/93 257/376
% 1st in 69% 63% 66% 73% 70% 68%
1st pts 25/45 30/47 27/38 36/62 37/65 155/257
% 1st pts 56% 64% 71% 58% 57% 60%
2nd pts 7/20 14/28 11/20 10/23 18/28 60/119
% 2nd pts 35% 50% 55% 43% 64% 50%
Breaks
Won 7 5 6 8 7 33
Converted 7/17 5/8 6/12 8/17 7/16 33/70
Converted % 41% 63% 50% 47% 44% 47%
Conceded 8 6 3 9 11 37
Saved 3/8 2/6 1/3 5/9 6/11 17
Saved % 38% 33% 33% 56% 55% 43%
Times Broken 5 4 2 4 5 20
Andreeva
R1
Bektas
R2
Azarenka
R3
Stearns
R4
Gracheva
1/4
Sabalenka
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-2 6-1 7-5 6-2 6-75 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 3 12
Tot Games 17 30 15 20 33 115
pts 65-44 99-94 63-46 73-55 102-98 402-337
Total points 109 193 109 128 200 739
Winners 30 29 24 24 26 133
%Winners 46% 29% 38% 33% 25% 33%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 2 5 4 17
Double Faults 2 3 2 3 7 17
1st in 36/56 48/98 36/55 34/63 46/93 200/365
% 1st in 64% 49% 65% 54% 49% 55%
1st pts 30/36 29/48 24/36 24/34 26/46 133/200
% 1st pts 83% 60% 67% 71% 57% 67%
2nd pts 7/20 18/50 9/19 16/29 23/47 73/165
% 2nd pts 35% 36% 47% 55% 49% 44%
Breaks
Won 5 10 6 5 8 34
Converted 5/10 10/13 6/11 5/9 8/14 34/57
Converted % 50% 77% 55% 56% 57% 60%
Conceded 5 17 3 7 6 38
Saved 4/5 8/17 2/3 5/7 0/6 19
Saved % 80% 47% 67% 71% 0% 53%
Times Broken 1 9 1 2 6 19

Tennis Scores – French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw