Brandon Nakashima and Joao Fonseca will face off in the 2nd round of the Surbiton Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.28
Joao Fonseca -> 3.45
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Joao Fonseca
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Joao Fonseca since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
36 - 15win/loss
38
35
LLLWLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 84, Nakashima reached the 2nd round after beating Mattia Bellucci 6-74 7-5 7-64.
In the 1st round against Bellucci, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 7-5 7-64). During the match, Nakashima scored 136 points vs Bellucci’s 126. Brandon was very aggressive to blast 63 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima blasted 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Brandon Nakashima was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (63/84) of his 1st serve and 65% (26/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Bellucci once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).
Nakashima has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (201-123). 1-0 on grass in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a composed16-11 win-loss record in the last 9 years on grass.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
The American has an aggregate 36-15 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Surbiton Challenger
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 8-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 230, Fonseca reached the 2nd round after beating Kyle Edmund 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, Joao had a good straight sets win against Edmund (6-2 6-1). During the match Fonseca scored 60 points vs Edmund’s 36. Fonseca was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
About the serving games, Fonseca managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca was very effective on serve to win 73% (19/26) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fonseca broke Edmund 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Joao’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Asuncion Challenger.
Joao has a compiled 15-11 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 15 |
| Pts | 136-126 | 60-36 |
| Total Points | 262 | 96 |
| Winners | 63 | 19 |
| %Winners | 46% | 32% |
Both Nakashima and Fonseca played 1 match. At the moment, Brandon Nakashima dropped 1 set while Joao Fonseca hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Fonseca (3 vs 2). Therefore, Nakashima played 23 games more than Fonseca. The American scored 63 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian scored 19 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 17 | 8 |
| 1st in | 84/124 | 26/43 |
| %1st in | 68% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 63/84 | 19/26 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 26/40 | 12/17 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 71% |
Nakashima struck 17 aces . Fonseca bagged 8 aces . Nakashima won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 5 |
| Converted | 1/9 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 11% | 63% |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The American broke his opponent once with a 11% conversion rate. Nakashima pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 6 break points. The Brazilian broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Fonseca was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Nakashima | |||
| R1 Bellucci |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 7-5 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 38 | |
| pts | 136-126 | 136-126 | |
| Total points | 262 | 262 | |
| Winners | 63 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 17 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 84/124 | 84/124 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 63/84 | 63/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/40 | 26/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/9 | 1/9 | |
| Converted % | 11% | 11% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Fonseca | |||
| R1 Edmund |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 60-36 | 60-36 | |
| Total points | 96 | 96 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 26/43 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 19/26 | 19/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 12/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLLWLW
LWWWLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Surbiton Challenger
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (2-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Billy HarrisHarris – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Paul JubbJubb – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
