Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva will fight against each other in the quarter of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:15 pm on Court PHILIPPE-CHATRIER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.22
Mirra Andreeva -> 4.5

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Mirra Andreeva

This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Mirra Andreeva square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in Madrid back in May 2024.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva – Madrid 01-May-2024

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

29 - 7win/loss

Hard
14-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
15-3
Rank
3
High
1
LWLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-9 14-4 15-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, the Belarussian reached the quarter after beating Erika Andreeva 6-1 6-2, Moyuka Uchijima 6-2 6-2, Paula Badosa Gibert 7-5 6-1 and Emma Navarro 6-2 6-3.

In the 4th round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Navarro (6-2 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 64 points vs Navarro’s 41. Sabalenka was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 7 aces and she was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was very effective on serve to win 85% (22/26) of her 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aryna broke Navarro 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (347-161). 15-3 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an aggregate77-38 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Aryna has an overall 29-7 win-loss record in 2024, 15-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

French Open
Sabalenka's Record

Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva

16 - 7win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
10-3
Rank
23
High
23
LLWWWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 17-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 36-9 7-4 23-4 0-0 6-1 0-0
2022 39-9 21-5 18-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 38, Andreeva reached the quarter after beating Emina Bektas 6-2 6-3, Victoria Azarenka 6-3 3-6 7-5, Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-1 and Varvara Gracheva 7-5 6-2.

In the 4th round, Andreeva had a good straight sets win against Gracheva (7-5 6-2). During the match Andreeva scored 73 points vs Gracheva’s 55. Andreeva was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Andreeva made 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mirra Andreeva was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (24/34) of her 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Mirra broke Gracheva 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Andreeva has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Andreeva has an overall 16-7 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the French Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

French Open
Andreeva's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
M.Andreeva
4h:36
4h:36
Time on court​
6h:13
6h:13
1h:09
1h:09
Last match​
1h:31
1h:31
4
4
Match played
4
4
67
67
Games Played​
82
82
8
8
Set played​​
9
9
249
249
Total points​
300
300
62.3
62.3
Avg point​
75
75
89
89
Winners
107
107
22.3
22.3
Avg Winners​
26.8
26.8
36%
36%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
13
13
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
3.3
3.3
2
2
Double Faults
10
10
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
89/122
89/122
1st won total​
107/154
107/154
!
73%
73%
1st won %
69%
69%
42/69
42/69
2nd won total​
50/118
50/118
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
20/41
20/41
BP won
26/43
26/43
5/10.3
5/10.3
Avg BP won
6.5/10.8
6.5/10.8
49%
49%
Won
!
60%
60%
11
11
Conceded
32
32
2.8
2.8
Avg Conceded
8
8
4
4
Broken
13
13
1
1
Avg Broken
3.3
3.3
7
7
Saved
19
19

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Andreeva
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 9
Tot Games 67 82
Pts 249-163 300-239
Total Points 412 539
Winners 89 107
%Winners 36% 36%

Both Sabalenka and Andreeva played 4 matches. At the moment, Mirra Andreeva lost 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Andreeva (8 vs 9). Therefore, Sabalenka played 15 games less than Andreeva. The Belarussian scored 89 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Mirra scored 107 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Andreeva
Aces 10 13
Avg per match 2.5 3.3
1st in 122/191 154/272
%1st in 64% 57%
1st pts 89/122 107/154
%1st pts 73% 69%
2nd pts 42/69 50/118
%2nd pts 61% 42%

Sabalenka fired 10 aces (2.5 per match). Andreeva managed to score 13 aces (3.3 per match). Sabalenka won 73% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Andreeva won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Andreeva
Won 20 26
Converted 20/41 26/43
% Converted 49% 60%
Conceded 11 32
Saved 7 19
% Saved 64% 59%
Times Broken 4 13

Sabalenka broke her opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 26 times with a 60% conversion rate. Andreeva conceded her serve 13 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Andreeva
R2
Uchijima
R3
Badosa
R4
Navarro
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-2 7-5 6-1 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 15 16 19 17 67
pts 56-33 62-38 67-51 64-41 249-163
Total points 89 100 118 105 412
Winners 23 22 22 22 89
%Winners 41% 35% 33% 34% 36%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 0 7 10
Double Faults 1 0 1 0 2
1st in 32/50 29/47 35/51 26/43 122/191
% 1st in 64% 62% 69% 60% 64%
1st pts 23/32 22/29 22/35 22/26 89/122
% 1st pts 72% 76% 63% 85% 73%
2nd pts 10/18 13/18 8/16 11/17 42/69
% 2nd pts 56% 72% 50% 65% 61%
Breaks
Won 5 4 7 4 20
Converted 5/6 4/7 7/18 4/10 20/41
Converted % 83% 57% 39% 40% 49%
Conceded 3 4 4 0 11
Saved 2/3 4/4 1/4 0/0 7
Saved % 67% 100% 25% 48%
Times Broken 1 0 3 0 4
Andreeva
R1
Bektas
R2
Azarenka
R3
Stearns
R4
Gracheva
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 3-6 7-5 6-2 6-1 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 9
Tot Games 17 30 15 20 82
pts 65-44 99-94 63-46 73-55 300-239
Total points 109 193 109 128 539
Winners 30 29 24 24 107
%Winners 46% 29% 38% 33% 36%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 2 5 13
Double Faults 2 3 2 3 10
1st in 36/56 48/98 36/55 34/63 154/272
% 1st in 64% 49% 65% 54% 57%
1st pts 30/36 29/48 24/36 24/34 107/154
% 1st pts 83% 60% 67% 71% 69%
2nd pts 7/20 18/50 9/19 16/29 50/118
% 2nd pts 35% 36% 47% 55% 42%
Breaks
Won 5 10 6 5 26
Converted 5/10 10/13 6/11 5/9 26/43
Converted % 50% 77% 55% 56% 60%
Conceded 5 17 3 7 32
Saved 4/5 8/17 2/3 5/7 19
Saved % 80% 47% 67% 71% 66%
Times Broken 1 9 1 2 13

Tennis Scores – French Open

Upcoming matches in the draw